Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, December 05, 2012
U.S. Dollar Cliff? / Currencies / US Dollar
As election euphoria settles and the "fiscal cliff" approaches, what are the implications for the dollar? Even as federal deficits may be unsustainable, stocks and bonds are up, and while the dollar may have resumed its long-term downward trend, the greenback has hardly fallen off a cliff. We look at how different tax policies might affect the U.S. dollar.
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Monday, December 03, 2012
Euro-US Dollar (EUR/USD) Analysis / Currencies / Euro
ForexAbode writes: EUR/USD Outlook For This Week:
Euro-US Dollar (EUR/USD) lost some momentum but has been still inching upward. The currency pair has been mainly staying over 5-day EMA. The sharp downward spike on November 29th found support near 22-day EMA (1.2880). The pair went as high as 1.3027 before closing for the week at 1.2985.
Wednesday, November 28, 2012
Is the Japanese Yen Doomed? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
Because of Japan’s massive public debt burden, pundits have called for the demise of the Japanese yen for years. Are the yen’s fortunes finally changing? Our analysis shows that the days of the yen being perceived as a safe haven may soon be over. Let us elaborate.
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Monday, November 26, 2012
Currency Wars, Trading $ Driver, Forecasts 2013 / Currencies / Forex Trading
Since September, the Currency Wars have escalated. It isn't just because of the seminal monetary events of the Federal Reserve's QE III "unlimited" and the ECB's OMT "Uncapped". It is highly likely, more about the fact that China announced its eleventh agreement that effectively bypasses using the US dollar with China's strategic trading partners. The latest agreement with Russia places trading oil, in non-US dollars, into the spotlight. The infamous petrodollar has had its destructive profile raised.
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Thursday, November 15, 2012
How Multinational Treasurers hedge their Foreign Exchange Exposure in Global Operations / Currencies / Forex Trading
As can be seen from below since 1990, world trade between countries have been on the rise. The decline in world trade during 2008-2009 is due to the global financial crisis that affected many countries. However it did managed to reverse its direction by end of 2009 and continue its upward trend ahead. The ‘take off period’ actually happened since the year 2000 where world trade went up from 100 to 150 on the index.
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Thursday, November 08, 2012
Cost of Presidential Campaigns Show Big Problems for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
There has been much discussion recently about the growing cost of running to be President of the United States. The Presidency has been described as the ultimate recession proof commodity. Others might tell you it’s just the price to climb aboard and loot the good ship America.
Whatever is true, the dollar cost of getting into the Oval Office has been rising at a stunning pace, and this is no new phenomenon. Interestingly though, the cost in gold ounces of running for office has not been rising nearly so fast.
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Thursday, November 08, 2012
U.S. Dollar Technical Analysis and Trend Forecast 2013 / Currencies / US Dollar
No surprise, Barrack Obama handily one the US election, which means that with silly season over, they voted the same rascals back into the White House instead of a different batch of rascals. In the end, Mickey Mouse or the Pope could have been stuck into power in the US, the fate of the currency was baked in the cake a long time ago and we are simply following the cycle path. Today's update will provide some clarity regarding the US Dollar Index, as the developing pattern is somewhat recognizable (Refer to Figure 7).
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Wednesday, October 31, 2012
U.S. of A(sia) United to Weaken the U.S. Dollar?! / Currencies / US Dollar
Our leaders want a weaker dollar and a stronger Chinese renminbi (RMB). That’s our assessment based on recent comments by President Obama, presidential hopeful Romney and Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Bernanke. If you join them in that call, OK, just be careful what you wish for, or at least consider taking action to protect your portfolio.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
Central Banks Are debasing More Than Our Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
I can only pass on Societe Generale’s work to you once in a while, but the piece for today’s Outside the Box is important enough that its author, Dylan Grice, worked hard to convince his bosses to let me share it with you. Dylan is one of my favorite investments analysts, as well as just an all-around nice guy.
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Friday, October 26, 2012
Money Is Just An Illusion / Currencies / Fiat Currency
John Rolls submits: The illusion of money, uncovering the evil plan behind the federal reserve, the central bank, and the world bank. They have designed a system to enslave you.Money is what most people spend their lives hunting , what if I tell you that today’s money is nothing more than an illusion in your mind , Its value is nothing more than a perception.
