Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, June 05, 2013
Follow the Fed to 50% Stock Market Crash Flops / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
John Hussman is one of the savviest investing minds I know, and so I never miss his Weekly Market Comment. This week he wrote about an interesting disconnect between what investors believe about "fighting the Fed" (i.e., don't do it) and the reality of S&P 500 returns, and I've made that piece today's Outside the Box.
John leads off with a provocative fact: "… the last two 50% market declines – both the 2001-2002 plunge and the 2008-2009 plunge – occurred in environments of aggressive, persistent Federal Reserve easing." Go figure, right? And to make the situation even more counterintuitive and confusing,
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Monday, March 04, 2013
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: “The warnings are out there, but no one is listening, they just don’t want to know.” / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
“The warnings are out there, but no one is listening, they just don’t want to know.”
I can’t think of a better introduction to these pages than the single sentence directly above. Denial is easy. Ignoring history is easy. But evading the financial iceberg that lies in wait for the unwary is going to be hard. In fact nothing about economics and financial markets is easy. Fragmented by opinions, emotions and fraud, ignored by denial and distorted by time, much of economic history lies there just beneath the surface ripples, “representing all the sins we never had the courage to admit to and the all the lies we were never forced to face”.
Saturday, February 09, 2013
U.S. Economy Death Cross - Trouble Coming to Paradise / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Gordon_T_Long
The Macro Indicators are signaling there is potential trouble coming to paradise.
Goldman Sachs points out in a recent study that there is a remarkably strong correlation which has emerged as a result of global central bank policy initiatives. The steely eyed Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge points out:
We have noted the odd cyclicality in macro data (and its leading effect on the market) and it seems Goldman Sachs has also noticed that something is different this time. For 15 years, the seasonal patterns in Goldman's macro index have been mild to totally negligible; but since 2009, something changed.
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Monday, February 04, 2013
What the Real Stocks Bear Market Looks Like / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
It seems pertinent that only the indexes that one can leverage in quantity with futures - the S&P and Nasdaq - have risen over the past half year. Maybe this selectivity is for technical reasons, but there might be another explanation. Institutions, not the public, have driven the rally, and they can borrow billions of dollars from banks to leverage their bets.
Saturday, February 02, 2013
Harry Dent: Stock Market Roller Coasters and Bear Megaphones / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: The_Gold_Report
Booms and busts in the economy are based on predictable demographic cycles such as those studied by Harry Dent, founder of HS Dent, chairman of SaveDaily.com and author of "The Great Crash Ahead: Strategies for a World Turned Upside Down." In this Gold Report interview, Dent predicts a global crash between mid-2013 and early 2015, in an ongoing decade of economic coma. For now, gold and gold equities are great investments, but when the crash comes, read on to find out what he suggests will be a good sector until the echo generation enters the workforce and starts buying potato chips and houses.
The Gold Report: Harry, you base your economic predictions largely on demographics and demographic cycles. As the baby boomers enter old age and spend less, will that quash any hope of an upward trend in the overall economy?
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Wednesday, January 23, 2013
Fib Study - Stock Market Investors Could Be in for Biggest Fall in History / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Here is a Fibonacci study of the rally from October 4, 2011. My first observation is that everything, I mean everything is a ZIGZAG. The A-B-C (zigzag formations) are also 3-3-3 formations, all of them and at all degrees. That is what makes this rally so irregular. There is literally nothing to hang your hat on, as far as the Elliott Waves unless you can step back and look at the whole picture, so that is what I have done.
Thursday, January 17, 2013
The Real Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
It seems pertinent that only the indexes that one can leverage in quantity with futures - the S&P and Nasdaq - have risen over the past half year. Maybe this selectivity is for technical reasons, but there might be another explanation. Institutions, not the public, have driven the rally, and they can borrow billions of dollars from banks to leverage their bets.
Friday, January 11, 2013
Stock Market Charts the Bears Have Been Waiting For Have Arrived / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_Morning
Ben Gersten writes: As the bull market tries to enter its fifth year, many are wondering if it still has legs - but a handful of stock market charts warn there's high risk of a coming sell off.
In fact, a recent report from Credit Suisse Group AG (NYSE ADR: CS) outlined 10 technical factors that show the market is at its most risk-on level since just before the stock market crash that began in 2007's third quarter.
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Wednesday, January 09, 2013
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Equities merely the froth on the financial cappuccino / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
As the banks continue to take advantage of the free money offered by the US Fed to feed their financial habit, it is important to remember that equity markets have now become merely the froth and bubbles on top of the financial cappuccino, while the currency markets are the bulk of what lies underneath and true indicators of future market movements. To extend this analogy further, you could then possibly consider financial derivatives as the opiates of the markets as a whole, allowing the Bankster traders to maintain their opulent lifestyles in the way to which they have long become accustomed. But as is inevitable, when the froth deflates from this equity market bubble, there will be deflationary consequences.
Tuesday, January 08, 2013
Where Are We In the Stocks Secular Bear Market 2013? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Sy_Harding
It seems to only be when the market is in a cyclical bear market that the financial media remembers that a secular bear market began in 2000.
