Category: Gold and Silver 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, January 09, 2015
The Hoarder, The Miser, The Gold and Silver Investor / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
A subscriber sent me the following note recently:
You know I was driving home tonight and was observing all the cars building etc. I thought maybe I am nuts this can't all stop. Then I also said to myself this is an illusion that massive un-payable debt has created. I hope for all of our sakes the former wins because the latter would be unbearable. Do you honestly believe a collapse war and poverty is truly going to happen? What's the difference even if you have a ton of silver people just would take it. No law cops etc. everything would be vaporized!
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Friday, January 09, 2015
Gold Price Shows Increasing Relative Strength Amid US Dollar Strength / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The current trendy reason for the mainstream to dislike Gold is strength in the US Dollar. On the surface it makes quite a bit of sense. Gold is priced in dollars. Dollar strength automatically pressures the Gold price. However, this popular view reveals a total lack of introspection. Since the end of 2013 Gold is essentially flat (positive by a fraction) while the greenback has gained a whopping 14.9%. Better yet, since Gold’s early November low it has gained 6.0% even while the US$ is up 5.8%. This type of relative strength within the context of an aging bear market may be another sign of a major trend change brewing under the surface.
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Friday, January 09, 2015
Why the Paper-Price of Gold and Silver Matters / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Part 1: If you are at all inclined to agree with the largely defensive and reflexive concept that paper-prices (i.e. dollar-values) for all products, commodities, and services are virtually meaningless, you're going to want to read this.
If you are especially quick in holding to the notion that the paper-price valuations of gold and silver simply don't matter, read on - we're going to share some opinions as to why all of these paper-prices do matter.
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Thursday, January 08, 2015
The Price Of Gold And The Art Of War Part IV / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
If you wait by the river long enough, the bodies of your enemies will float by
Sun Tzu, The Art of War, 5th century BC
WHITHER GOLD
After theV, bankers could no longer force the price of gold lower by loaning central bank gold and selling it in the open market. In 2001, as demand—and the price of gold—rose, the bankers were forced to flood markets with discounted ‘paper gold’, gold futures, i.e. paper promises of future gold deliveries at lower prices, in order to contain gold’s rising price.
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Thursday, January 08, 2015
Gold Price Will Likely Go Higher in 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Steen Jakobsen: Things Are About To Take A Different Turn In 2015
This article is based on an interview conducted by Claudio Grass, the Managing Director of Global Gold based in Switzerland, with Mr. Steen Jakobsen. Mr. Jakobsen is the Chief Economist and Chief Investment Officer at Saxo Bank, where he has served for a total of 14 years, including two years where he left to act as Chief Investment officer of Limus Capital. He is a renowned economist and trader with more than 25 years of experience in the fields of proprietary trading and alternative investment. The topics covered in the interview range from monetary policy to business cycles and precious metals. This is the full interview in Q&A format.
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Thursday, January 08, 2015
Jim Rogers Gold Price 50% Correction Low During 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Jim Rogers Gold outlook for 2015 according to a recent youtube video is for the gold price to halve from its all time high during 2015, which implies a drop from its April 2011 high of $1923 to $960 as the following extract illustrates -
"We have a lot of people who bought gold in the last 14 years. Gold has not had a proper correction for a long long time and in my view until there is a proper correction Gold cannot make a bottom and start over."
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Wednesday, January 07, 2015
Is 2015 the Year US FED comes to the Aid of Gold and Silver Investors? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
In a moment we will provide our answer to this interesting question.
The correction in the price of gold and silver is now in its fourth year, and in the words of W. D. Gann: “When time is up – price will turn.”
Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold has gone sideways since late Oct. and at this point the Dec 24 low is pivotal. A close below 1,173.50 will open the door for a return to the Nov low at 1,137. The 89-dma has done a good job of providing support and resistance all year and is now at 1,212. Stay bearish until it is exceeded.
A bull flag (if triggered by a move above the 89-dma) measures a minimum move to 1,300. A five-wave decline from the 2011 high appears to be finished and comes complete with a positive divergence in weekly RSI (chart). However, a full moon (often seen at turning points in gold) is due today and short-term cycle highs are due near Jan 7 and 13 so any rally early this week will probably be turned back once again.
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Sunday, January 04, 2015
Gold Price Looks Ready to Go Higher from Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The big picture in Gold hasn’t changed much over the past month. For approximately nine weeks now Gold has been consolidating around prior support of 1,182.20, a price first hit back in June of 2013. This price area was then tested as support first in December 2013, then more recently in May 2014. During that 16-month time frame Gold consolidated forming a bearish descending triangle pattern. It broke out to the downside nine weeks ago. However, there has been no follow through as it bounced off 1,132.08 and has crept higher since, closing at 1,189.60 last week.
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Saturday, January 03, 2015
Gold And Silver - 2013, 2014, 2015...Expect More Of The Same / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Each week, we prepare a selection of newsworthy events to which the current market can explained, somewhat. This week is no exception, save one difference, that being so many want to see/hear some kind of look into the prospects for the year ahead. Our look ahead starts with a rear view mirror look back at 2014. In hindsight, we began 2014 with a positive outlook, but that quickly changed into the view that 2014 could turn out to be just like 2013...no big rally. On that score, we were on point.
Before engaging in a review, we have abandoned providing any background news, this week, because for us, the most important news moving forward is found in the six charts that follow. If you are willing to accept the message the market is giving to everyone, you will understand the folly of those who opt to make price "predictions." Keep in mind, a good many of the experts with the largest followings were touting a price breakout by the end of 2014. None called for new recent lows, and if someone did, our apologies for not knowing who you are. Bottom line: predictions are a waste of time.
