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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: UK Debt

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 08, 2009

Bankrupting Britain's AAA Credit Rating at Risk / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe credit ratings agency Moody's in late as usual move woke up to the fact that Britain's public sector net debt looks set to mushroom to more than 100% of GDP and therefore threatens Britain's AAA credit rating status, which currently stands at AAA "resilient" below that of AAA "resistant" as enjoyed by the likes of Germany and France. Especially as Britain lags virtually all other major economies in terms of economic recovery.

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News_Letter

Friday, December 04, 2009

Britain's Inflationary Debt Spiral / News_Letter / UK Debt

By: NewsLetter

The Market Oracle Newsletter December 3rd, 2009 Issue #90 Vol. 3

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Economics

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Britain's Inflationary Debt Spiral as Bank of England Keeps Expanding Quantitative Easing / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the coming years we will witness the systematic destruction of the British currency as witnessed through the inflation and commodity / asset price data as the Inflation Mega-trend starts to unfold following the asset price destruction induced Deflation of 2008 into early 2009.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Morgan Stanley on UK Sovereign Debt/ Currency Potential Risks for 2010 / Economics / UK Debt

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs investors quickly forget about Dubai, and shield their eyes (apparently using now almost limitless US dollars or Japanese yen) from any potential sovereign road bumps ahead [Nov 27, 2009: UK Telegraph - Greece Tests the Limits of Sovereign Debt as it Grinds Toward Slump] Morgan Stanely (MS) Europe is out with an interesting report for 2010 that highlights some "fat tail" risks, one of which is:  UK becomes the first of the G10 to have a major fiscal crisis as elections lead to a hung parliament.

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Economics

Thursday, November 19, 2009

UK Budget Deficit Could Hit £200 Billion, 18% of GDP / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe public sector net borrowing requirement (PSBR), which is the deficit between government revenues and expenditure for October came in at £11.4 billion (£0 Oct 2008), the worst October since records began which surprised mainstream academic economist projections for the month of between £4-7 billion which compares against my own projection of £12 billion. The deficit for 2009/10 now totals £86.9 billion which on face value is inline with the the Governments target of £175 billion by the end of the current financial year.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Bankrupt Britain, A Short History / Economics / UK Debt

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"If we manage to escape national bankruptcy, we have set up a slavery far more oppressive than any previous form of bondage..."

BRITAIN'S BANKRUPTCY has been a long time coming.

"By our political folly we have a put a large part, probably the greater part, of the nation in possession of rights to draw from the public purse," wrote Ernest J.P.Benn in his hilarious Account Rendered of 1930.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, October 11, 2009

Gordon Brown Announces British Public Assets Fire Sale / ElectionOracle / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGordon Brown hell bent on going out with a financial bang announces a fire sale of British assets to the tune of £16 billion in exchange for a short pause (1 month?) to the size of the growing debt mountain rather than seek to cut public spending in an election year.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Conservative £7 Billion Spending Cuts a Drop in Britain's Debt Ocean / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShadow Chancellor George Osbourne announced net public sector spending and budget cuts totaling £7 billion at the Conservative party conference. However the proposed cuts are but a mere drop in the debt ocean that on their own do not amount to anything of real significance when one compares to an annual budget deficit that is expected to break above £200 billion this fiscal year.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 02, 2009

UK Treasury Bond Market, Surging Gilts Sleep Walking Toward Edge of a Cliff / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Gilt has remained well-supported over recent months despite some of the worst public sector borrowing data ever seen, and certainly in peace time. In recent days it has begun to surge  -in line with or even better than other bond markets What then, as we have asked before, keeps this market up?

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Economics

Friday, September 25, 2009

Where Did All the Debt Go?, Economic Dark Matter Part2 / Economics / UK Debt

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"A mere $400bn went missing in the UK debt-savings boom of 2000-2008. Not to worry..."