That is completely forgotten once a cyclical bull market, like the one we’re currently enjoying, comes along within the secular bear.
Tuesday, January 01, 2013
Stocks Secular Bear Market, Slower Economic Growth Game Changer / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
We are 13 years into a secular bear market in the United States. The Nasdaq is still down 40% from its high, and the Dow and S&P 500 are essentially flat. European and Japanese equities have generally fared worse.
The average secular bear market in the US has been about 11 years, with the shortest to date being four years and the longest 20. Are we at the beginning of a new bull market or another seven years of famine? What sorts of returns should we expect over the coming years from US equities?
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Friday, November 09, 2012
Nasdaq Stock Index Break its Bull Market Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Donald_W_Dony
After over three years of steady advancing, Nasdaq appears to be finally breaking its bull market trend.
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Friday, October 19, 2012
Stocks Bull Market Topping / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
With the US stock markets near major multi-year highs, traders are naturally very optimistic. Predictions abound for a continuing advance to new all-time highs. But behind this happy facade, the secular picture is actually quite bearish. The powerful stock bull of recent years appears to be topping in recent months. This means the odds are ballooning that a new bear market is being born or soon will be.
Few, if any, things are more important for stock investors to understand than the bull-bear cycles. They can only be ignored at great peril. Investors who refuse to study them inevitably end up buying stocks at the wrong times in these cycles. And that derails their wealth-building progress for many years. For example, today the US stock markets remain lower than they were in March 2000 over 12 years ago!
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Thursday, September 13, 2012
End of Stocks Bull Market Signaled by Three Peaks and a Domed House Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Submissions
Ed Carlson writes: Even prior to the new high on 9/11/12, a follower of George Lindsay's Three Peaks and a Domed House model might have been wondering 'could the 3PDh forecast be incorrect?' What would make it incorrect? The three peaks, as labeled in the chart below, meet the requirement of a time span of 6-10 months between peaks one and three. Actually, the distance is not quite six months but is greater than five months.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2012
Stock Market Finally at the Top! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Things are speeding up on several fronts, including the markets. I will fall back to doing one closing Commentary on Wednesday and a Weekend Report on Saturday until further notice. I will still attempt to bring you breaking news as it happens.
I wish to inform you that I am being vetted for a position with a much larger RIA firm with a possible start date of October first. I still don’t know if or how that will affect my newsletters. Until then, I intend to keep the letters going, at least until further notice.
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Monday, September 10, 2012
U.S. Stock Market Investors Set Up to be Fleeced, Triple Top? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Clive_Maund
Most investors were duped by the mainstream financial media into thinking that the broad US stockmarket made an important upside breakout last week, but according to our charts it did no such thing. Sure the market did breakout to new post 2008 - 2009 crash highs, but it DID NOT break out to new highs on longer-term charts, and DID NOT break out upside from the large bearish Rising Wedge that it remains stuck in.
Sunday, September 02, 2012
The Bear Case For the S&P 500 Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Richard_Shaw
Today’s comments by Fed Chairman Bernanke gave equity markets a boost, but it also caused US Treasuries and gold to rise more strongly in a run to safety.
There are important voices on both the bull side and the bear side of the US stock market predictions.
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Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Copper Prices Signaling Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past 5 – 6 weeks have seen equity prices move considerably higher amid growing concerns regarding the European debt crisis, the instability of the Middle East, and ultimately the potential for a major economic slowdown in the United States.
U.S. equity indexes have continued to climb the proverbial “Wall of Worry” since the first week of June and have put on an incredible run. This past Friday saw the S&P 500 Index (SPX) post the highest weekly close of 2012. The perma-bears have been calling for a top and continue to run scared as light volume and volatility have given the bulls an edge during August.
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Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Significant Stock Market Top, Next Leg Down: Export led World Economic Collapse UNDERWAY / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ty_Andros
- Italy: Time to put a fork in it. It’s done!
- 50 year lows equal 50 year highs in FEAR and MONEY printing!
- GRESHAMS LAW strikes AGAIN!
- Faces of CRONY Capitalism!
- Stock Market Top of significance?
- Next leg down: Export led world economic collapse UNDERWAY!
As the Developed World’s Currency, Financial systems and economies move towards their ultimate denouement the next 4 months are JAMMED packed with prospective catastrophes. A number of canaries in the coalmines are singing loudly signaling their COMING demise as the grim reaper continues its march to them. This era in mankind’s evolution will be written about and studied for centuries into the future. Illusions fostered by GOVERNMENT-controlled schools, the main stream media and a global banking cartel are set to FALL.
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Monday, August 20, 2012
Inter-Market Relationships That Are Driving The Stock Market And Commodities / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
This will be a quick post today illustrating what I expect over the next 2 years, and the inter-market relationship between the currency markets, CRB and stocks.
Pay particular attention to the inverse relationship between the dollar index and the CRB; notice how the CRB almost immediately began moving down into its three year cycle low once the dollar formed it's three year cycle bottom in May 2011.
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