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Friday, January 02, 2015
Why You Need to Own Gold In 2015 and Beyond / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Clint Siegner writes: Debt is a rock, and spending reform is a hard place. The taxpayers of today and tomorrow are saddled with crushing obligations. Yet we must watch helplessly as leadership in Washington DC continues expanding government -- borrowing what they can and simply printing what they cannot.
Each day more Americans sense a reckoning is coming. Our government is increasingly insolvent. The unbacked dollar is certain to be worth less, and it may not survive at all.
Thursday, January 01, 2015
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2015 Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold bug expectations for the Gold price to soar during 2014 once more failed to materialise for a third year with the Gold price ending down on the year at $1180 against $1204 at its start. Will 2015 be any different? Find out in this video analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for 2015.
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Thursday, January 01, 2015
Gold Price Targets for 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Below is a gold chart I worked on this weekend. It has a lot of information on it to digest. First thing to note is the top rail of the black falling wedge. As you can see the top rail comes in around the 1215 to 1220 area. Not that it means anything but the two black rectangles are exactly the same size that measures time and price for the rectangle on top and our current triangle below. If our current triangle plays out as a halfway pattern, I have it measured using the BO to BO and the impulse method with the price objectives at the bottom of the chart. I think we could see a small halfway pattern form during the second impulse move down before the actual price targets are hit. The very bottom price objective is the 2008 crash low at 685 which looks like it would hit the bottom rail in October. Something to watch when the bottom rail gives way.
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Wednesday, December 31, 2014
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
There is no metal quite like gold as history shows that humans have a special attraction towards gold as this metal like a parasite has held power over humanity far beyond any rational importance as a resource, even to the extent that hundreds of thousands have been put to death in its pursuit, even whole civilisations extinguished so that GOLD could adorn the GOD temples of Europe and elsewhere. Today's GOLD obsession manifests itself in the Gold bug army that relentlessly chants its second coming with never changing prophecies of Gold's eventual rise to new highs. And as it was for 2013, so were the expectations for 2014 for the price of Gold to soar into the stratosphere bitcoin spike style with the 2011 high of $1901 merely acting as a stepping stone all the way to $5,000, then $10,000 and beyond.
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Tuesday, December 30, 2014
Gold Price Nearing a Critical Juncture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
MarketsToday writes: About six weeks ago XAU/USD (Gold) broke down from a long-term bearish descending triangle pattern, as it dropped below, and subsequently closed below 1,180.20 on both a daily and weekly basis. The price objective from the triangle pattern is approximately 926.65. So far there has been little downside follow through as support was found 1,132.08 shortly after the bearish breakout, and Gold has been rebounding back into resistance of the triangle pattern since.
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Tuesday, December 30, 2014
How Could Gold Bugs Have Been So Wrong in 2014? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Twelve short months ago, the immediate future looked like a lock. Overvalued equities had to fall, ridiculously-low interest rates had to rise, and beaten-down precious metals had to resume their bull market.
The evidence was overwhelming. Debt in the developed world had risen to $157 trillion, or 376% of GDP, by far the highest level on record and clearly unsustainable. Long-term US Treasury rates had been falling for literally three decades and despite a recent uptick were so low that the only way forward seemed to be up.
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Monday, December 29, 2014
Sound Money and the Ring of Truth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Guy Christopher writes: We Americans no longer carry gold and silver money in our pockets and purses as our grandparents did during their lives. But we still carry the history, legacy and spirit of those gold and silver coins in our language – with more meaning than you might imagine.
“Sound money” has a clear message recognized for centuries around the world. It describes the musical, metallic ring of a gold, silver, or copper coin dropped on any hard surface of glass, stone, wood, or metal. Sound money literally refers to real wealth, with a natural, unmistakable signature of honesty and integrity, as opposed to the swishy paper and plastic debt used almost exclusively today.
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Monday, December 29, 2014
Gold Price Rallies With USD Above 90 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Briefly: In our opinion no speculative short positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The USD Index moved slightly above the key, long-term resistance level but gold rallied by almost $20 on Friday. We have seen several bearish signs in the precious metals market recently – is the above bullish enough to make the overall outlook for the precious metals market bullish?
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Monday, December 29, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Will Return to Highs in 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Peter Krauth writes: Precious metals haven't grabbed dramatic headlines like oil and gas have.
But their story is no less exiting. And the metals remain a fundamentally critical part of the global economic and strategic landscape.
Indeed, gold and silver took roller coaster-like rides throughout the year, both screeching towards their respective price lows before bouncing, albeit cautiously, ahead.
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Tuesday, December 23, 2014
Gold Price Still In Bear Cycle? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
GOLD- Well, not a merry Christmas for Gold buyers just yet. We have said in our TMTF forecast service to watch 1190 as KEY support and 1241 would also need to be taken out on a closing basis before we could confirm a new uptrend in Gold and the end to the 5 wave bear cycle. Not quite yet, and in fact in my stock service we have avoided Gold stocks entirely even with the recent temptations to get long because Gold to us is key. If we are not over 1241 then we are not buyers of Gold equities, plain and simple. With 5000 stocks to choose from, why not stick with the sectors that are in the stronger uptrends and avoid those mired in the mud like Gold? For example you could be looking at Security stocks given all the cyber attacks worldwide that are only getting worse. Gold is money as we all know, but a downtrend is a downtrend. Trust what you see, not what you think for best results.
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