Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, November 11, 2017
Unemployment Rate Reaches Record Low, Positive for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Donald_W_Dony
The U.S. Unemployment rate has just reached a level not seen in over forty years.
In early November, the seasonally adjusted claims was 239,000. The 4-week moving average sat at 231,250 which is the lowest level since March 31, 1973 when it was 227,750.
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Friday, November 10, 2017
Can Stocks and Bonds go Down at the Same Time? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
TNX gapped up this morning in a possible Wave [iii] of 3 of (5). I spent a considerable amount of time evaluating the Waves and Cycles to arrive at this construction of the Wave pattern. The fact that the Wave had become very oversold alerted me to the possibility of stocks and bonds both in decline. An index may often rally an average of 3 weeks after a Master Cycle low.
The view that bonds go higher as stocks go down is only a recent phenomenon. What if both go down in a liquidity crisis? For example, Japan or China may sell their treasuries to forestall their stock market declines.
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Friday, November 10, 2017
STOCKS HIT AN AIR POCKET……AGAIN! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
Stocks got their fist little taste of pain yesterday as we close out this half cycle.
Full cycle losses in the coming bearmarket will extend to at least 60% in my estimation.
But it remains to be seen if this new decline is the beginning of something greater.
The DOW was down more than 250 points today in a possible series of 1,2 waves.
It is too early to say just yet,
But If I were a bull,
I might ask this question:
why do stocks nose dive, when everything is supposedly so great?
It has got to be a head sctratcher!
Friday, November 10, 2017
Stock Market Indexes Are in a Retracement Mode After Giving Their Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The formation we see here is most likely a Leading Diagonal Wave (i). At the 2-hour scale we see a complete trip from top to bottom of the Cycle. A normal retracement would take Wave (ii) to the mid-Cycle resistance at 2584.39, which is a 58% retracement. The Fibonacci 61.8%, retracement is above the mid-Cycle resistance at 2585.29. It may not make it.
Thursday, November 09, 2017
Stock Market Decline May have Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The VIX has given its buy signal at the 50-day Moving Average and appears capable of rising above its compressed Cycle Top, as well. Note the redrawn Elliott Wave structure which finally became clear at Friday’s Wave (2) low. No rules were violated in this pattern, just stretched to the limit. The EW structure now says we are in Wave 1 of (3), which should be a magnitude larger than Wave (1). Wave 1 should rise to the trendline at 16.66 or possibly to 17.28, which is the high in the Daily chart. The Head & Shoulders pattern which gives the Wave 3 target is still valid. It is possible that Wave 5 of (3) may rise to the mid-30’s.
Thursday, November 09, 2017
Stock Market Topping Action Or Just a Pause? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index gained 0.15% (neutral), following slightly lower opening of the trading session. We still can see some technical overbought conditions along with negative divergences. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,605 and potential profit target is at 2,555 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Thursday, November 09, 2017
Stock Market Dow Theory Divergence Returns Caution Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Christopher_Quigley
The bull price action momentum that returned to the Dow Transports September 11th last has now vanished, and is beginning to indicate renewed market weakness.
The Dow Industrials, the S & P 500 and the NASDAQ are displaying no such tendency. On the contrary, they show all the signs of a parabolic “blow-off”, which is the classic signature of a bull market termination.
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Monday, November 06, 2017
The Stock Market- From Here to Infinity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Plunger
Rambus has shown that the move upward in the stock market continues to be unimpeded. I would concur with the caveat that early next year it may peak and end the 9 year bull market, so far the second longest in history. Momentum is still powering higher, however internal deterioration has begun to be evident. Here is one possible scenario for the ultimate top:
Monday, November 06, 2017
Stock Market Topping Pattern Or Just Pause Before Another Leg Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved wrong because the S&P 500 index gained 0.3% following slightly higher opening of the trading session. We still can see some short-term overbought conditions. Therefore, intraday short position is favored. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,605 and potential profit target is at 2,555 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Monday, November 06, 2017
Nothing Can Bring Down This Stock Market Except . . . / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
This past week, we experienced yet another horrendous terrorist attack in New York City. And, amazingly, just like what occurred after several other terrorist attacks that have been experienced over the last year, the market rallied right after the attack.
It has almost gotten to the point that people now expect the stock market to rally after a terrorist attack. Have we really become this warped in our thinking? Must we hold fast to ridiculous notions that news is what drives the stock market to the point that we have to resign ourselves to believing that the market will rally “because” of a terrorist attack? Do you not see how ridiculous these perspectives really are?
