Category: Global Debt Crisis
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, July 23, 2011
History of Great Debt Defaults, The English Experience c.1300 / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
Money, once dear to bankrupt kings, is now at 3.5% for 30 years...
SO in 1294, English king Edward I fell out with Philip IV of France – to whom he owed loyalty by also being Duke of Aquitaine – after English pirates raided French ships and sacked the port of La Rochelle.
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Thursday, July 21, 2011
The Debt Crisis and the War Cycle / Politics / Global Debt Crisis
Many books have been written in recent years on the problems facing us due to our nation's enormous debt. Indeed, many more could be written before the full scope of the debt problem and its consequences have been exhausted. One of the best books I've read which describes the debt problem in its simplest and most fundamental terms was written by one Richard Hoskins, entitled War Cycles/Peace Cycles.
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Thursday, July 21, 2011
Moody’s Solution to Debt Crisis Shows Market Irrationality / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
The bond rating agency that missed the subprime bubble, financial crisis, and is perennially late to the downgrade “party” has toughened its language with the US government. Recently, the company warned that a debt ceiling is the true problem facing the US government. Eradicating debt fights from government would be a sure way to better the United States’ global standing as a first rate borrower.
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Wednesday, July 20, 2011
What Europe Could Learn From Dubai On How To Save The Eurozone From Their Bastiat Farce / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
There is an article on Martin Wolf’s blog at the FT on “How to Save the Eurozone”, which you can read for free. It’s by Lawrence Summers; his bio says he was Treasury Secretary under Bill Clinton but says nothing about Andrei Shleifer or how he shafted Brooksley Born and helped Harvard University lose a billion.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Sovereign Debt-Default Survival Kit, The Four Countries That Will Keep Their AAA Credit Ratings / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Martin Hutchinson writes: Stories about debt downgrades and sovereign-debt defaults are dominating the headlines.
And it's no longer just Europe that we have to be worried about. On Friday, Standard and Poor's warned that there was a 50-50 chance that the United States would lose its AAA debt rating in the next 90 days - even if the debt ceiling didn't result in a U.S. default.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
30-Year Extend-and-Pretend Debt Plan for Greece, Crash Looking More Likely / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
Confusion reins supreme ahead of Thursday's EU summit that German Chancellor Angela Merkel thinks is "urgently necessary." However, Merkel will only attend if there is a plan that will be approved.
Is there any conceivable solution that can be worked out in 4 days? I suggest it is impossible.
Monday, July 18, 2011
The Death of the Welfare States, We're All Greeks Now / Politics / Global Debt Crisis
Patrick J. Buchanan writes: Departing for New Hampshire in November 2010, Sen. Judd Gregg, the fiscal conservative President Obama wanted in his Cabinet, blurted an inconvenient truth: "This nation is on a course where if we don't do something about it, get ... fiscal policy (under control), we're Greece."
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Sunday, July 17, 2011
Who Benefits from the Greek Bailout? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Continuing From Part 1 (The Great Global Debt Depression: It's All Greek To Me) - Greece has a total debt of roughly 330 billion euros (or U.S. $473 billion).[60] In the lead-up to the Greek bailout orchestrated by the IMF and European Union in 2010, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) released information regarding who exactly was in need of a bailout. With the bailout largely organized by France and Germany (as the dominant EU powers), who would be providing the majority of funds for the bailout itself (subsequently charged to their taxpayers), the BIS revealed that German and French banks carry a combined exposure of $119 billion to Greek borrowers specifically, and more than $900 billion to Greece, Spain, Portugal and Ireland combined.
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Saturday, July 16, 2011
How to Protect Yourself From a U.S. Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
The U.S. is in a very scary position right now... We have a real chance of defaulting on our debt. The government is still arguing over what to do about the debt ceiling, and if they can't find a solution we're looking at an economic meltdown.
The rating agencies are starting to catch on.
