Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 04, 2007
British Pound (GBP) Dollar currency forecast and trade point 4-Jan-07 / Currencies / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
The British Pound (GBP) rallied strongly into early December to just below 1.99, and within touching distance of £/$2.00. The sideways trend which had the appearance of being corrective in the run up to another assault higher, which started as we came into the New Year. That assault failed at 1.9750, and changes the picture as the Pound drifts down to its current level of 1.9511Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 02, 2006
Will China lead a Stampede out of the US Dollar ? / Currencies / Analysis & Strategy
The $2 trillion per day foreign exchange market never sleeps. Yet for the past six months, the big-3 central banks, the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan managed to lull the currency markets into a deep trance. Since last May, the big-3 central banks corralled the US dollar to within a 3% to 5% trading range against the British pound, the Euro and Japanese yen.The big-3 central banks utilized their three major weapons, (1) relentless jawboning, (2) Japanese threats of intervention, and (3) coordinated rate hikes, telegraphed far in advance to avoid any nasty surprises in the markets. But the big-3’s spell-binding magic act began to wind down on November 25th, when Chinese deputy central banker Wu Xialong jolted the foreign currency markets, warning other Asian central bankers of the future risk of a US dollar devaluation.
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Friday, December 01, 2006
US Dollar tumbles against most major currencies falling to historic lows against the British Pound and the Euro / Currencies / Strategic News
The dollar hits new lows against several major currencies, plunging to 1.96 Dollars to the British Pound, 1.33 Dollars to the European Euro, and to 115.5 Japanese Yen to the Dollar. The recent downtrend has been developing since early October, since when US interest rate expectations of further rises have shifted to a possibility of cuts in the new year in the face of a slowing economy on the back of a slump in the US housing market.
The downtrend was recently further reinforced by the outcome of the US election and rumors that the Chinease were planning on significantly diversifying their reserves away from the dollar, including comments made by the Governor of the Chinease Central bank as implying as such.
British Pound (GBP/$) | Euro (EUR/$) |
Japanese Yen ($/JPY) | Canadian Dollar ($/Can$) |
Monday, November 27, 2006
Japanese economy continues to grow as the dollar weakens / Currencies / Strategic News
The Japanese economy grew by 0.5 percent in the three months to September, with GDP at 2.0 percent, showing a seventh straight quarter of positive growth, according to the Japanese Cabinet Office, beating market expectation of just 1.2%. This supports the view of a further strengthening in Japanese stock and housing markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 10, 2006
China's plan to diversify $1trillion reserves sends the dollar plunging / Currencies / Strategic News
The statement by the Chinese central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan on Thursday that 'China has a clear plan to diversify its $1 trillion foreign exchange reserves and is considering various options to do so', sends the dollar reeling in response.
The diversification comment made by Zhou, was in retaliation to Democratic US Senator Schumer an leading US-China trade/currency critic's celebratory comments following the Democrats election victories. Senator Schumer, has been pushing for tariffs on Chinese goods amid charges it artificially keeps an undervalued yuan to make exports cheap. Along with others, Schumer wants a 27.5 percent levy on imports from China
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Thursday, November 02, 2006
How does the US Dollar Defy the Law of Gravity ? / Currencies / Analysis & Strategy
Sunday, October 29, 2006
The US Dollar Bear Market - Is the downtrend about to resume ? / Currencies / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
The US Dollar (USD Index) has sold off strongly in recent weeks, does this signify a resumption of the long-term dollar bear market ?
After Bottoming in late 2004 at 80.39 , after which we have basically seen a correction against the downtrend that has taken the dollar to as high as 92.6 in late 2005, since which the trend has been down with recent sideways activity within the range of 87 to 84. With most recent action closing near the lower end of the range at 85.20
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Saturday, September 23, 2006
The Pound is finding resistance above 190 / Currencies / British Pound
The British Pound has rallied strongly from the lows earlier in the year to 190, but now has hit heavy resistance at above 190, which suggests a correction is likely.
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Tuesday, April 18, 2006
Is it time for the British Pound to resume its Bull Market ? / Currencies / British Pound
The British Pound (GBP) has spent the last 6 months building a firm support base between 170 and 178, and is now showing signs that it is ready to resume the main uptrend that began June 2001.
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Thursday, January 01, 1970
Forex Trading Perspective, Trends & Finding New Opportunities / Currencies / Forex Trading
Jim Martens shares key insights into trading currencies with the Wave Principle
In this brand-new video interview, EWI Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens shows you his approach to the forex markets -- and how the "simplicity" of Elliott wave analysis has guided him through 23 years of forecasting.
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