Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Game Over- No Housing Market Rebound Whilst Debt Deflation Continues / Housing-Market / Deflation
By: Mike_Whitney
Interview with Michael Hudson
Mike Whitney : Fed chairman Bernanke has been on a spree lately, delivering three speeches in the last two weeks. Every chance he gets, he talks tough about the strong dollar and "holding the line" against inflation. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson even said that "intervention" in the currency markets was still an option. Is all of this jawboning just saber rattling to keep the dollar from plummeting, or is there a chance that Bernanke actually will raise rates at the Fed's August meeting?
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Tuesday, June 24, 2008
UK Housing Mortgage Meltdown for Purchases and Equity Withdrawals / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Mortgages for home purchases and equity withdrawals continues to slump for May data released by the British Bankers Association, falling to just 27,968 approved loans down from 34,752 for April 08 and down by 56% from a year earlier. These are the worst lending figures since the BBA started recording mortgage data in 1997 and confirms that the UK housing market is trending towards a 1990's style housing market depression. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 23, 2008
UK House Prices GDP Adjusted Real Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK housing bear market continues to gather momentum as the mainstream increasingly awakens to the prospects of falling house prices following house prices going negative on a year on year basis for Aprils house price data.
This analysis forms part of a series of articles that seeks to extend the current Market Oracle forecast forward for several years well beyond the current forecast for a 15% fall in nominal house prices between the August 2007 and August 2009 (as of August 2007).
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Sunday, June 22, 2008
Housing Market Depression Without an Economic Depression / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Michael_Pollaro
They” said it couldn't happen, but it has. Home prices are falling at rates not seen since the Great Depression. From peak to March 2008:
• New Home Median Prices -13%
• Existing Home Median Prices -13%
• Case Shiller US National Index -16%
Friday, June 20, 2008
UK Property Auction Sale Values Slump by 44% From a Year Ago / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: David_Sandeman
Welcome to the June newsletter that reviews auction activity for May 2008. Continuing market conditions have seen the overall sales rate slip 3 points from last month to 56%. It should not be forgotten however that the auction process did sell over 2,100 lots in May, no mean achievement in this market. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 18, 2008
How Inflation Will Destroy Home Owners Equity / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK housing boom has seen house prices rise from a low of £60.096 in 1993 (Halifax UK:NSA) to a high of £201.081 by August 2007. A whopping gain of 334%. The below graph illustrates the remarkable strong trend higher, where even the measured forecast downtrend of 15% only measures as a minor blip on the long-term trend of ever higher house prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 14, 2008
US House Prices Collapsing, Home Owners Equity Plunging / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
House prices are collapsing, which means that homeowners' equity in their houses is plunging. According to Federal Reserve flow-of-funds data, homeowners' equity dropped by $399 billion quarter-to-quarter in Q1:2008 and $880 billion year-over-year - both record absolute declines (see Chart 1). The drop in homeowners' equity contributed significantly to the $1.7 trillion decline in household net worth in the first quarter (see Chart 2). Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 11, 2008
UK House Prices Real Inflation Adjusted Long-term Trend / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
In recent months inflation has started to breakout to the upside, as CPI began to soar in February, hitting 3% in April and destined to pass 4% this year, busting straight through the Bank of England's 3% upper limit.
Leaving aside the headline house prices, inflation has huge consequences for the real value of house prices which impacts on the wealth effect of the consumer economy which comprises some 65% of the UK economy.
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Wednesday, June 11, 2008
UK Housing Market Seizes Up / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Mike_Shedlock
The Telegraph is reporting House sales fall is steepest since the 1970s .The number of houses changing hands has "collapsed" to the lowest level in 30 years, an influential housing market survey shows today. Its report also says that gazundering, the controversial practice of buyers dropping their offer price after they have agreed to purchase a property, has returned.