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Friday, July 15, 2011
Europe's Debt Default Crisis: It's the CDS, Stupid / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
"The constraints imposed by market forces [on government deficits inside a single-currency union] might either be too slow and weak, or too sudden and disruptive." - The Delors Committee report on European monetary union, getting it exactly right in 1989
GREEK BONDS have lost half to three-quarters of their face value. Six national strikes have all ended in violence already this year. In the three months to April, public investment spending fell 42% from the start of 2010, but total spending still rose – and tax revenues sank – forcing the budget deficit still wider as the economy shrank 5.5% year-on-year.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
Sovereign Debt Blows Big Holes in Big Banks / Companies / Global Debt Crisis
The past few days have been very bad for the world's largest banks. American behemoths Citigroup and Bank of America are down about 7% each. Across the Atlantic, things are far worse. BNP Paribas, Barclays, and Banco Santander are all down 13% or more... and Société Générale is down an astounding 16%!
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Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Are Floundering U.S. Debt Ceiling Talks Causing or Reflecting Uncertainty? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
The chart below – courtesy stockcharts.com – is one example of various currency charts that are giving technical buy or sell signals
These “tentative” breakouts may be symptomatic of a much broader scenario
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Monday, July 11, 2011
European Debt Crisis Sees Government Bond Spreads Hit Record Highs / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
10-Year Government Bond Yields and Spreads vs. Germany
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Monday, July 11, 2011
The Euro Debt Crisis and You / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
Greece may seem a long way from Newport Beach, California. Well, it is. But, we live in the global village, or some other dim construction. In his June 16, 2011, edition of The Credit Strategist, Michael Lewitt explained "the interconnected nature of global financial markets render Europe's problems the world's problems.... [T]here is no longer any periphery."
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Greek Tragedy Goes Global / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
After Greece's government surrendered to banker occupation, trends analyst Gerald Celente told Russia Today that:
America's "economy continues to decline. There's no recovery in sight." Across Europe in Greece, Britain and elsewhere, people are reacting against forced austerity to assure bankers get paid.
Friday, July 08, 2011
Egypt vs IMF: Time to Debt Default? / Politics / Global Debt Crisis
The financial flip-flop of Egypt’s revolutionary government, first requesting and then declining a $3 billion dollar IMF loan, highlights Egypt’s hard choices at this point in the revolution, but is a good sign.
It is no secret that Egypt has put all its faith in the US and Western international institutions since the days of Egyptian president Anwar Sadat, contracting a huge foreign debt, a process that was increasingly corrupt, despite being careful watched over by those very agencies. This debt is financed by foreign banks, and must be repaid in dollars -- with interest. If much of the money they create and then “lend” is siphoned off into Swiss bank accounts, that is Egypt’s problem. No one is trying to charge the people who gave Mubarak or his henchmen their money and then let them re-deposit it with them, but it takes two to tango.
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Friday, July 08, 2011
Is The Irish Debt Attractive? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
According to a Bloomberg article, Sandor Steverink, the Europe’s best-performing sovereign debt fund manager over the last decade, asserted that when the Irish debt gets downgraded to junk, it is time to become a buyer. Steverink said he prefers Irish bonds to Portuguese ones as the country’s debt burden was caused by the banks and the country doesn’t have the structural problems of southern Europe’s economies. Above all, Ireland also has more potential to export its way out of trouble. We very much agree with such assessment and believe that once Ireland gets downgraded to junk, forced sellers will create a wonderful opportunity to buy.
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Thursday, July 07, 2011
World's High Debt Default Risk Countries / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
Top Risky countries in the world
■ Greek spreads peaked on 27th June – one day before the austerity measures set by the EU and IMF were approved by the Greek parliament. Spreads rallied following the decisive vote, but remain high with five year probability of restructuring at 80% and the markets expecting it to take around two years for the austerity measures to drive down the cost of borrowing.
Thursday, July 07, 2011
The Politics of Debt Default: Roadmap to Debunk the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Global Debt Crisis
We were one of few who defended the euro when many pundits predicted parity to the U.S. dollar in the spring of 2010, when Greece’s issues first came to the fore. Since then, Old Europe’s currency has had a dramatic comeback, although not without significant jitters along the way. A roadmap is playing out that may lead the euro to debunk the dollar. Not convinced? Let’s look at what is and what isn’t working on both sides of the Atlantic, and how dynamics may play out.
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Thursday, July 07, 2011
What the Greek Debt Crisis Mean for Investors? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Kerri Shannon writes: With Greece on the brink of default - and hanging over the global economy like a financial sword of Damocles - investors the world over are asking themselves the very same question, day after day: Just what is the Greek debt crisis, and what does it mean to me?
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