Category: US Presidential Election 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, November 05, 2016
Hillary Halts Trumps Polls Surge, But Trump Advance Continues in BrExit Swing States / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
With just 3 days to go until the polls open Hillary Clinton has finally managed to halt the Trump FBI emails polls surge as the average of recent national opinion polls show a small widening of Hillary's lead over Trump to +1.6% from +1.3% yesterday, against 1.7% the day before and +2.2% on the 1st of November, that compares against +6% of less than 2 weeks ago.
Saturday, November 05, 2016
Mosul, US Elections, and Other Madness / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: David_Galland
Dear Parader,
I’m pleased to report that the shakedown cruise on my latest folly, Bad Brothers Wine Experience, has come to an end, and we are now officially open regular business hours.
Over the last week, we welcomed our first guests off the street (from London, no less) and discovered just how much goes into running a wine bar/restaurant, thanks to upwards of 250 people passing through the front door.
Happily, our guests seem to have enjoyed the place, helping us quickly zip from the 49th to the 9th highest-ranked restaurant in Cafayate on Trip Advisor, a good start.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
Lifting the Veil on the 2016 US Presidential Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Greg_Tomlinson
The Essential PointThe 2016 Presidential Election has certainly kicked up its share of dust and debris in the hearts and minds of thoughtful voters in the US. While this appears on the surface to be a contest between two very different and polarizing figures, from day one it was a referendum against the highly effective Liberal Statist* avalanche we've seen for eight straight years. This avalanche is actually Obama's far more refined approach to implementing the entire kitchen sink of modern leftist principles in government - his unique aggregation of everything they have learned in the past five decades. That's right, it is a tested, reproducible, market-ready product on shelves right now for voter consumption. We see it clearly in Clinton's campaign and we'll be seeing it again in future campaigns, because this new plan is better than all before it. This fact will remain true whether or not Clinton is indicted after the election, simply because Tim Kaine, or any other future replacement will be nearly identical in policy and approach, or even further left. Considering that universality, I'd like to shift focus away from the immediate election campaign, and instead consider a bit of how we got here, then move on to larger and more dangerous strategies and conflicts that are profoundly more impactful than this one election cycle.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
US Election Campaigning - Please Make It Stop / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Walter_Brasch
Pennsylvania, which had been a no-contest state in presidential primaries because of its late balloting, is a now a swing state with less than a week until the election. Just about every voter by now has received dozens of robocalls, e-mails, letters, postcards, and exposure to almost-uncountable TV, digital, satellite, and social media ads. Most are attack ads, with similar messages.
The ads focus upon homeland security, taxes, immigration, pro-life/pro-choice, and bringing jobs back to America. The conservatives have thrown in the phrase “liberal extremists” in many of their ads in an effort to shock all America to believe that liberals are somehow tied to Muslim extremists. The liberals are pushing an agenda that defines the conservatives as greedy plutocrats who have little thought for the middle class. This election, from local offices to the presidency may be the dirtiest since 1800 when Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams.
Friday, November 04, 2016
Hillary Polls Lead Slumps to +1.3%, Trump on Target to WIN US Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We are now less than 4 days away from when the polls open on Tuesday 8th November, Trump and Clinton and crews have been busy shuttling around the key battleground states to bolster their votes as the election boils down to who can win at least 270 electoral college votes. For instance Florida with its key 29 votes is literally sitting on a 50/50 knife edge, a must win state for Trump! Other 50/50 states are North Carolina (15 votes), with another 9 states having poll leads of 3% or less totaling 82 electoral college votes, so near 130 electoral college votes are in play enough for either Trump or Hillary to win.
Thursday, November 03, 2016
Donald Trump & The Passion of the ChristDonald Trump & The Passion of the Christ / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Antonius_Aquinas
if Donald Trump can somehow defeat the Wicked Witch of Chappaqua despite vote rigging, outlandish media bias, backstabbing by his own party’s elites, and opposition of Wall Street, his victory may be the most serious setback for The Establishment since, perhaps, the release of Mel Gibson’s blockbuster movie, The Passion of the Christ.