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Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Euro-zone Debt Crisis Presents Germany with a Golden Opportunity / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Patrick Barron writes: The euro debt crisis in Europe has presented Germany with a unique opportunity to lead the world away from monetary destruction and its consequences of economic chaos, social unrest, and unfathomable human suffering. The cause of the euro debt crisis is the misconstruction of the euro that allows all members of the European Monetary Union (EMU), currently 17 sovereign nations, to print euros and force them on all other members. Dr. Philipp Bagus of King Juan Carlos University in Madrid has diagnosed this situation as a tragedy of the commons in his aptly named book The Tragedy of the Euro. Germany is on the verge of seeing its capital base plundered from the inevitable dynamics of this tragedy of the commons. It should leave the EMU, reinstate the deutsche mark (DM), and anchor it to gold.
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Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Currency Wars Part II / Currencies / Fiat Currency
"All war is based on deception. Of all those close to the commander, none is more intimate than the secret agent; of all rewards none more liberal than those given to secret agents; of all matters none is more confidential than those relating to secret operations." Sun Tzu
"Let Hercules himself do what he may,
The cat will mew, and dog will have his day." William Shakespeare, Hamlet
Thursday, October 18, 2012
Forex Trading Using Elliott Waves Video Lesson / Currencies / Forex Trading
8-minute video by EWI's Currency Specialty Service editor shows you how the Elliott wave concept of "waves within waves" allows you to find both the short- AND long-term trends.
In mid-July, AUD/USD, the exchange rate between the U.S. and Australian dollar (and a popular forex pair) was trading near 1.0100.
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Wednesday, October 17, 2012
FOREX Trading Analysis Charts and Forecasts for Dollar, Euro, Yen... / Currencies / Forex Trading
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Wednesday, October 17, 2012
Currency Wars: The U.S. Attacks / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Doubling down on QE3, the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Bernanke tells China and Brazil: allow your currencies to appreciate. One does not need to be a rocket scientist to conclude that Bernanke wants the U.S. dollar to fall. Is it merely a war of words, or an actual war? Who is winning the war?
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Wednesday, October 17, 2012
U.S. Dollar Index Disguises Global Inflation Threat / Currencies / Inflation
When the U.S. Dollar Index peaked at 120.51 in January of 2002, few suspected that it was on the brink of a one-directional correction that would ultimately erase a third of its value. In fact, in just three short years, the dollar index shed, on average, a point a month before ultimately hitting a low of 80.77 in January of 2005. This sharp decline in the dollar index coincided with, and largely fueled, the first few years of the now decade-old bull market in gold.
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Thursday, October 11, 2012
Getting Out of the Euro Is Easy / Currencies / Euro
"It's not true, what all the politicians are saying about the disaster in exiting the euro..."
Czech Republic president Vaclav Klaus published an article in Bloomberg BusinessWeek magazine this week. "I have a unique position being the last finance minister of a dissolving monetary union," he wrote.
Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Iran’s Lying Currency Exchange Rates / Currencies / Iran
Steve H. Hanke writes: On September 24th, the Iranian government announced that it would adopt a three-tiered, multiple-exchange-rate regime. This wrong-headed attempt to exert more control over the price of domestic goods and combat inflation has failed (and will continue to fail). Since the rial began its free-fall in early September, international observers and the Iranian people have struggled to understand the implications of this exchange-rate regime.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2012
What to Expect When U.S. Dollar Reign Comes to an End / Currencies / US Dollar
Martin Hutchinson writes: Lloyd Blankfein has got it all wrong again.
Speaking last week, the Chief Executive of Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) claimed that if the "fiscal cliff" of tax increases and spending cuts go into effect on January 1, the U.S. dollar would lose its reserve currency status.
As the Vampire Squid's representatives often do, Blankfein actually has it backwards.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2012
Iran's Cascading Hyperinflation Currency Collapse Crisis / Currencies / Iran
Kent Moors writes: Matters are beginning to come to a head in Iran.
So far, the impact of Western sanctions - an EU embargo of oil purchases, European and U.S. restrictions on Tehran's access to international banking, and a new move to intensify the trading restrictions even further - have had a devastating impact.
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