Category: Global Debt Crisis 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, January 09, 2013
Global Debt Crisis Explained / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012
Liam Fisher writes: "The global debt crisis is continuing, largely unabated. While significant measures are being put into place by governments around the world, there is little tangible effect being had on deficits that are continuing to pile up. Indeed, there is only limited agreement amongst economists on the severity of the debt crisis and its implications for the people of the world or the best ways to go about rectifying the problem. Some advocate drastic austerity measures and strict fiscal conservatism, while others take a more Keynesian approach that sees deficit spending as a way out of recession.
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Thursday, December 20, 2012
End of the Debt Supercycle and a Coming Massive Devaluation of the Yen ... / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2012
... Most Difficult Time to Invest; The Belief Bubble
Late last month, Kyle Bass, managing partner of Hayman Capital, shared his thoughts in a video at the University of Virginia Darden School of Business Investing Conference with Professor Ken Eades.
It is a fantastic interview that echoes many of the things I have been saying about Japan for quite some time.
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Thursday, November 22, 2012
Debt Crisis Solutions are Leaving Investors Behind / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012
How the losses are being paid for...
It used to be taken for granted that you could put aside some money and earn enough interest to be better off than when you started.
As the world continues to struggle with the aftermath of an enormous credit boom and its subsequent bust, though, this kind of objective seems hopelessly naïve. Events in Europe and the US this week are the latest reminder of this. To see why, let's start with a riddle:
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Tuesday, November 20, 2012
Student Loans, the Next Debt Bubble / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2012
For the last year, as I travel around, it seems a main topic of conversation is “Where will my kids find jobs?” It is a topic I am all too familiar with. Where indeed? Youth unemployment in the US is 17.1%. If you are in Europe the problem is even more pronounced. The basket case that is Greece has youth unemployment of 58%, and Spain is close at 55%. Portugal is at 36% and in Italy it’s 35%. France is over 25%. Is this just a cyclical symptom of the credit crisis? Much of it clearly is, but I think there is something deeper at work here, an underlying tectonic shift in the foundation of employment. And that means that before we see a true recovery in the unemployment rate, there must be a shift in how we think about work and training for the future of employment. This week is the first of what will be occasional letters over the coming months with an emphasis on employment. (This letter will print a little longer, as there are a lot of charts.)
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Friday, October 26, 2012
Counterfeit Economies Facing Waves of Insolvency, Bonds the Ultimate Malinvestment / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012
The Mayan calendar points to the end of the world coming in December. It may not end on that date but major disruptions can be anticipated. CENTRAL banks have fully uncorked the printing presses to meet the waves of insolvency set to STRIKE the banksters, public servants and the elites. Transferring your wealth to themselves and their something for nothing societies to PAY for their moral and fiscal insolvencies.
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Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Is Financial Crime A Systemic Risk? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
Famed Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises wrote in his seminal work, Human Action (originally published by the Yale University Press in 1949), that “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.” The collapse of a historic credit bubble occurred in 2008. However, despite years of further credit expansion, “a final and total catastrophe” of the U.S. dollar system has yet to occur.
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Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Debt Black Hole Event Horizon, Economic Singularity, The Minsky Moment / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2012
"Concern about politics and the processes of international co-operation is warranted but the best one can hope for from politics in any country is that it will drive rational responses to serious problems. If there is no consensus on the causes or solutions to serious problems, it is unreasonable to ask a political system to implement forceful actions in a sustained way. Unfortunately, this is to an important extent the case with respect to current economic difficulties, especially in the industrial world.
"While there is agreement on the need for more growth and job creation in the short run and on containing the accumulation of debt in the long run, there are deep differences of opinion both within and across countries as to how this can be accomplished. What might be labelled the 'orthodox view' attributes much of our current difficulty to excess borrowing by the public and private sectors, emphasises the need to contain debt, puts a premium on credibly austere fiscal and monetary policies, and stresses the need for long-term structural measures rather than short-term demand-oriented steps to promote growth.
