Category: Gold and Silver 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Political Considerations for Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Bob_Kirtley
Silver prices have now traded sideways for around 16 months. The lower end of this trading range is $27.00/oz and the higher end is $35.00/oz. As of today the price stands at $29.33 having bottomed at $28.50, it’s taken 4 trading sessions of small but positive gains to reverse the downward spiral from $32.00/oz. Not much to write home about here, but it is encouraging that the carnage is showing signs that it might be over, for now at least. It could of course be a relief rally with more downside selling pressure waiting in the wings a little further down the track. Either way we are still a long way down from the heady days of $48.00/oz.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Rusty Old Tin Can of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
Gold has turned, apparently. Leveraged speculators in the futures market said so...
"To hoarders and speculators," says Time magazine, "gold lately has had about as much luster as a rusty tin can."
Rings true here in Feb. 2013. But this clanging bell - entitled The Great Gold Bust, and drowned out as a signal to fill your boots only by the New York Times' infamous Who Needs Gold When We Have Greenspan? of May 1999 - was rung back in Aug. 1976, right at the bottom of a 50% pullback in the 1970s' long bull market in gold.
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Tuesday, February 26, 2013
How to Play the Current Gold and Silver Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Casey_Research
Given the profoundly bearish sentiment that has gripped so many participants in the resource sector, particularly gold investors, we decided to poll the chief editors at Casey Research regarding the current sell-off. We recognize the severity of the situation and want readers to know we're taking it very seriously.
We also want readers to know that the "Casey consensus" is not a single view imposed on all, but the result of a constant conversation we have among ourselves, questioning our own premises, making sure we don't ignore new data if and when it contradicts our expectations. This is why some of the thoughts below will seem less positive than others; we see this sort of open discourse as a good and healthy thing for out business.
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Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Gold Rises and Renewed Euro-zone Contagion Concern After Italian Election / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: GoldCore
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,597.25, EUR 1,219.65 and GBP 1,052.07 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,592.50, EUR 1,201.89 and GBP 1,051.85 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $28.79/oz, €22.11/oz and £19.09/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,600.50/oz, palladium at $729.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.
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Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Inconclusive Italian Election Result Sparks Higher Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Ben_Traynor
U.S. DOLLAR prices for buying gold rose briefly above $1600 per ounce Tuesday morning before falling back, while silver failed to hold above $29 an ounce and stock markets fell following the inconclusive Italian election result.
Italian markets were especially affected, with stocks and government bonds seeing sell-offs, while on the currency markets the Euro hovered near seven-week lows against the Dollar following yesterday's 2% drop.
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Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Test of Strength for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Frank_Holmes
When investing in gold, I often say diverse opinions promote critical thinking and a healthy market. I believe elevated groups of buyers and sellers create a competitive tug-of-war in the bid and ask price of the precious metal.
Last week, we saw the gold bears growling louder and gaining strength, as the world's largest gold-backed ETF, the SPDR Gold Trust, experienced its largest one-day outflows since August 2011. The Fear Trade fled the sector following the Federal Reserve's meeting that revealed a growing dissension among some of its members over the central bank's bond-buying program.
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Monday, February 25, 2013
Gold Uptrend "Could See Significant Damage", Recent Falls "Largely Down to Futures Traders" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Ben_Traynor
U.S. DOLLAR gold prices climbed back above $1590 an ounce Monday morning, extending gains from Friday following sharp losses last week, while stock markets also rallied, although the FTSE 100 in London saw smaller gains that other European indexes following news of a downgrade to Britain's credit rating.
"Support [for gold] sits at $1522, the low from December 2011," says the latest technical analysis from Scotia Mocatta.
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Monday, February 25, 2013
Sterling Falls On UK Credit Ratings Downgrade, Gold In GBP 1.8% Higher YTD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: GoldCore
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,592.50, EUR 1,201.89 and GBP 1,051.85 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,580.00, EUR 1,196.15 and GBP 1,034.78 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $29.27/oz, €22.14/oz and £19.41/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,631.50/oz, palladium at $749.00/oz and rhodium at $1,175/oz.
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Monday, February 25, 2013
Gold and the Developed World in the Face of Massive Change in the Next Two Decades / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
In the last five years, we have seen the start of the decline of the developed world and the real impact of the economic rise of China on that world. What lies ahead? James Wolfensohn, the ex-president of the World Bank gave a short lecture in which he forecasts what the world's cash flows would be like in 2030:
Monday, February 25, 2013
AMEX Gold BUGS Index Chart and Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: David_Petch
The following article was posted one week ago with analysis of the AMEX Gold BUGS Index (HUI), except the chart has been updated. Below is the only Figure present in this update, with further explanations of what each coloured line represents. Potential outcomes for the HUI are examined, with the strongest being to the upside rather than downside. Upside targets are discussed and what must happen for them to be met.
Sunday, February 24, 2013
Takes Courage to buy Gold and Silver Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Clive_Maund
There is now such an overwhelming array of technical evidence that the Precious Metals sector is forming a major bottom, that by the end of reading this update you will, or should unless you are stupid, understand why we now have no choice but to turn strongly and unequivocally bullish on the sector. Up until now we have had some reservations, but these have been swept away by the latest truly extraordinary data.
