Category: Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, October 19, 2014
Gold Stocks Analysis – FNV, CG, NCM, SBM / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
FRANCO-NEVADA CORP (FNV)
Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) is the Big Daddy of the Canadian gold market. It is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) with a market capitalisation of around CAD$7.8b. Its main interests are its North American gold assets but it is a truly global company with investments in several other countries including Mexico and Australia. Price last traded at $60.25. To learn more about the company, please visit its website at www.franco-nevada.com
Let’s take a top down approach to the technicals beginning with the yearly chart.
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Monday, October 13, 2014
Powerful Reversal and Shakeout in the Junior Gold Mining Stocks at May Lows Around $33 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Summary
- Three years ago in early 2011, I cautioned my readers to be careful to chase gold and silver higher as it was moving parabolic. Now it is oversold and ignored.
- Be careful now of parabolic rises in the S&P500 (SPY), Long term US Treasuries (TLT) and US dollar (UUP). Investors are scared and looking for liquidity.
- Silver (SLV) is trading below $17, Gold (GLD) is testing major support at $1200. The GDXJ has been outperforming and has not violated 2013 lows.
- If $1180 does not hold, gold (GLD) may test lower prices near $1050 as that is the approximate 50% retracement of the 2001-2011 bull market.
- Some smart traders are expecting a triple bottom at $1180 on gold with a bounce off current oversold levels with a small pullback in December for tax loss selling.
- Junior Gold Mining ETF (GDXJ) Makes Bullish Reversal at May Lows around $33.
Wednesday, October 08, 2014
Gold and Silver Stocks Apocalypse Now, Bear Market Review / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
In part I, Phase III-Dead Ahead, we established the macro case for the final phase of the gold stock bear market. As the bear market progresses the economies key constraint remains the level of debt, specifically the size and composition of the national balance sheet which has baked in the cake a deflationary outcome. It is this wave of deflation that will drive the final phase of this bear market to unimagined lows. The good news, however is when it's finally over the precious metals will transition into the next bull market. We will examine this process and the sign posts along the way as we complete phase III of the bear market and transition into the beginning of the next bull market in the precious metals.
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Friday, October 03, 2014
Nevada’s Newest Gold Miner / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Nevada is well known as the United States’ top gold-mining jurisdiction. The numerous mines within its massive gold trends combined to produce a whopping 5.4m ounces in 2013, which accounted for 74% of total domestic output. This output ranks Nevada as the world’s fourth-largest gold producer, behind only the countries of China, Australia, and Russia.
With Nevada’s geopolitically-stable mild desert region pumping out more gold than global juggernauts South Africa, Peru, and Canada, it is naturally a top destination for mining companies looking to hit it big. And emerging producer Midway Gold has hit the trifecta with a trio of advanced-stage projects poised to add to Nevada’s gold-mine tally.
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Thursday, October 02, 2014
Trading Impulse Moves in Gold and Silver Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
For the last two months, and especially the month of September, I've been trying to prep you for the impulse move that we currently find ourselves in right now. You don't have to wait any longer wondering when it's going to begin. We've been in this impulse move down since the last high was made on August 14th, which is the 4th reversal point in that blue triangle consolidation pattern, we've been following so close. I've been showing you countless H&S top patterns in all the big cap precious metals stocks a long with smaller consolidation patterns that are breaking out. I've shown you how the Japanese Yen and the eruo that have been collapsing and how closely gold and precious metals stock indexes are following the Yen lower. I don't know how I can make it any more clearer that the move we've been waiting for, for 15 months or so, is already six weeks old.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014
Can Gold Act as a Safe Haven Again? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
PI Financial mining analyst Christos Doulis says six years ago when the financial crisis was in full swing, safe-haven buying made gold skyrocket. Today, the fear component is down, as is the price of gold. That is why Doulis believes investors need to own bulletproof, low-cost names that can survive this environment. In this interview with The Gold Report, Doulis discusses some M&A possibilities and points to management teams getting the most out of their low-cost precious metals assets.
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Saturday, September 20, 2014
Cheap Gold Stocks Upleg Intact / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Gold stocks have plunged in September, crushed by the withering selling pressure from heavy futures shorting hammering gold. As usual, these falling prices have kindled extreme bearishness on this left-for-dead sector. But despite this rotten sentiment, gold stocks’ young upleg remains very much intact technically. This impressive resiliency is fueled by these miners’ incredibly-cheap fundamental valuations.
Gold stocks are without a doubt the most despised sector in all the stock markets. Thanks to the Fed’s brazen debt monetizations and manipulations of interest rates, the global markets are distorted beyond belief. Stock markets have soared to extreme valuations on the Fed’s implied backstopping, leading to epic complacency, greed, and hubris. That artificial levitation sucked vast capital out of alternative investments.
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Friday, September 19, 2014
Bird's Eye View of the Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Since last summer, investing in the mining sector has been akin to riding a mini roller coaster. There have been two huge rallies, two sudden and sharp declines while more than a handful of individual stocks have rebounded over 200% from their lows. Nevertheless, as we noted a few weeks ago the weakness of the metals won out and are dictating the terms. Since we covered the metals in our last missive we wanted to focus soley on the miners. A look at the bear market analog chart as well as a very long-term chart of GDM illustrates the coming risks and opportunities.
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014
The Collapse Of U.S. Silver Stocks As Public Debt Skyrockets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The U.S. Empire is in real trouble. This is due to its idiotic business model of selling quality assets while acquiring massive liabilities and debts. Of course, the U.S. Government realizes this is not a sustainable way to do business, but at least for now.... we continue to have our Bread & Circuses, McDonalds & NFL Football for a bit longer.