Both Gibson and Trump faced seemingly impossible odds at the start of their quests and were viciously attacked and undermined by the usual Establishment suspects, yet, in Gibson’s case, he was able to beat the bastards at their own game producing one of the most accurate and authentic Christian movies ever made which garnered over a half billion dollars and numerous cinematic awards!
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Thursday, November 03, 2016
Trump Converging Towards BrExit Factor Election WIN, Opinion Polls are WRONG Again! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
With just 4 full days to go until the polls open Tuesday 8th, Trump continues to bounce in the polls and betting markets that has resulted in near panic in the Democrat camp that less than a week ago were seen relaxing on expectations for a Hillary landslide election victory. But now, after last Fridays FBI bombshell all that has changed and the Clinton clan are busy crisscrossing the swing states, mainly attempting to bolster the lack lustre black vote that despite fearing Trumps rhetoric nevertheless are unable to find much incentive to get out and vote for the ultimate washington insider Hillary.
Thursday, November 03, 2016
US 2016: Fight for Leadership Begins After the Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dan_Steinbock
After the bizarre 2016 election, Washington faces a slate of investigations and a gridlock. Internationally, threats include new Cold War(s). Depending on the outcome, the election could even be contested.
If Hillary Clinton wins, she will flash her broad smile like Alice in the Wonderland, with Vice President Tim Kaine, Bill and Chelsea on her side. The conventional story will be that her victory built on her egalitarian economic policy, gender concerns, international relations, strong defense policy and good ties with Europe and Japan.
Wednesday, November 02, 2016
US Elections - Break Out of the Illusion / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Rudy_Avizius
In the old Soviet Union, people had “free” elections and were “free” to choose any Communist candidate that had been selected for the election. Most of the people of the Soviet Union understood well that their elections were shams.
Here in the United States, we also have “free” elections and the corporate media narrative is that you need to vote for one of the two candidates that have been selected for you, because if you go outside of that “choice”, the other terrible candidate that you do not want will win the election. You may not particularly like the candidate you plan to vote for, but that candidate is certainly the “lesser evil”. The corporate media has successfully spun that illusion so now many people do not even realize that there are choices outside of the Democrat/Republican duopoly that is strangling our election process.
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Wednesday, November 02, 2016
US Presidential Election Forecast 2016 - Will America Vote for BrExit Freedom? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's the 2nd of November and not just America but the whole world is counting down to the US election day. Gone is the fantasy reporting of a week ago when the mainstream press, pollsters, political pundits, analysts, book makers and markets were literally all concluding that Hillary Clinton was heading for not just an election win but a landslide victory. And then the FBI detonated their Hillary emails bomb which has galvanised into action what had been a Trump campaign literally on life support, which saw many cowardly republicans throwing in the towel, abandoning the Trump ship, leaving the Trump Terminator to keep relentlessly plowing on and on, on his own, regardless of what the establishment media threw at him every other day, that which would have killed off any ordinary candidate's campaign months ago!
Tuesday, November 01, 2016
US Presidential Election 2016 - Your Vote Won’t Count! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : Election Day is coming and everyone is telling us how to vote. I have a more basic question: should you vote at all?
Don’t do it. Voting in the presidential election could kill you. We know this because economists say so.
I know that sounds weird. Let me explain.
Economics is all about how we allocate scarce resources… such as your vote. Like most other decisions, we make it using cost-benefit analysis: What does x cost and what benefit will it give me? If benefit outweighs cost, then x is a rational choice.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
Will FBI Director Comey’s October Surprise Derail Hillary’s White House Bid? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Stephen_Lendman
Having closed his earlier investigation into Hillary’s use of her private email server for classified State Department documents without bringing charges, dismissing indictable evidence, it’s hard imagining a shift of agency policy now.
So what’s going on? Is FBI Director Comey trying to save face, even at this late stage, having tarnished the reputation of the agency and himself. The fullness of time will show what he has in mind.