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Monday, November 06, 2017
Stock Market Still Bullish, (Near-Term)! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Friday, November 03, 2017
SPX Trying to Digest a Whopper of a Monthly Labor Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are flat, trying to digest a big letdown in the BLS October Employment Situation Report. To make matters worse, 216,000 of the 261,000 reported new jobs are from a hypothetical model called the CES Birth/Death Model.
ZeroHedge reports, “Well, with virtually everyone expecting a 300K+ payrolls number after last month's negative hurricane-distorted print, and with whispers of a 400K print floating around, it only made sense that not only would payrolls disappoint, printing at 261K, one standard deviation below the 310K consensus estimate (and that even with a whopping 89,000 waiters and bartenders added)”
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Friday, November 03, 2017
Someone doesn't want the Stock Market to decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The VIX got walloped just after challenging the 50-day Moving Average this morning. It appears that someone didn’t want to see the equities markets go down after the tax plan was announced. Thus far the lows are higher, so there is no apparent threat to the VIX. However, it may mean that the “big one” may come overnight so they can blame it on other news.
Thursday, November 02, 2017
Timing the Peak in Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Is Stock Market Valuation in Bubble Territory?
Many analysts and forecasters argue that stock market is in bubble territory and about to do significant correction or even a crash. There’s a lot of reasons given, both from fundamental and technical point of view. For example, some popular reasons are:
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Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Is Trump’s Tax Reform Bullish for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
EWFHendra : The tax reform is perhaps the single most important agenda for Republicans. The consequence for falling short of the tax overhaul is dire. Should Republicans fail to deliver the tax reform, they could face rout in the mid-term elections next year. This means losing control of the Senate and possibly also the House of Representatives where they have a majority now. Recently, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has suggested that stock market could give back much of the gain if tax reform fails. Mnuchin said during a recent interview with Politico: “There is no question that the rally in the stock market has baked into it reasonably high expectations of us getting tax cuts and tax reform done”. Given the high stake, the market seems to believe that some version of tax reform is likely to come out of Washington.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
It’s Time To Challenge What You Think You “Know” About The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
I know I am not the traditional author you come across on most financial sites. Most others will provide you with traditional notions of the stock market based upon rationalities. So, many authors will suggest that we “cannot separate public policy and geopolitics from the markets,” they will focus on “market valuations,” they will claim that “fundamentals do not support this rally,” and will provide you with many, many other reasons as to why they have continually believed that this rally would never happen.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Fragile Stock Market Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: James_Quinn
“So the modern world may be increasing in technological knowledge, but, paradoxically, it is making things a lot more unpredictable.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder
“Success brings an asymmetry: you now have a lot more to lose than to gain. You are hence fragile.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder
I had read Nassim Taleb’s other best-selling tomes about risk, randomness and black swans – Fooled by Randomness & The Black Swan. They were not easy reads, but they were must reads. He is clearly a brilliant thinker, but I like him more because he is a prickly skeptic who scorns and ridicules academics, politicians, and Wall Street scumbags with gusto. There were many passages which baffled me, but so many nuggets of wisdom throughout each book, you couldn’t put them down.
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Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Stock Market Bullish Trend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Saturday, October 28, 2017
Fed/ECB Strangle Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Zeal_LLC
This epic central-bank-easing-driven global stock bull is starting to be strangled by the very central banks that fueled it. This week the European Central Bank made a landmark decision to drastically slash its quantitative easing next year. That follows the Fed’s new quantitative-tightening campaign just getting underway this month. With CBs aggressively curtailing easy-money liquidity, this stock bull is in serious trouble.
The US flagship S&P 500 broad-market stock index (SPX) has powered an incredible 280.6% higher over the past 8.6 years, making for the third-largest and second-longest bull market in US history! The resulting popular euphoria, a strong feeling of happiness and confidence, is extraordinary. So investors brazenly shrugged off the Fed’s September 20th QT and the ECB’s October 26th QE-tapering announcements.
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Friday, October 27, 2017
U.S. Stocks: A Sentiment Extreme You MUST Pay Attention to / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Here's what it's telling you about this bull market
Robert Kelley, the editor of our US Stocks Intraday Pro Service, tells you about a sentiment extreme that he's seen recently. Watch this new interview to find out what has caught his attention and what they mean for U.S. stocks going forward.
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