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Monday, October 15, 2012
OECD Choices: Death By Economic Austerity Or By Debt / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2012
MORGAN STANLEY SAYS
In late July, Morgan Stanley summarized the no-win that laisser-faire, or rather laisser-aller deciders committed to doing nothing rational, have created for themselves and for us all in any Developed Market, advanced industrial (also called postindustrial) country. MS said the choice of fiscal, economic, monetary and related policy was between the Scylla of chase-your-tail austerity and the Charybdis of sovereign insolvency. In a rapidly rising number of countries, now daily reality in Europe's PIIGS, both these no- hope choices are being operated: they are not mutually exclusive.
Friday, October 12, 2012
Age of Debt Deleveraging / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012
The world’s major economies are struggling and their private-sector is deleveraging (paying off debt). If history is any guide, this deflationary process is likely to continue for several years.
You will recall that heading into the global financial crisis, corporations and households in the developed world were leveraged to the hilt. During the pre-crisis era, debt was considered a birth right and for decades, the private-sector leveraged its balance-sheet. Unfortunately, when the US housing market peaked and Lehman went bust, asset values plummeted but the liabilities remain unchanged. Thus, for the first time in their lives, people in the developed world experienced the wrath of excessive leverage.
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Saturday, October 06, 2012
Spain is Beyond Repair, So is the United States / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012
Spain is beyond repair. This is also true of the United States. Following is a bottom-up view of the insatiable parasites clinging to the rump of the Spanish economy and how such gruesome imagery applies elsewhere.
A Bloomberg story on September 27, 2012, resembled many others since the mid-'oughts: "Spain's Boom-Era Building Gear Sold as Developers Cut Off." This does not need much explanation but a connection is offered: though QE3 is designed, and will (in cases) lift asset prices, gravity rather than levitation is the natural direction of assets.
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Wednesday, September 19, 2012
ECB Game Over, Draghi and Bernanke’s Worst Nightmares Are About to Unfold / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012
Ben Bernanke and Mario Draghi must be absolutely terrified.
These two men, in the last two weeks, have both initiated open-ended bond buying programs. The purpose of these programs, aside from keeping insolvent banks in business, was to scare the markets into believing that no matter what happens, the Central Banks will be able to step in and support the financial system.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2012
Gold Versus Bonds - When Bond Markets Crash, Investors Will Rush The Exits / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
When capital markets expand, the action is in the equity markets. When capital markets contract, bond markets are where the action is; because when credit and debt-based markets reach their limit, debt, not credit, has the upper hand.
Today’s economists, trapped between the flawed theories of John Maynard Keynes and Milton Friedman, assiduously avoid the observations of Carl Menger and the Austrian School of Economics. But try as they might, the misguided and devoted followers of Friedman and Keynes can’t escape the results of their misguided assumptions—today, economies everywhere are drowning in debt.
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Thursday, September 06, 2012
No Central Bank Solutions: Liquidity vs Insolvency, Gold and Silver Renewed Vigor / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
The Hippocratic Oath dictates never to do harm to the patient. The central bankers instead take the Hypocritical Oath that dictates to cripple the patient, to drain the blood, to preserve power by tightening the straps, to erode buying power from hard work, and to render life savings a weak shell, while whispering lies in the ears on blame for what went badly wrong, against the background din of endorsed war themes. The effectiveness of the latter oath is seen in the systemic failure of the USEconomy, whose financial and economic structure has been destroyed by bad economic policy, the poor paper financial foundation from the monetary system, corrupt bond market practices marred by $trillion frauds, and a marriage between the state and sanctioned large corporations whose only efficiency is seen in dark corners protected by criminal impunity. The Fascist Business Model showed itself in bold terms in the 1990 decade, in the strengthened links between state and major corporations, where inefficiency, favoritism, and corruption produce the bitter fruit of a sclerotic financial structure and weakened body economic. The Gold price responds to the systemic failure of the ruinous financial and economic policy, aggravated by the devoted ghoulish doctors and their perverse solutions that neither fix anything nor attempt to apply remedy.