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Sunday, October 30, 2016
Hillary Emails Disaster Sees Trump Jump 29% in Betting Market Odds, Can He Win? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A day on from the breaking of the Hillary Emails bombshell and the dust is settling in the betting markets to reveal a market jump in Trumps favour by 29%, that saw betfair's Trump price recover from an clearly unwinnable 6 to now stand at 4.3. Is it enough to win the election? We'll 4.3 is still substantially away from where Trump stood just before the 1st Presidential debate at 2.88, in advance of which I had concluded that given the trend trajectory at that time that Trump despite being behinf in the polls and the betting markets WOULD win the election given the anti-establishment Brexit factor.
Saturday, October 29, 2016
Comey Hillary Emails bombshell - Throw Huma Under the Bus? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Raul_I_Meijer
There is so much in innuendo and guesses and biased opinion floating around on this ‘morning after’ the Comey bombshell that the only option we have is to read and watch a ton of stuff and see what sticks. One thing that definitely should stick was published late last night by Paul Sperry for the New York Post.
He scores a solid and massive point that looks as damning for the FBI itself (or at least the superiors), as it does for Hillary Clinton. It is, in that regard, perhaps telling that one of the alleged reasons whispered for FBI director Jim Comey to come forward on Friday is that he feared details of the probe would otherwise be leaked to the press.
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Friday, October 28, 2016
Can Donald Trump, The Terminator Still Win the Election Despite, Pollsters, Bookies, Media and Pundits? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The more I watch the US election race the more one thing stands out above all others that the establishment media is just failing to get, and that is Donald Trump is no ordinary politician, far from it, the United States has not seen the likes of a character such as Donald Trump ever before and so I am not surprised that the media just don't get! Are not seeing what I am seeing, which is why virtually every day statements made by Trump that would have killed off any other candidate off months ago does not appear to have any effect on Donald Trump. Facts ? Fiction? Truth? Lies? It's all the same thing in the Trump Universe!
Thursday, October 27, 2016
Brexit II: Is Donald Trump a False Flag? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
I saw a video of Michael Moore promoting Donald Trump today and I wondered what was happening.
The Cleveland Indians and Chicago Cubs are in the World Series… and now Michael Moore, the democratic shill who glossed over 9/11 on behalf of the elites is supporting Donald Trump?
What is going on!
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Wednesday, October 26, 2016
Imprisonment or Impeachment – The Dirty Turn of the American Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dr_R_M_Mathew
Never in her official life, had Hillary Clinton imagined that her secret and corrupt dealings, without any legal loophole, would be proclaimed at the roof of the building, as has been written in the Bible. The Biblical prophecy is getting fulfilled in the twenty first century in the case of Hillary Clinton as the WikiLeaks has been exposing her several sensitive e-mails, giving light to her shady deals, corruptions and bribing in terms of not in millions but in billions, sometimes trillions.
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Wednesday, October 26, 2016
Rigged Election: Hillary and Trump Caught Partying Like BFF’s With Kissinger at Jesuit Gala / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
We have been very, very suspicious of Donald Trump since he began his political run.
Many believed he was an outsider who was our “only hope” to tame the US federal government beast. But it has become very clear he is not.
First, Wikileaks showed that Killary herself actually approved Trump to be her competitor. According to an email sent from an assistant at the Clinton campaign, Hillary was aware that Trump was going to run before the political process was fully underway.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2016
Trump’s Gettysburg Address against the New World / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: BATR
If not now, WHEN? Only the most dedicated Totalitarian Collectivist would want to keep the NWO in power. Those who are so dim-witted to believe that the governance elites are legitimate rulers, exercising moral authority are so ignorant and illiterate that they deserve the fate of sheep taken to the slaughter. The Sheeple designation is apt for a society mired in a distorted reality of serfdom.
Monday, October 24, 2016
Presidents Can’t Fix the US Economy / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : Ever wish you could time-travel back to an earlier, simpler era? Many folks do. We differ only in how far back we want to go.
This year’s intense presidential campaign only adds to our nostalgia.
Hillary Clinton supporters long for the 1990s… when Bill was president and the economy was booming. Many Donald Trump voters have an earlier destination in mind… maybe the 1950s, when we had few foreign military entanglements and American industry led the world.
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