Category: Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, October 17, 2015
Gold And Silver - Obama Is Bullish for Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Obama is ultimately bullish for gold and silver. His erratic and often incompetent decision-making can only cause both PMs to rally. Here is part of the reason why:
Russia's entry into the Syrian conflict to fight real terrorists is as much a side-show as it is a pivotal power play and game changer for Putin in the Middle East [ME]. We continue to report on this for diametrically opposed reasons. It puts a glaring focus on Obama's political inabilities, similar to watching a satirical comedy sketch, while at the same time, there is the potential for WWIII, mostly due to the instability of US policies. This is a tragicomedy unfolding before us on the world's stage.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 16, 2015
Radical Gold Stocks Underinvestment / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Despite gold blasting higher this month, this metal remains deeply out of favor among investors. They have shunned it for years thanks to extreme central-bank money printing levitating stock markets. This slayed demand for alternative investments, led by gold. But the resulting radical underinvestment in gold today is super-bullish. Vast capital inflows will be necessary to return gold investment to normal levels.
It’s impossible to overstate just how much gold is hated these days. Investors’ opinions on it range from total apathy to fervently believing gold is the worst investment on Earth. You can easily test this out in your own social circles. The next time the markets or investing come up, ask if gold is now a good buy. Everyone will say no, usually emphatically. And if you advocate for gold, they’ll think you’re naive or stupid.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 16, 2015
Gold Stocks: Different This Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
The title does not include a (?) after it and that is for a reason. The gold sector’s fundamentals, both sector-specific and macro, are improving and this was not the case during the last exciting upturn in the sector circa summer 2014.
Back then, everything from Russia’s move into Ukraine to the Ebola scare were imagined to be sound drivers of the gold price. This stuff proved, as expected, to be wrong when the whole complex made new lows in November of 2014 (prior to this year’s ultimate lows).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 16, 2015
Gold Companies That Create Extra Value Will Always Reward Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Even in the worst resource market in history, companies with good management teams can increase in value. In this interview with The Gold Report, U.S. Global Investors CEO Frank Holmes talks about whether this is the right time to get back into gold, and Portfolio Manager Ralph Aldis reports on the performance of companies in the portfolio and shares some of the names in Australia that have done so well he almost feels guilty about how easy it is to make money off them.
The Gold Report: A number of thought leaders in the larger investing community have come out lately in favor of gold. How do you know it is time to move into the resource?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 15, 2015
Are The Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) On The Verge of a Major Breakout at $23? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Junior gold miners may be on the verge of a major breakout past three month highs after The Federal Reserve continues to push back interest rate increases. There is a stealth rally underway for junior miners as gold tests resistance after bouncing off its lows in late July. Investors appear to be rotating from the Dow into precious metals as investors may be anticipating even greater easing efforts globally due to China's recent weakness and Yuan devaluation. This could continue to push precious metals, the large miners such as Barrick Gold (NYSE:ABX) and mid-tiers such as Alamos Gold (NYSE:AGI) higher. The fear of rate increases that pushed precious metals down is decreasing. The recent rally in precious metals and junior miners may be just beginning as I expect to see increased mergers and acquisitions off of these depressed low prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 10, 2015
Gold Stocks GDX 30% Stealth Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
We've had a stealth 30% rally off the low and still almost no one believes in the rally. Many bears are still trying to short this market. This is how bull markets start with no one on board and shorts still trying to press a very mature downtrend.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 10, 2015
Why I'm Bearish on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Tony Mermer writes: Many investors have turned bullish on gold since it fell below $1080 in July, which was the 50% retracement level since gold's secular bull market began in 2001. These investors believe that gold's cyclical bear market is now over and that the secular bull is about to resume. I disagree. Gold will fall below $1000 before this cyclical bear market is over. Here's why.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 09, 2015
Gold Stocks Major Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
The left-for-dead gold stocks have rallied dramatically this past week, surging to a major breakout. This pivotal technical event reveals the hyper-bearish psychology plaguing this sector in recent months is dissipating, paving the way for investment capital to return. And given the fundamentally-absurd price levels in this battered sector, this new gold-stock buying is likely just the initial vanguard of a massive new upleg.
Even among contrarians, the overwhelming consensus view is that gold miners’ stocks are doomed to grind lower indefinitely. Pretty much everyone even aware of this obscure sector totally despises it, the inevitable result of recent years’ dismal price action. The flagship gold-stock index, the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index better known by its symbol HUI, certainly reflects the unbelievable misery in this business.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 02, 2015
Knockout Punch for Gold Bugs / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Two months ago the precious metals complex became extremely oversold and ripe for a rebound. Two months later and the overbought condition and bearish sentiment has been alleviated to some degree. Sadly for bulls, Gold barely rebounded while both Silver and gold miners performed worse. The broad precious metals sector appears to be in position for a breakdown that could be a knockout blow to gold bulls and gold bugs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 01, 2015
The Great Illinois Gold Rush! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
There is no gold rush in Illinois. The important question is, “Why Not?”