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Sunday, July 29, 2012
Opacity and Credit Default Swaps No Access for Spain Denver, Maine, and Carlsbad / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012
Rick: How can you close me up? On what grounds?
Captain Renault: I'm shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on in here!
– From the classic scene in Casablanca, made in 1942
The latest scandal du jour seems to be about what is now called LIBORgate. But is it a scandal or is it really just business as usual? And if we don’t know which it is, what does that say about how we organize the financial world, in which $300-800 trillion, give or take, is based on LIBOR? This is actually just the second verse of the old song about derivatives, which is a much larger market. Which of course is a problem that was not solved by Dodd-Frank and that has the potential to once again create true havoc with the markets, whereas LIBOR can only cost a few billion here and there. (Sarcasm intended.)
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Thursday, July 26, 2012
Our Debts Must be Redeemed / Politics / Global Debt Crisis 2012
In mid-October 2011, a group of Occupy protesters in London set up tents and encamped outside of St. Paul's Cathedral for almost four months before finally being evicted by the Corporation of London. At first, the Church welcomed the protesters and preached to them, acknowledging the ways in which governments and banks were clearly contravening Christian teachings.
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Tuesday, July 24, 2012
Fake Growth, Economic Collapse, Death...er...Debt Spirals, SOCIALISTS Smelling the End Zone / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
As the politics of HOPE are slowly replaced by the politics of FEAR the demise of the developed world's empire, financial systems and economies continues to UNFOLD. NOWHERE are the lessons of history being EMBRACED as the elite powers that be: socio and psychopaths in power FIGHT to cling to power regardless of the outcomes their policies have sown in the past.
The results of which are ENTIRELY PREDICTABLE as history provides a powerful ROADMAP. With the proverbial gun to their heads the elites, banksters and public servants duck and let the public take the bullet.
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Saturday, July 21, 2012
Worldwide Debt Default is the Only Solution / Politics / Global Debt Crisis 2012
Sovereign nations, state governments, Californian cities, small businesses, homeowners, middle-class families, recent graduates and all types of other individuals and entities around the world are facing the same growing problem… DEBT. While the European Union is in the spotlight at the moment, the debt crisis is arguably worse in the United States and reaches its nasty tentacles into just about every nook and cranny of modern society.
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Friday, July 06, 2012
What I Wish Ben Bernanke Knew About Japan's Economic and Debt Crisis / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012
I've called Japan my "other" home since 1989 and in that time I've seen it change in ways that ought to scare the pants off you.
I say that not to ruin your day, but because I fear we are headed down the same exact road as long as Ben Bernanke and his central banking buddies think it's easier to print money than actually stimulate real growth.
Thursday, July 05, 2012
Global Uncoordinated Bond Market Panic ... / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012
... ECB Cuts Rates to Record Low, Deposit Rate to Zero; Bond Market Response Was 'Not Enough'; Words 'Heightened Uncertainty' ExplainedGlobal Uncoordinated Panic
In a 45-Minute Salvo today, the ECB cuts rates to a record low 0.75 percent and reduced the deposit rate to zero. Meanwhile, the People's Bank of China cut their benchmark borrowing costs (the second time in a month), and the Bank of England raised the size of its asset-purchase program.
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Saturday, June 30, 2012
The Global Debt Trap, Come on People, Wake Up! / Politics / Global Debt Crisis 2012
The never-ending D-Days of the 21st Century are getting extremely dangerous.
The revolving 'D's are all disgustingly circular, establishing a vile state, destabilizing in its nature, which entrenches a widespread destructive status-quo paralysis throughout the fabric and core of all societies subject to them.
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