Category: Economic Stimulus
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, March 14, 2021
Keys to US / Global Economic Recovery - Part 2 / Economics / Economic Stimulus
This is a continuation of our extended technical review of what my research team and I believe will be required for the US/Global markets to enter a stronger post-COVID-19 recovery phase. If you missed Part I of this research series then you can find it here: www.thetechnicaltraders.com/....
In this Part II, we will look at how potential currency shifts will prompt new trending in various economic sectors. The past 20+ years have really changed how the markets operate from a standpoint of capital deployment and capital function. We certainly live in interesting times from a trader and investor perspective. There is more capital floating around the globe right now than ever before… and that changes certain things.
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Wednesday, November 11, 2015
Oops The Feds Did it Again- Are They Setting up The Masses for Another Stimulus Program / Economics / Economic Stimulus
"I guess the definition of a lunatic is a man surrounded by them." ~ Ezra Pound
Is the Fed playing mind games with the masses or is it simply another version of Britney Spears hit song "Oops I did it again"? Only this time they did not. They keep mouthing off that they are ready to raise rates and then suddenly just before the moment to pull the trigger draws near; some unforeseeable event springs up, and they kick the can down the road again. Two questions comes to mind.
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Tuesday, August 13, 2013
The Best Way to Ignite the U.S. Economy / Economics / Economic Stimulus
Shah Gilani writes: The problem with the U.S. government's stimulus efforts to create jobs, and the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing to foster full employment, is that banks are the only direct beneficiaries.
There's just no good pool of jobs being formed from the trickle-down effect that first bathes bankers in bonuses, and then showers shareholders with buybacks and dividends.
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Tuesday, March 26, 2013
The Economic Stimulus Trap / Economics / Economic Stimulus
For years we have been warned by Keynesian economists to fear the so-called "liquidity trap," an economic cul-de-sac that can suck down an economy like a tar pit swallowing a mastodon. They argue that economies grow because banks lend and consumers spend. But a "liquidity trap," they argue, convinces consumers not to consume and businesses not to borrow. The resulting combination of slack demand and falling prices creates a pernicious cycle that cannot be overcome by the ordinary forces that create growth, like savings or investment. They say that a liquidity trap can even resist the extraordinary force of monetary stimulus by rendering cash injections into useless "string pushing." Some of these economists suggest that its power can only be countered by a world war or other fortunately timed event that leads to otherwise politically unattainable levels of government spending.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Balancing Lenders and Borrowers is the Most Economically Stimulating / Economics / Economic Stimulus
Keeping interest rates low has always been perceived to be stimulating. This is based on the premise that borrowers are more inclined to borrow when rates are low. This is undeniably true, however, this simplification totally removes the lenders from the equation, which have an equal role in stimulation.
By definition the maximum activity (thereby stimulation) occurs when the number of borrowers is the same as the number of lenders. By definition this occurs at the MARKET PRICE. To artificially move rates either way from the market price suppresses either one group or the other and thereby de-stimulates.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2012
ECB Calmed the Markets, Will China Act Next? / Economics / Economic Stimulus
After Mario Draghi announced the European Central Bank's new bond buying program, I was the first guest on CNBC Asia's Squawk Box to weigh in on this decision. I reiterated my stance that the endgame for Europe would be to print money, which will eventually lead to currency wars. These actions are positive for gold and also for increased economic activity.
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Friday, September 07, 2012
Central Banks Attack on Aggregate Demand / Economics / Economic Stimulus
We are now at least somewhat clear on one central bank’s plans for the economies under control. Save a significant reversal, the European Central Bank (ECB) is going to ‘nuclear’. That is to say the bank will engage on a program of bond buying in the Eurozone that is unlimited in scope, duration, and magnitude. A thoroughly anemic August jobs report has now applied even more pressure on the USFed to act when it meets next week. While the markets will undoubtedly cheer any indication of further monetization or a formal announcement itself with a flurry of high-frequency trading activity, this is nothing for Mr. and Mrs. Main Street to get too excited about. Why? The idea that money is being pumped into the economy sounds pretty good especially if some of it lands in your lap, right? Once again, things are not always what they seem and this is another prime example.
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Wednesday, August 08, 2012
Fed Has Done Enough, Gas Tank is Full Says Fisher / Interest-Rates / Economic Stimulus
Richard Fisher, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Tom Keene and Sara Eisen today, saying that "we're at the risk of overburdening the central banks" and "we keep applying what I call monetary Ritalin to the system. We all know there's a risk of over prescribing."
Fisher also said that "we have done our job. We have done enough. Just doing more doesn't solve the problem. The problem is engaging the transmission. We provided the gas, the gas tank is full."
