Category: Stagflation
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, March 07, 2008
US Dollar-Gold: A Perfect Hyper-Stagflationary Storm / Economics / Stagflation
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The title should really be “Psychology of 1000-20-100” to give respect to the major signpost price targets. The $1000 gold target is within reach. The $20 silver target has been breached. The $100 crude oil price has been breached. Before long, all three price levels will serve as support. When a gold target of $1000 was proposed three to four years ago, most people dominated (or bound) by conventional thinking dismissed such talk as silly, irresponsible, even ludicrous. Not any more! The same goes for silver and crude oil with their respective distant price targets, each attained. Profound market psychology is in the process of changing. Many new wrong analyses will come to the table, like so many casseroles containing rancid meat and rotten vegetables as ingredients. They will maintain that now these three goals have been met, the great sell off can begin. They will be dead wrong. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 01, 2008
Stagflation and the Fed- Damn the Inflation Torpedoes! Full Speed Ahead! / Economics / Stagflation
By: John_Mauldin
- How Do You Spell Stagflation?
- Memo from the Fed: Inflation? What Inflation?
- The Fed Will Cut and Cut Again
- Damn the Inflation Torpedoes! Full Speed Ahead!
- Apple, Sprint, AT&T, and Going to the Dark Side
This week's topic was inspired by a discussion I had with George Friedman of Stratfor fame last night. He was suggesting the recession would be short and steep, and I of course think it is going to be shallow and with a long, protracted, and slow Muddle Through recovery. And it all hinges on how the Fed thinks about inflation.
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Tuesday, February 26, 2008
US Fed Fueling Hyper Inflationary Global Commodities Market Bubble / Commodities / Stagflation
By: Gary_Dorsch
“Too much money, chasing too few commodities,” might be the best way to explain the historic rally that is underway in the global commodities markets. Central bankers in eighteen of the top-20 economies in the world have been expanding their money supplies at double digit rates for the past several years, trying to prevent their currencies from rising too quickly against the sickly US dollar. Nowadays, fund managers are pouring billions of dollars into commodities across the board, as a hedge against the explosive growth of the world's money supply, competitive currency devaluations, and the negative interest rates engineered by central banks. To the chagrin of central bankers, much of new money pumped into the global markets, is also going into commodities, instead of the stock market.
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Monday, February 25, 2008
Recessionary Inflation Equals Stagflation / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Recessionary inflation – it used to be called stagflation, but this time around the growth seems to be heading lower while inflation is rising all the way to modest levels. The CPI report showed that inflation was higher than expected, for both the “core” (without the unnecessary food and energy) as well as the “all in” kind. One key report next week will be the Producer price report that should show whether companies are able to pass along their higher prices to consumers. So far, companies have generally been eating the higher costs. Another key report is the income and spending report, here we are looking for spending to be below income growth and too, whether the income gains will be above that of the inflation rates.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 23, 2008
US Heading for 1970's Style Stagflation? / Economics / Stagflation
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
On Thursday, February 21, articles about the possibility of stagflation occurred in both The New York Times ( That '70s Look: Stagflation ) and The Wall Street Journal ( Fears of Stagflation Return As Price Increases Gain Pace ). Are we about to be subjected to a rerun of "That '70s Show"? Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 23, 2008
G7 Economies Turn Into Wealth Sucking Black Holes- Opportunities in Emerging Countries / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
By: Ty_Andros
Volatility continues to expand at a blistering pace, wonderful isn't it? Volatility is opportunity for the prepared investor . This week's missive will be a little shorter than most as I have had a very bad flu. A number of markets are tipping their hands signaling another round of re-pricing in many markets, further signaling abundant opportunities DEAD ahead. We will cover a few here today. Next week we will address why commodities are not in a bubble in a definitive way - don't miss it ! Global Decoupling is still proceeding; it is just navigating a rough patch. You can see its outline clearly. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 15, 2008
US Recession Debate Turns Toward Inflation / Economics / Stagflation
By: Michael_Pento
The debate over the "R" word has been the focus on Wall St. for months on end. This obsession over whether the degree of the economic slowdown will in fact reach the technical definition of recession (2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP) is unproductive for the average investor. What investors need to know is that while economic growth is clearly weak, inflation is rising and that the current value of the stock market has not priced this in. Meanwhile, the Fed's response to this crisis is causing great harm to investors and could lead to hyperinflation in the long term.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 15, 2008
Economic Stimulus Packages Overdosing Could Ignite Hyperinflation / Economics / Stagflation
By: Peter_Schiff
In perhaps one of biggest ironies to ever to come out of Washington, this week Congress simultaneously pilloried major league baseball players for using artificial stimulants to pump up their performance while passing legislation to do just that to the national economy. Am I the only one laughing?Read full article... Read full article...