Category: Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, March 18, 2016
Gold Stocks Tiny Baby Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Gold stocks have radically outperformed every other sector in the stock markets this year, blasting higher as investors flock back to gold. This powerful surge is spawning worries that gold stocks’ new bull run is in danger of exhausting itself. But such fears are totally unfounded. A longer-term perspective reveals that gold stocks’ baby bull market in 2016 remains tiny in the grand scheme. This new bull has barely begun.
Successfully buying low and selling high to multiply wealth in the markets demands traders overcome their own innate greed and fear. These ever-present emotions are constantly warring in traders’ minds, impairing their judgment. One consequence of heeding these dangerous emotions is the tyranny of the present. Traders naturally tend to overweight the present and forget the past, which leads to poor decisions.
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Thursday, March 17, 2016
Fractal Analysis Shows Coming 70s Style Gold Stocks Rally From Even Cheaper Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
In terms of the gold price, gold stocks are currently at better value than at the beginning of the bull market in 2001. In 2001, at the bottom of the gold bull market, the XAU to Gold ratio was around 0.2 compared to 0.05 today. In other words, gold stocks are cheaper than they were in 2001. In fact, they are cheaper than they have been the last 78 years at least.
If you are confident that the gold bull market is about to continue, and trust gold stocks as the best “vehicle” to take advantage of the gold bull market, then it is probably an ideal time to get into these gold stocks.
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Tuesday, March 15, 2016
Zero-Hour for the Precious Metals… - / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Just as the world was breathing a massive and collective sigh of relief that a new bull market in gold and silver had arrived with all the pomp and pageantry of a Royal Wedding, the Barbarians climbed the walls and are now very close to razing the palace, says precious metals expert Michael Ballanger.
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Tuesday, March 15, 2016
HUI Gold Miners: A Correction in The Wind / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The Gold Miners have started the year with a cracking rally pretty much as they started last year. They have finally broken out of their downward trend which has been in place for around 4 years. As we write the HUI currently stands at 169.44 which is well off its recent lows, but is some 73% below its previous high of 630.
The HUI now looks to be rolling over, although it is too early to say that this rally is over for now, it is beginning to look that way. A recent golden cross, whereby the 50dma crosses over the 200dma in an upward motion should be good for the HUI, but often this is not the case and a reversal follows.
Monday, March 14, 2016
Near-Term Gold Forecast: The Thrill of Victory and the Agony of Indecision. . . / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Man-oh-man, the heat I am taking over my recent "Caution" stance on the near-term outlook for gold and silver is now verging on the theatre of the absurd, says precious metals expert Michael Ballanger.
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Friday, March 11, 2016
GDXJ ETF - Gold Junior Stocks Strong in Dark / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
With gold miners’ stock prices surging dramatically this year, investors’ attention is starting to return to the gold juniors. These smaller miners and explorers suffered terribly in recent years, all but abandoned as gold slumped to major secular lows. But even during gold’s darkest quarter, the fundamentals of the juniors actually mining gold remained quite strong. This portends explosive profits growth as gold recovers.
Most investors think of junior gold stocks as the Wild West of commodities stocks, with good reason. The legendary American humorist Mark Twain allegedly described a gold mine as a hole in the ground with a liar at the top! There are literally hundreds of gold juniors, a number that swells whenever gold grows more popular. And the great majority of these tiny companies truly are junk, they are indeed doomed to fail.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Gold GDX - What and where are the STRAITS of HELL, / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
and why does anyone care, anyway ?They are located and easily found btwn $HUI 280 and 300. Created by selling enough paper contracts to equal TWO (2) years of Newmont's production, in ONE DAY[1], THEY cleaned out all the bids from ceiling to floorboards, like a dust explosion. Clearly UN-Economic that was a signal from HELL that GOLD was doomed, from, in my opinion, THE POWERS THAT BE [ TPTB ]. We shall see.....
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Sunday, March 06, 2016
Canadian Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Probably the number one concern for investors is resource nationalism.
Where gov'ts of the countries you, me, we invest in decide to take a huge piece of your business; one for me, one for you, one for me one for you, two for me, one for you…etc etc etc.
Canada is, compared to too many other places we invest in, politically stable. There's also disease, rebellion and a dozen other concerns that are not present in Canada.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
Gold Stocks Reverse at Resistance Targets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Two weeks ago, regarding the miners we wrote:
If it (GDXJ) surpasses its 80-week moving average then its next target is $27-$28. Meanwhile, GDX is holding above previous resistance at $18. Its next strong resistance targets are $21 and $22.
Earlier today GDX and GDXJ came within pennies of $21 and $29 respectively while Gold touched $1280 before reversing. While Gold and gold stocks could continue a bit higher, their rebound may have ended Friday morning.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
Gold Price and Gold Stocks Launch! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
While at near-term risk, the gold sector is launching, not blowing off
Okay, the title of the post is a bit of a joke at this late stage of the rally because it sounds like hype and we have actually been calling the move in the gold sector a potential launch for weeks now, since gold and HUI each busted through their bear market limiters, the EMA 75 and EMA 55, respectively.
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Friday, March 04, 2016
Behold the New Gold Bandwagon. . . / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger says we are actually back in a bona fide, brand-spanking-new, bull market in gold and the gold miners.
