Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, September 04, 2011
Why Economic Recession and Stocks Bear Market May Be Inescapable! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Sy_Harding
Note to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke:
It’s happening, Ben. Your assurances of an economic recovery in the 2nd half are in the wind, blown away by the continuing string of terrible economic reports. The next recession is probably already underway!
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Wednesday, August 31, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Investing, Tepid Interest in QE2 Winners Raises Questions About QE3 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The Federal Reserve printed money in 2009 and bailed out the stock market. The Federal Reserve printed money in 2010 and bailed out the stock market. As the financial markets anticipate the next Fed statement due to be released on September 21, the markets are again teetering on the edge of a deflationary abyss.
Wednesday, August 31, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally Has Begun / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
I've been warning bears for a couple of weeks that the market was due for an aggressive bear market rally. That rally has clearly begun.
I have often referenced the Rubber Band theory in my nightly reports. For those not in the know, the rubber band theory is nothing more than the tendency for any market to regress to the mean. And the further a market is stretched away from the mean the more violent the snap back tends to be once the pressure is released.
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Saturday, August 27, 2011
Stock Market Intermediate Signals Still Pointing Down! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
To put today's upmove in a larger perspective -- certainly larger than my 1-minute or 4-hours chart analytics, let's have a look at my updated weekly pattern and moving average analytics in the cash SPX.
Only twice in the last 11 years (2000 & 2007) have ALL of my directional moving averages turned down into a negative crossing, which subsequently confirmed that an acute, intermediate-term bear phase was underway. In 2000, after the downside MA inflection point, the SPX declined from 1380 to 768 (-45%), and in 2007 the SPX declined from 1475 to 666.79 (-55%).
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
The Stock Market's Dumbest Rally of All Time / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Whitney
"Without the destructive power of the banks, hedge funds and other investment companies, the world would not be where it is today — at the edge of an abyss." Der Spiegel, "The Destructive Power of the Financial Markets"
Tuesday's 322 point surge on the Dow Jones must rank among the dumbest rallies of all time. The proximate trigger for the triple-digit moonshot was the feint hope that Fed chairman Ben Bernanke might pull another rabbit out of his hat at his Jackson Hole confab and announce another round of his bond purchasing program called Quantitative Easing.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Marc Faber Stock Market S&P Index Won’t Surpass 2011 1,370 High / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bloomberg
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, appeared on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart” with Carol Massar and Matt Miller today.
Speaking from Sao Paolo, Brazil, Faber said that the S&P won’t surpass the 2011 high of 1,370 and that investors are “better off in equities than bonds.” Faber also said that keeping money in cash in 10-Years is a “disaster.”
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Dow:Gold Ratio & the Secular Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
As I have been warning investors for many months, stocks have now entered stage III of the secular bear market. Gold on the other hand is now in the final parabolic phase of a 2 1/2 year C wave advance.
My best guess was that we would see a Dow:gold ratio of between 5-6 before this C wave ended. The ratio was at 5.71 as of today. For reasons explained in the nightly reports I think we may still have a little further to go on the downside for stocks and a little further upside in gold. So it's entirely possible that we could see a Dow gold ratio of 1:5 before the trends reverse.
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Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Another Stock Market "Lost Decade" Coming Up; Boomer Retirement Headwinds / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are digging into a Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco report that models equity prices and P/E ratios based on demographics. The outlook is not promising to say the least.
Interestingly, the report matches articles I wrote earlier this year based on cycles, not demographics.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Beginning of Classic Stock Market Break Down / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Based on the chart below (courtesy Bigcharts.com) we have just witnessed the beginning of a classic breakdown.
Monday, August 22, 2011
Global Stocks Bear Market Is Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Richard_Shaw
Or At Least Knocking On The Door... QVM Clients:
The attached letter provides charts showing evidence that we are in, or nearly in, a global bear market for stocks.
Important news events that will impact the coming week are:
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Monday, August 22, 2011
Stock Market Dip Buyers Beware: Odds Favor Lower Lows in Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Whether you rely on fundamentals, technicals, or a combination of both, investment analysis centers around looking at probabilistic future outcomes based on historic outcomes that occurred under similar circumstances. Given the weight of the fundamental and technical evidence we have in hand and in the context of history, the odds have shifted from favoring higher highs in stocks and risk assets to favoring lower lows. Until conditions improve, we will continue to err on the side of caution and treat the current market climate as unfavorable for intermediate to longer-term investing. We have minimal exposure to global stocks. We have positions in gold (GLD), silver (SLV), bonds (TLT), and cash.