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Friday, June 06, 2008
UK House Price Forecast 2008- Bear Market is Only Beginning / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
| Editors Note: Housing Market Forecast Updated December 2008 - UK Housing Market Crash and Depression Forecast 2007 to 2012 |
UK House Prices, the current bottom line - Down 6.4% year on year, Down £14,600 from the peak, Down 7.2% from the peak. Down 3.6% on a quarterly basis. The Halifax, Britains biggest mortgage bank's housing market data for May 08 continues to confirm the Market Oracle forecast for a 15% drop from August 07 to August 09, and a 7.5% drop for 2008. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 05, 2008
Home Equity Loan Valuations In Stratosphere / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mike_Shedlock
Minyan Peter had some interesting comments yesterday about home equity loans. I happen to have some charts to put his comments in perspective.First let's hear from Minyan Peter . Lower Home Prices Impact Loan Portfolios
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Tuesday, June 03, 2008
Bernanke Blames Global Saving Glut For Housing Bubble Instead of the Fed / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Shedlock
In yet another long winded and self serving speech, Bernanke blames everyone but the Fed for the housing and credit bubbles. Not once did he mention interest rate policy at the Fed. However, he did blame foreign investors and "the global savings" glut for contributing to the problem. Given there were no highlights, let's tune into the lowlights from Bernanke's Remarks on the economic outlook at the International Monetary Conference, Barcelona, Spain.
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Tuesday, June 03, 2008
Zero Overhead Real Estate Investing- Right Now / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Steve_Selengut
Real estate investing is not nearly as complicated, financially burdensome, or time consuming as you might think. In fact, Its easy to add raw land, shopping centers, apartment complexes, and private homes to your portfolio without brokers, bankers, attorneys, and handymen on your payroll. Even better, the zero overhead approach allows you to blend your real estate investments into your securities portfolio for ease of management, income monitoring, diversification, and analysis.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 03, 2008
US Housing Industry- A Monument to Futility / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: John_Mauldin
Regular readers of Outside the Box will be familiar with Michael Lewitt's thoughtful commentary. Today, he reminds us that much of the turmoil we are in could have been avoided with proper regulatory structures and then does a very poignant analysis of various sectors of the economy. I agree with him that we have not seen the worst and that we will continue to see this mild recession/slow recovery for longer than we should without true structural reform. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 03, 2008
Housing Market Boom and Bust Cycles Driven by Real House Price Values / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK housing bear market is now into its 9th month as of the peak in August 2007. This article analyses the real value of UK houses prices based on average earnings as part of ongoing preliminary analysis towards the extension of the existing 2 year housing market forecast for a 15% drop from August 2007 to August 2009.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 30, 2008
"Liar Loans" Live Up To Expectations / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Sara_Klein
Investors who purchased soured mortgages securities are forcing lenders to repurchase the original loans based on a provision that required lenders to take back loans that defaulted unusually fast if mistakes were made or fraud was committed during the underwriting process.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 29, 2008
Nationwide- UK House Prices Plunge by £5,000, 2.5% in May / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nationwide
• House prices fell by 2.5% in May• Prices are 4.4% lower than this time last year, but remain 5% higher than 2 years ago
• Falling house prices combined with higher inflation makes MPC decision more difficult still
• Borrowers are better placed to weather the storm than in the 1990s
• Tighter credit conditions should help the longer term sustainability of the market
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Monday, May 26, 2008
US and UK Housing Bear Market Trends / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The housing bear markets continue to bite into economic activity as the US heads for recession this year and the UK during 2009. The US is still showing no signs of a housing bottom having fallen by 3.1% in the first quarter of 2008 according to government statistics, and foreclosures rising to a all time high as borrowers walk away from homes sinking into negative equity. The UK housing bear market has now entered its 9th month following the peak of August 2007, having gone negative on a year on year basis for April 08 data, which was one of the primary reasons for the meltdown in the UK Labour parties vote in the recent string of May elections.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 23, 2008
UK Auction Houses See Surge in Lots Offered and Slump in Sales / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: David_Sandeman
Welcome to the May newsletter that looks primarily at auction activity in April 2008.
The lack of liquidity in the money markets has again been reflected in the subdued sale rate with only 59% of lots finding buyers. This is the national figure and do take a look at the regional variation which is shown in the tables at the bottom of this newsletter.
Friday, May 23, 2008
US House Prices Suffer Record Worst Quarterly Fall / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Jennifer_Yousfi
U.S. home prices suffered their worst decline on record, skidding 1.7% in the first quarter, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) announced yesterday (Thursday).
That drop-off from the fourth quarter to the first quarter in the OFHEO's "purchase-only index" exceeded the 1.4% decline between the third and fourth quarters of last year, and was the biggest decrease in the 17-year history of the index. On a year-over-year basis, home prices have fallen 3.1% since the first quarter of 2007.
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