Furthermore, Americans have no clue that the role of the U.S. Dollar as the world's reserve currency continues to disintegrate each passing day as more countries elect to by-pass the Dollar and trade in other currencies... especially the Chinese Yuan.
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Saturday, September 06, 2014
Gold and Silver Miners Break Down as U.S. Dollar Soars / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are now justified from the risk/reward perspective. However, day-traders might consider a small speculative long position in silver.
Even though gold didn't react strongly to Mario Draghi's comments, a lot happened in the precious metals market yesterday. We finally saw a breakdown in mining stocks and we saw an extreme daily rally in the USD Index. As you know, the USD Index very often triggers significant moves in gold. Even though the last 2 days didn't bring any changes, the situation has just become very tense for the precious metals investors and traders. What are the implications for your precious metals investments and trades?
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Friday, August 29, 2014
Gold Miners Consolidate and Hold Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Precious metals miners have successfully digested their sharp gains from early summer. The miners have continued to hold above key retracements as well as 200-day moving averages that are now sloping up. The miners, despite some fear from market participants remain in position for a September breakout to the upside.
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Friday, August 29, 2014
HUI Gold Stocks Timing Boxes / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
In the previous post about ‘Gold Miners & Inflation’ it was mentioned that the 2013-2014 would-be bottoming grind in HUI has been almost exactly the duration of the 2010-2011 topping grind. Here is a visual to put with that statement.
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Monday, August 25, 2014
Will Canadian Regulators be Able to Avoid Final Fatal TSX Venture Exchange (TSX-V) Crash? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Dr. Volkmar Hable writes: The answer of course is no, if history is any guidance. So what is wrong with the central Canadian market place, the world’s most important stock exchange for the junior resource and energy sector?
The last 3 years have seen a meltdown in the TSX-V share values that brought it right back where it started almost 10 years ago. We have been witnessing on the TSX-V an unprecedented historical annihilation in shareholder value that has not been seen in this form on any other stock exchange in the world.
Monday, August 25, 2014
HUI Gold Mining Stocks Elliott Wave Projection / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Miners bull and bear markets structures can be clearly identified with the Elliott Wave Principle and look ready soon to enter a new impulsive move up. Keeping an eye on the Elliott Wave structure is important as this tool is mostly used by institutionals and hedge fund managers.
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Friday, August 15, 2014
Gold Stocks Major New Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The gold stocks are almost certainly in the early stages of a major new upleg. Given the widespread apathy and antipathy still plaguing this beaten-down sector, that’s hard for most traders to swallow. But the gold stocks’ performance this year has already been outstanding. And heading into gold’s strong season, their gains should only accelerate. Gold stocks’ overdue mean reversion higher is well underway.
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Friday, August 15, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Consolidation Before Fateful September / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Why could September be fateful for the precious metals complex? First, consider its history within the current secular bull market. The years 2005, 2007, 2009 and 2010 have seen very important breakouts in either or both Gold and gold stocks in the month of September. Conversely, September marked important peaks in 2008 as well as in each of the past three years! Currently, Gold and more so the gold miners are consolidating their recent gains just below very important resistance. This consolidation figures to end before the end of September which means September will produce another important inflection point.
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Thursday, August 14, 2014
Gold and Silver Miners that Can Make Money Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
As much as we'd all like significantly higher silver and gold prices, Chris Thompson of Raymond James doesn't expect them. The good news, he argues, is that the relative stability now characterizing the market permits investors to make informed decisions about which companies can build value and demonstrate cash flows at today's prices. In this interview with The Gold Report, Thompson lists a handful of gold and silver miners prepared to do just that.
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Wednesday, August 13, 2014
When Gold Miners Have Already Rallied – Will Metals Follow? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are now justified from the risk/reward perspective.
When one looks at gold and silver prices and their moves yesterday, it might seem that nothing happened in the precious metals market. That’s far from the truth because the real action took place in mining stocks. Several weeks ago, it was miners’ strength that heralded the rally in the whole sector. Will we see one also this time? Let’s start with mining stocks (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Friday, August 08, 2014
Gold GLD ETF Holdings Set to Surge / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The mighty GLD gold ETF’s bullion holdings have remained stable in 2014, an impressive feat. Last year they suffered an epic outlying record plummet as the Fed’s stock-market levitation sucked capital out of alternative investments. This year’s resiliency in the face of the ongoing stock-market melt-up almost certainly means the bottom is in. GLD’s holdings are set to surge as weaker stock markets entice traders back.
The SPDR Gold Shares gold ETF, GLD, is a juggernaut in the gold realm. Now approaching its tenth birthday, it has grown into the world’s flagship and massively-dominant gold ETF. GLD’s impact on the global gold price can be so supreme and overpowering at times that all precious-metals investors and speculators simply have to follow it. Last year was a key case in point, where GLD trading controlled gold.
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Friday, August 08, 2014
Gold Miners Stock Price Next Move: Breakout or Breakdown? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
We've been very bullish on the miners since January but became concerned recently with the poor technical action in the metals (specifically Gold). Last month the mining indices were very close to a major breakout yet couldn't punch through. This signaled that Gold could begin a deeper decline and the miners would be vulnerable. However, Gold failed to break below $1280 while the miners have continued to digest their early summer gains and hold support. In addition, Gold is showing increasing relative strength amid US$ strength and equity market weakness. If Gold continues to show this kind of relative strength in the weeks ahead then it raises the odds that the miners will break to the upside in September.
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