You may recall that in the last update posted on the 10th we called for a drop. As you won't need reminding, we got it. On its 7-month chart we can see that gold sliced straight through support at its early January bull hammer low and then dropped steeply into last Wednesday - Thursday, where a high volume selling climax occurred at a parallel trendline target. Gold is now quite deeply oversold, with many oscillators at extreme readings. This 7-month chart cannot provide the big picture of what is going on, only recent detail, so let's now move on to the longer-term charts.
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Sunday, February 24, 2013
Silver Back in Buying Territory Ahead of Powerful Uptrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Clive_Maund
Even though the technical indications for silver are not as strongly bullish as those for gold, they are now sufficiently positive that silver is likely to take off higher before much longer, encouraged by the strength that we should soon see reappear in gold. Of course, it will probably take some weeks for sentiment to recover sufficiently to drive a significant rally after the latest sharp drop, so we may see some backing and filling before a sustainable uptrend can get going, but that is normal.
Sunday, February 24, 2013
Gold And Silver - Market Says Decline Not Over. Silver More Pivotal Than Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
Developing market activity is the best and most reliable source for market information. All you have to do is follow what the activity is saying, and you will have the clearest idea of where the market is headed. For the near term, of heightened concern for many, the market says the current decline is far from over. Price may not be far from the low of the decline, but the trend is down, and it takes time to turn a trend around, so do not expect to see a dramatic rise in the price of either gold or silver.
Our downside target of $1600 gold has been exceeded, while the $28 target for silver has not been met, although in horseshoes, it would be a leaner. [See Decline Not Over, 1st and 3rd charts, click on http://bit.ly/WWXFlt]. Next week, who knows?
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Sunday, February 24, 2013
Gold and Silver Enhanced Investor Opportunities Loci / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose.” French Wisdom Nugget
“Federal Reserve Policymaker’s late last month expressed explicit and detailed squeamishness over their monetary stimulus, which might be scaled back sooner than the Fed’s own guidance suggests, according to Minutes released Wednesday.” (emphasis added) IBD, 02/21/13
All Investment Cognoscenti know that The Fed’s “Communication Policy” is aimed at Financial and Market Ends, not at Truth. (Here, should we rely on The Fed’s earlier expressed “Guidance,” or this week’s “Scaling Back” Hint? They can not both be True.)
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Friday, February 22, 2013
GOLD Price Forecast - Should be Completing a Cyclical Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: David_Banister
Over the past 5 calendar years we have seen GOLD either complete an intermediate cyclical top or bottom in each February. My forecast was for February of 2013 to be no different and for Gold and Silver to make trough lows this month. With that said, I did not expect the drop in GOLD to go much below $1,620 per ounce at worst, but in fact it has. Where does that leave us now on the technical patterns and crowd behavioral views?
Friday, February 22, 2013
Silver Price Backwardation, Corrections and Perception Shifts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The price of silver futures contracts have been regularly flirting with a state of backwardation ever since the 2008 Financial Crisis, which is a sign of a growing physical silver shortage.
A state of backwardation occurs when the front month silver futures contract commands a price premium to the subsequent months’ contracts.
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Friday, February 22, 2013
Gold Capitulation! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold got crushed this week in what can only be described as a capitulation. Cascading selling took on a life of its own as the yellow metal knifed through multiple key support lines. Newsflow exacerbated gold’s free fall, as extreme fear tainted everything with a heavy pall of bearishness. Gold bears were euphoric, coming out in droves to pronounce doom on the metal. But capitulations are actually very bullish events.
Capitulation is one of the ugliest words in the markets, it means surrender. Most of us are taught from a very young age to never give up, never stop striving. So traders are loath to admit they succumbed to a capitulation. Rather than acknowledging they gave into their own fears to sell low at the worst possible time, they try and rationalize their failing. They have to believe the capitulation marks the start of selling.
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Friday, February 22, 2013
How Close is Gold Price to the Final Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold roller coaster seems to go on and on without an end. But what we have seen this week was more of a bungee jumping. However, at this time there seems to be no more room for further declines, as major support lines have been reached already or are about to be reached. Does this mean that we are close to the final bottom and that a strong rally will emerge soon? Let us jump straight into the technical part of today's essay to find out - we'll start with the yellow metal's long-term chart (charts courtesy by http://stockcharts.com.)
Friday, February 22, 2013
Gold Price Correction Separating the Men from the Boys / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Is gold bullion becoming the commodity the mainstream media and analysts love to hate?
After all, views of the metal are becoming increasingly bearish. But I believe the most important factor as to why gold bullion is actually attractive at this point is being ignored; gold bullion becomes more valuable as the paper money created by central banks increases in circulation.
Friday, February 22, 2013
Why Would You Ever Want To Own Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Bill_Bonner
Stocks up another 53 points on the Dow yesterday. Gold down another $5.
The Dow is above its 14,000 peak; gold is below $1,600/oz.
I'll come back to this in a minute. First...
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