Gold Price Nearing a Critical Juncture
Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015 Dec 30, 2014 - 02:30 PM GMTMarketsToday writes: About six weeks ago XAU/USD (Gold) broke down from a long-term bearish descending triangle pattern, as it dropped below, and subsequently closed below 1,180.20 on both a daily and weekly basis. The price objective from the triangle pattern is approximately 926.65. So far there has been little downside follow through as support was found 1,132.08 shortly after the bearish breakout, and Gold has been rebounding back into resistance of the triangle pattern since.
Given that the larger price pattern continues to be bearish, further downside remains the likely scenario, unless Gold can get above and stay above the most recent swing high of 1,255.25. At that point further upside becomes more likely as the prior peak of the short-term downtrend price structure is exceeded to the upside.
The second enclosed daily chart looks at the AB=CD or measured move pattern that is developing in Gold as it has risen off the 1,132.08 low from six weeks ago. For over a week Gold’s ascent has been stalled around the 55-day exponential moving average (ema) and short-term downtrend line.
If Gold can continue higher from here the next area to watch for resistance is from around 1,228.89 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement of most recent down swing), to 1,232.4 (completion of AB=CD move). At that point the risk to reward for a short entry is best. Alternatively, wait for a decisive rally above 1,255.25 for a long entry.(www.marketstoday.net)
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