Sunday, August 21, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Begins / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Donald_W_Dony
World markets have broken important support levels over the past three weeks. Global equity indexes have now fallen into a new bear market.
Fears about the spiraling European debt crises and a stalling US economy is largely the cause for the decline (Chart 1). Most indexes have already dropped 10% to 14% in August as investors run to safe havens. An additional 10% to 12% is expected by year end.
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Sunday, August 21, 2011
Nasty Stocks Bear Market Below S&P 1249 Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jack_Steiman
We look for defining moments that tell us something has changed. That what was once one trend is now another, although it's hard to see it initially. It's about trusting those technicals that tell you where one market ended and another began. S&P 500 1249 was that level. Losing it lost the up trend line off the March 2009 lows. It also meant losing huge horizontal support, and the bottom of the big triangle in place at the time. It opened the door to much lower prices potentially, and that potential has been filled. I don't think anyone would deny that. It's been ugly since we lost S&P 500 1249. Some short-term rallies along the way, but the trend has been to sell and sell hard almost on a daily basis. Some monster days lower of 4% plus. One day like that is unusual enough. Multiple days like that tell you something is terribly wrong economically.
Sunday, August 21, 2011
The Stock Market Bear Lives On / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: WavePatternTraders
Last weeks article was titled "setting up the next decline." I mentioned to readers that we could see a push higher towards the 1200ES area in the early part of the week, but I still suspected we would find a high in that area.
The market made it a little more frustrating that I wanted to see, but it eventually it came good, having put in 2 false breakouts, the 3rd attempt finally cracked lower, a what a move!, it finally made the effort that we put in looking for that 4th wave high all the more worth it.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
See Prechter's Stock Market "FREE FALL TERRITORY" Chart for Yourself / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
In the May 2008 issue of his monthly Elliott Wave Theorist, Robert Prechter showed this chart of the Dow Jones Industrials. As you can see, prices go back to the 1970s.
Friday, August 19, 2011
Stock Market Sure Looks Like 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Pallotta
"He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts on the on stock prices and the patterns seen in the Stock Markets in general." ~ From a book on the teachings of Jesse Livermore
When you think of it in the short term markets are nothing more than a group of people trying to process data and understand what others are doing all under the stress of losing personal wealth. They are trying to solve a problem that in may ways is not solvable unless one can adapt. Similar to a group of Navy SEALs on a mission. They are successful only if they can adjust to the changing situation. There's a reason few are SEALs and few are successful in this business.
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Thursday, August 11, 2011
Stock Market History May Not Repeat, But It Always Rhymes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
The last time we had a deflationary bear market low followed by a bull market was 1932-1937. When that bull market completed, the 1929-1932 bear market was still fresh in everyone’s minds. We reviewed the waves coming off the spring 1937 top and found a similar pattern to today’s market.
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Thursday, August 11, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
Ever since the rally out of the March 2009 low began, I’ve been saying that we have been in a bear market rally that should ultimately prove to separate Phase I from Phase II of a longer-term secular bear market. This view has not changed. Based on the overall evidence at hand, I continue to believe that we are operating in an environment much like that of the 1966 to 1974 secular bear market, with the advance out of the 1966 Phase I low being similar in nature to the rally out of the 2009 low.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Return of the Stocks Bear Market, Do Central Bankers Lead or Follow the Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
The bear market is back says Australian economist Steve Keen. I agree. Moreover, the recent action, including the rally, offers sufficient evidence. The biggest percentage gains in history have all been in bear market rallies.
Monday, August 08, 2011
Stock Market Losers Club, Stay Out Until Dow Drops below 6000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bill_Bonner
Investors were staggered yesterday. Stocks got walloped. Dow down 512 points.
Today, bond yields are falling… oil is below $86. London, Paris, Frankfurt – all down heavily. Only gold has resisted the general rout. It lost only $7 yesterday.
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