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Thursday, August 02, 2012
U.S.Fed Fails to Offer Stimulus, But Assures Support if Necessary / Interest-Rates / Economic Stimulus
The two-day FOMC meeting concluded without any change in monetary policy. Expectations had ranged from a possible change in language to extend the exceptionally low interest rate period to 2015 from the current late 2014 stipulation to a reduction in interest on excess reserves or another round of purchases of long term assets. Hopes were not entirely dashed as the Fed expressed a strong willingness to provide monetary policy support if economic conditions weaken. The Fed’s message runs as follows:
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Wednesday, August 01, 2012
Geithner Calls on Europe and Congress to Spur Economic Growth / Politics / Economic Stimulus
BLOOMBERG TV EXCLUSIVE: Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner spoke with Bloomberg Television's Peter Cook from Los Angeles last night, where he discussed the European debt crisis and the U.S. economy.
Geithner said that European leaders must take steps including "bring down interest rates in the countries that are reforming and making sure those banking systems can provide the credit those economies need." He also said that "they are committed to doing what's necessary to hold the European Union together" and "I absolutely believe they have the means to do it."
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Saturday, June 02, 2012
The Time Has Come Mr. Bernanke for More Stimulus! / Stock-Markets / Economic Stimulus
For several months Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has been assuring Congress and by extension, investors, that the Fed stands ready with ammunition to re-stimulate the economy “if it becomes necessary.”
It has become necessary.
Friday, February 24, 2012
The Stimulus Secret Obama Doesn't Want You to Know / Politics / Economic Stimulus
David Zeiler writes: As he campaigns for re-election, U.S. President Barack Obama wants voters to believe his 2009 stimulus package played a key role in the economic recovery.
But while the American Reinvestment and Recovery Act (ARRA) did indeed help many people by spreading more than $787 billion around the country, it fell short of its goal of stimulating an economic recovery.
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Wednesday, August 31, 2011
Seven Ways Washington Can Spur Private Sector Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Stimulus
Martin Hutchinson writes: The U.S. economy is sputtering, and it's no secret why: The government is standing in the way of private sector growth.
Second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth was revised down to 1.0%. That means the economy grew at an average rate of 0.7% in the first half. That's pathetic.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
How the Economic Stimulus Racket Works / Politics / Economic Stimulus
Charlie Virgo writes: Have you ever noticed that the failed policies of politicians never really seem to be brought to light? How is it that despite their obvious shortcomings, the same policies are implemented time and time again? These interventions rarely have the promised effects, but they are somehow still deemed a success. In his book The Vision of the Anointed, Thomas Sowell explains the process by which politicians and their supporters are able to either create or take advantage of crises in order to increase their involvement in society. I thought it would be worthwhile to review this pattern as it applies to a more recent issue: the stimulus and bailout packages.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Federal Economic Stimulus Solution, Mint a Few $1 Trillion Coins? / Politics / Economic Stimulus
Ellen Brown in late November, 2010, became Bernanke's cheerleader. She loved QE2. She wants more of the same. Way more.
She wants more government spending. Way more spending. Gigantically more spending. She wants it NOW.
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Friday, July 15, 2011
Economic Stimulus Shock: Unemployment “Boost” Ending / Economics / Economic Stimulus
Economics has been declared the “dismal science,” one in which there are very few opportunities to test the real world outcome of varying decisions made at a high level. Today, the study of economics may be dismal for other reasons: the boost from unemployment benefits and other stimulus programs will soon run out.
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Thursday, June 02, 2011
Economic Stimulus Wears Off / Economics / Economic Stimulus
The artificially engineered U.S. recovery is already starting to falter as a continuous procession of disappointing data continues to confirm the sad truth. Recent numbers on GDP, durable goods, housing, regional manufacturing, initial unemployment claims and leading economic indicators all indicate a sharp slowdown in GDP growth. Just today the ADP Employment report showed that the private sector added a paltry 38,000 jobs in May, down from 177,000 jobs in April, significantly below expectations, and the weakest number since September 2010.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Why the Feds Are Desperate to Avoid an Economic Correction / Economics / Economic Stimulus
Whoa! This is getting interesting. Two major central banks are tightening – China and the ECB.
But nobody seems to care. These central banks are warning investors to sell their high-risk investments. Instead, gold hits new records! The dollar is at a 15-month low. And oil moves up to $125 a barrel.
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
Congress to Follow Fed to and Spend Money to Lift Economic Growth in 2011 / Economics / Economic Stimulus
The Fed's $600 billion purchase of Treasury securities, known as QE2, is the Fed's second chance to stimulate economic activity after the $1.725 trillion QE1 package expired in March 2010. Chairman Bernanke presented his case for the second package on "60 minutes" last Sunday. The Fed is focused on meeting its dual mandate of price stability and full-employment, both of which are not within the reach of the mandate at the present time.
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Monday, October 18, 2010
Cutting the Payroll Tax Will Kick-start the U.S. Economy / Economics / Economic Stimulus
On Friday, Fed chairman Ben Bernanke made the case for a second round of quantitative easing (QE) claiming that inflation is presently "too low" to achieve the Fed's dual mandate of price stability and full employment. By purchasing long-term Treasuries, Bernanke hopes to lower bond yields and force investors into riskier assets. That, in turn, will push stocks higher making investors feel wealthier and more apt to boost spending. (re: "trickle down") When investors increase spending, it reduces the slack in the economy and lowers unemployment. Thus, QE is intended to divert investment to where it is needed and to lift the economy out of the doldrums.
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