Per Mike Shedlock (Mish) here and here:
- “Illinois is in serious financial trouble.”
- “Illinois has no current budget.”
- “The reality is Illinois is flat-out broke.”
Saturday, September 26, 2015
The Most Interesting Story In Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Or: Gold Miners’ Doom Is Streaming Companies’ Boom.
The gold and silver miners are in crisis, as metal prices hover around break-even for many and capital dries up for most. Dozens of companies are one or two quarters away from running out of cash and closing down, and their executives are ready to deal.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 25, 2015
Gold / Stocks Ratios are Starting to Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
The vicious and ever enduring bear market in precious metals has coincided, amid a strong negative correlation, with a bull market in equities. The negative correlation is nothing new as it occurred and persisted from 1973 through 1978 and also from 1996 through 2002. We've said Gold could not begin a new bull market until the correlation flips in favor of Gold. For the first time in three years various Gold/equities ratios are trading above the 80-week moving averages. This is an important development as it indicates the bear market in precious metals is very close its end.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 19, 2015
Gold and Gold Stocks Bull Trap or Bottom in? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
As we know, Gold and gold mining stocks have been trapped in a bear market that has been severe in both price and duration. It is seemingly a "forever" bear market as rebounds and recoveries have been followed by lower prices and more devastation. The Fed-induced strength of this week is giving bulls some hope. For the bulls, this strength needs to be duplicated in the weeks ahead or it would be another false alarm. While a new bull market is inevitable, we do not see it as imminent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 14, 2015
Gold Price and HUI Stocks Short Term Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Maybe - based on today's price action in both the metal and in the mining shares (HUI) but only short term.
The shares were actually a bit more convincing than the actual metal, which is something one would like to see anyway if they are looking to be bullish.
The HUI opened lower, promptly fell apart but then began gradually climbing back up off the worst levels of the session as the day wore on. By the time of the close, they had managed to eke out a small gain.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 11, 2015
Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
In the previous post Steve Saville talks about the “true” fundamentals of gold, i.e. the ones that actually matter as opposed to the ones that make a good story. In this post, let’s review something that is related but different; gold mining fundamentals.
While we (NFTRH) have been noting gold’s negative fundamentals for years (especially the status of the yield curve and a thus far ironclad confidence in the Federal Reserve and indeed, relative confidence in global central banks), gold mining sector fundamentals have been on an up-swing. Gold’s fundamentals are generally what we have been calling macro fundamentals and the things that matter to mining operations are sector fundamentals.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Can Big Cap Gold and Silver Stocks Go Any Lower ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
In this I’m going to take an indepth look at some the individual precious metals stocks so we can see where they’re at from a short to long term perspective. We’ll start by looking at some of the more important big cap PM stocks as the precious metals stock indexes can’t have a significant rally until this group is ready to run. Anything can happen in the very short term but the further you go out in time the less likely the big trend is going to change on a dime.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 29, 2015
Gold Shares Lows are Near / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
As most of you know, many mining companies have fallen by over 90%. The HUI Gold Bugs index has fallen 83% since its 2011 peak in the second longest bear market in gold shares on record. It's fallen twice as much as gold's bear market loss of 43%.
But looking at the next two charts, both are saying the lows may already be in.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market and Gold Mining Shares Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Most people did not expect what happened on Monday morning. The futures traders took the ES down to 1830 with the cash market stabilizing at SPX 1867 in just a few minutes time. Clive Maund gets some kudos here calling for the Dow Industrials to be down a potential 1000 points Monday, but as I recall, he believed it would be a public panic, not what just happened with the futures (Good call Clive!).This was first time I’ve seen my TLC indicator be off a day as it was calling for a Friday bottom. The Gann cycle low was maxed out at 16+4 TD’s from the July 27 low and the 4 TD low part of that cycle was due no later than early Monday, which is what happened.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 25, 2015
Second Chance To Buy Cheap Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
I want to take a special look at gold and the dollar this morning and see if we can’t alleviate some of the fears created yesterday by the big move down in mining stocks. As I’ve noted before it’s not uncommon for big money to try to run stops to enter at the cheapest price possible. We actually saw GDXJ run the stops last winter right before a second daily cycle tacked on some very big gains in the metals sector. We may see that again in the mining sector over the next few days, possibly as oil puts in its final three-year cycle low.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 21, 2015
Gold Junior Stocks Strong Financials / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
The smaller gold miners and explorers have suffered catastrophic stock-price losses in recent years. These extreme declines have led investors and speculators to assume that much of this sector won’t survive lower prevailing gold prices. But nothing could be farther from the truth. The hated and left-for-dead junior-gold sector is not only very strong financially today, but could still thrive at much lower gold prices.
With many hundreds of junior gold stocks trading around the world, this sector isn’t easy to measure. They range from smaller producers with fantastic operating mines, to explorers doggedly advancing their projects in these dark times, to countless garbage shell companies that will never do anything beyond fleecing the unwary. The proliferation of junior golds is incredible, making it difficult to wade through the morass.
Read full article... Read full article...