As I was busy last evening returning a myriad of emails regarding the near-term outlook for gold and silver, I was suddenly hit with the realization that we really are actually BACK in a bona fide, brand-spanking-new, bull market in gold and the gold miners.
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Sunday, February 28, 2016
US Dollar Rebound Increases Near-Term Gold and Stocks Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Last week we noted that the odds favored more upside in precious metals before a larger correction would begin. While that view remains on track, we want to note the renewed strength in the US Dollar which could provide immediate resistance to higher levels in Gold and gold stocks.
The chart below plots the weekly candles for the US$ index and the net speculative position in the US$ index. The US$ index closed back above its 200-day moving average (97) and remains well above its 400-day (or 80-week moving average).
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Wednesday, February 24, 2016
Eric Coffin Can See the End of the Gold Stocks Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
When the New York markets run out of steam, the gold market gets hot. HRA Editor Eric Coffin has been watching the companies with the best assets, waiting for just this moment. In this interview with The Gold Report, he shares the names of the best in the gold, silver, copper and uranium spaces and tells you where you can go to talk to the CEOs.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
When Will Gold and Gold Stocks Correct? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Wednesday evening we raised a question in a subscriber update. We wrote: The current question for Gold and gold stocks is if they will push to higher targets before or a correction or if a correction has already started. We should know the answer in the next day or two. The gold stocks exploded higher on Thursday. GDX gained 6% while GDXJ surged 7.4%. Meanwhile, Gold solidified its support at $1200/oz. Markets that become overbought within strong trends can become extremely overbought before they correct. Recent price action in the precious metals complex argues that the path of least resistance in the short term continues to be higher.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Gold Mining Stocks Thrive in Bleak Q4 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The gold miners’ stocks have soared this year as investors flock back into this long-abandoned sector. Many traders wonder if these eye-popping gains are merely the product of fleeting sentiment that could reverse anytime, or are supported by strong underlying fundamentals. With the gold miners reporting their latest quarterly operating results, this extensive new data offers great insights into gold mining’s fundamentals.
By law, publicly-traded companies must file quarterly earnings reports four times a year. These yield a treasure trove of valuable information for traders, and are easily the single-most-important contribution to financial-market transparency. The Securities and Exchange Commission requires companies traded on the US stock markets to file quarterly earnings reports no later than 45 days after their quarters end.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Gold BUGZ v. MR. NASTI / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Now before you get down on Mr. Nasti's ($NASI) case, just realize he is just the bagman for the US TREAS, BOJ, BOE, ECB, ESF, JPM, and PPT. They all helped jump start the volume which has brought the mullets and some institutions back as well as BIG foreign money coming to the USA as tax dodge in their own countries. Ironic isn't, the USE Red-Letters all the other tax havens and busts them, not to increase the US's legal take, but to steal their business !
Wow what a plan !! They did that in plain view and not one figured it out !!
Thursday, February 18, 2016
What is the Best Trade on the Gold Mining Sector? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Gold prices soared last week when Fed market pricing went to extremes, with bond prices indicating that there was next to no chance of a rate hike in the next twelve months. We have covered the cause of this irregular pricing, which was the stopping out of 2016 consensus macro trades, in a previous article, so we will not repeat ourselves here. For the purpose of this analysis it suffices to say that gold prices were heavily overbought when they challenged $1250 and that the currently high levels are unsustainable.
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Saturday, February 13, 2016
HUI Gold Stocks …Meet Me at The Bottomz Inn ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
This is the Question on Everyone’s mind .
Earlier this week we looked at the expanding triangle as a possible reversal pattern as it was testing the top rail with a beakout gap. The next two days saw the HUI decline back down to the top of the double bottom hump at 139 where it found support. Yesterdays price action took out the top rail of the expanding triangle again. Today the HUI backtested the top rail around the 155 area and is bouncing. There is no doubt the PM complex is overbought but we now have two possible reversal patterns in play. The double bottom which was the first pattern that showed itself and now the expanding triangle which has an odd number of reversal points, five, which makes it a reversal pattern instead of a consolidation pattern.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Gold Stocks Upside Targets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The gold miners’ stocks are rocketing higher again, multiplying wealth for smart contrarian traders who bought them low in recent months. But after such a blistering surge, traders are naturally wondering how much farther gold stocks can run. Is it time to realize gains, or buy aggressively for greater gains to come? This critical question can be answered by looking at fundamentally-derived gold-stock price targets.
Many analysts shy away from offering price targets, with good reason. Divining precise future outcomes in volatile markets is all but impossible. Prevailing stock prices result from the chaotic interplay between sentimental, technical, and fundamental drivers. And an effectively-infinite array of variables can affect each one, making forecasting stock prices a fool’s errand. Nevertheless, this exercise is absolutely necessary.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Gold Stocks Picks for Patient Pickers / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Picking gold and silver equities in a stagnant price environment is a stock picker's game that requires a particular thesis—and a fair portion of patience, says Joe Reagor, an analyst with ROTH Capital Partners. In this interview with The Gold Report, Reagor outlines types of companies he prefers and pairs those with names that patient investors could parlay into promising profits.
The Gold Report: In a report from RBC Capital Markets in late January, the firm said gold could reach as high as $1,200/ounce ($1,200/oz) in the short term but remains in an overall downward trend. Does ROTH Capital Partners share that view?
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