SEEMS WE'RE NOT the only ones trying to figure out this week where the last decade's record consumer borrowing went.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Bankrupt Bailed Out Banks Bankrupting Britain as Debt Soars / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBritain's debt as a consequence of bailing out the banking sector continues to mushroom towards unprecedented levels as the amount the UK government borrowed for August 09 came in at an eye watering £16.1 billion, already at 65.3 billion for the first 5 months of the financial and heading for £185 billion for 2009 as the original analysis of November 2008 warned of (Bankrupt Britain Trending Towards Hyper-Inflation?).

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Economics

Monday, June 29, 2009

Public Sector Pensions Deficit of £1.2 trillion Adds to Britains Debt Crisis / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe mainstream press is widely reporting that the public sector pensions deficit has now grown to £1.2 trillion, standing at 85% of GDP which is more than triple that of the United States as stated in a report by the British-North American Committee :

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News_Letter

Friday, June 12, 2009

Bankrupt Britain's Public Sector Double Dip Debt Recession / News_Letter / UK Debt

By: NewsLetter

June 11th, 2009 Issue #43 Vol. 3 Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Sunday, May 31, 2009

Labour Governments Bankrupt Scorched Earth UK Economy for the Conservative Government / ElectionOracle / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Labour government is reeling from the MP expenses scandal that looks set to see as many as half of its members of parliament disappear at the next General Election. A recent opinion poll in the Times puts Labour trailing behind the fringe Euro-skeptic UKIP party at just 16%, with the opposition Conservatives at 30% are failing to fully capitalise on Labours meltdown due to their own crooked MP's, and the Lib Dem's similarly skimming along at a low 12%. Whilst this and similar polls are dire for the Labour party which do suggest electoral wipeout in the June 4th European Elections, however they do not represent what is likely to occur at the May 2010 General Election which this article will seek to elaborate upon.

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Economics

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Bankrupt Britain's Debt Credit Ratings Crash / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn the day when the Government announced a surge in net public borrowing for April 09 totaling £8.5 billion against £1.8 billion a year earlier (the deficit is the difference between what the government earns against what it spends), the S&P credit agency cut Britain's credit worthiness to negative from stable which puts Britain's AAA credit rating into question, the direct impact of which would be that Britain would near immediately be required to pay a higher interest rate on the continuing huge surge of bonds being issued in advance of the 2010 general election, as Labour throws all of the fiscal rules out of the window in an attempt at turning the economy around by 2010 to prevent a Westminister wipeout.

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Politics

Friday, May 01, 2009

Labour Government Enslaves the British Tax Payer to a Decade of Paying for the Bankers Crimes / Politics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Chancellor Alistair Darling in his recent budget started to come clean on the huge amounts of debt that the country will need to borrow on just its visible official balance sheet as illustrated by the below graph. However much talk by politicians and the mainstream media about how there will now need to be severe cuts in public spending and tax cuts to reduce the level of debt are partially in-correct, in that yes taxes will rise and public spending will be cut to stabilise the budget deficit, but the argument that the level of debt must be reduced is flawed and fly's in the face of over 300 years of history of debt accumulation since the founding of the Bank of England.

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Economics

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Darling's Recession Debt Crisis Budget, Britain's £1.2 Trillion Public Sector Black Hole / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDarlings irresponsible budget resulted in a a net give away of £5 billion today, against borrowing of £175 billion for 2009 as against the Chancellors own forecast of barely 6 months ago of borrowing of £38 billion. Instead of positioning the countries finances to cope with the huge public sector budget deficit the government has instead focused itself on the next general election which is still a year away.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

UK Budget 2009 Debt Deficit, Basic Rate Income Tax Could Rise to 30% / Politics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday, Alistair Darling delivers his 2009 budget, the certainty of which will be to finally recognise the huge debt crisis that the country faces as this years budget deficit is set to explode to 12% of GDP or £160 billion which is set against Alistair Darlings November 08 forecast of £38 billion against my analysis at the time which pointed to a 2009 deficit of £160 billion (Bankrupt Britain Trending Towards Hyper-Inflation?). This and the recognition of the severe recession which will prompt a revision to economic contraction to GDP -3% from -1% for this year which is set against my forecast of -4.3% for 2009.

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