Analysis Topic: Companies Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, February 17, 2024
GameStop (GME): 88% Shellacking Yet No Lesson Learned / Companies / Investing 2024
"Every major peak gets cinematic treatment"
Back in early 2021, the meme stock craze was going strong.
As you'll recall that craze was all over the news and revolved around favorite stocks promoted by largely novice traders via social media. This January 27, 2021 New York Times news item sums up the frenzy surrounding one of those stocks:
'Dumb Money' Is on GameStop, and It's Beating Wall Street at Its Own Game
GameStop shares have soared 1,700 percent as millions of small investors, egged on by social media, employ a classic Wall Street tactic to put the squeeze -- on Wall Street.
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Sunday, January 28, 2024
The Roaring AI Tech Stocks 2020's / Companies / AI
Just pause for a moment and take in the chart below that I have been iterating since June 2020, the message one should be receiving is that I expect this bull market to run for many more years, that I expected to target a return of X6 over some 7 years on where AI tech stocks stood June 2020, whilst my best guess 3.5 years ago was that we could see a major top during 2027, as long as run away valuations moderated from time to time delivering buying opps as they did during 2022 then I don't see why this should not still remain the big picture, thus the bull market that began March 2009 could continue to fulfill my original expectations for a 18 year bull market, where even the bear market that follows it will prove temporary as the bull market once more resumes during the 2030's.
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Sunday, January 21, 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks / Companies / Investing 2024
My focus for much of 2023 was to what degree one would get lucky in ones target stocks during the year, as it can be a case of playing with fire to heavily trim ones holdings, especially the primary and secondary AI tech stocks, all because one thinks one can then rebuy on the next dip. In which respect 2023 proved to be a great year because we got lucky TWICE during the year! Firstly March's correction to S&P 3800, can you imagine that the S&P traded down to 3800 in March! And then again following the July high of 4600 all the way down to 4100! Which even I had started to give up on happening given support at 4200.
Furthermore these corrections resulted in huge draw downs in target stocks i.e. we had Google in March that prompted many to ask if they should sell their Google to buy something else because all of the news was bad, to which my response was I AM BUYING MORE GOOGLE! This is another problem with most investors, for some reason they imagine that stock prices fall on good news, if so then buying the dips would be EASY! Instead stock prices tend to plunge on BAD NEWS! YOU DO NOT GET GOOGLE TRADING DOWN TO $86 ON GOOD NEWS! And this is why most investors fail to buy when stocks are cheap!
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Sunday, January 21, 2024
What’s Next for Exxon Mobil? / Companies / Oil Companies
The sellers hit a fresh multi-week low during yesterday’s session, testing important supports.
Pushing to a New Low
As I mentioned at the beginning, the bears managed to push the price to a new low - to the lowest level since mid-March 2023! What events contributed to this deterioration? What can we expect next week? Answers to these questions you’ll find in today's article. Have a nice read!
Friday, January 19, 2024
SoftBank: A Possible Stock Market Omen for What's Ahead / Companies / Stock Markets 2024
Here's what happened to the once most valuable U.S. startup
SoftBank, the multinational holding company which is heavily involved in the technology sector, has had a tough go of it.
Its stock price has been in a steady decline for the past few years and one has to wonder if this is a preview of what may be ahead for many other firms, especially those in the technology sector.
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Friday, December 22, 2023
AI Tech Stocks - The Good, the Bad and the Ugly / Companies / AI
Ho Ho Ho , Merry Christmas, have you all been good boys and girls during 2023? What do you want Santa to bring you for Christmas? Pop S&P 4800+ down your chimney? New all time highs in a number of AI tech stocks to celebrate Christmas morning.... Your family will wonder why this year you are so much more full of christmas spirit!
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Friday, December 15, 2023
Why Tesla Stock Will X10 - Optimus Gen 2 Humanoid Robot / Companies / Tesla
TESLA is making the future becoming manifest on an exponential curve.
This is why no one owns enough Tesla stock today, forget self driving cars, it's AI processors that will power the brains of the Optimus bot's that is what Tesla is actually all about, I am definitely going to ramp up my exposure to Tesla stock long before the herd cottons onto what is going on because Tesla stock is not just for 2024 but for the next DECADE, to many multiples of the current stock price, perhaps x10 over the next 10 years.
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Tuesday, December 12, 2023
Expect the AI Election to Get Wild / Companies / Nvidia
I’m “up before the enemy” on this wet and windy morning here in Dublin.
Here’s what I’m thinking…
Monday, December 04, 2023
Stock Market Seasonal Buying Opportunities / Companies / Corporate Earnings
Dear Reader
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Sunday, November 26, 2023
TSLA, LRCX, TSMC Stock Earnings and Trend Analysis / Companies / Tech Stocks
TSLA $255 AMC - EGF -15% / 2% PE 64, 9% Range
The EV Hype Master with a market cap greater than all other motor corps put together is primed to take a big plunge on earnings which could mark a trend that takes Tesla below $200. There just isn't the growth to justify a PE of 64. Compare ASML's metrics to that of TESLA, half the valuation for far higher growth which is because of TSLA hype. So Tesla should break it's August low to target sub $200, and could go as low as $175.
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Thursday, November 23, 2023
LMT, JNJ and ASML Stock Earnings and Trend Analysis / Companies / Corporate Earnings
LMT $441 BMO - EGF -3% / -1% PE 15.9, -21% Range.
LMT is enjoying a price boost courtesy of the latest Middle East war that reversed an earlier downtrend that was targeting $370. Despite all of the wars earnings are not growing, so based on the fundamentals the stock should trade lower, i.e. target $370, but there is war fever inflating the stock price as the market discounts escalation to some degree, though nothing to suggest a major expansion in the conflict is imminent..
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Thursday, November 23, 2023
When AI Hallucinates - Top AI Tech Stocks / Companies / AI
1. Turns out, AI isn’t a fraud.
The AI “App Store” wasn’t the only recent big announcement from OpenAI.
It also revealed GPT-4 Turbo, which is ChatGPT on steroids. The AI chatbot can now analyze more than 300 pages of text in one go. It also seamlessly switches between images, text, and speech.
I was once skeptical about AI. I’m always skeptical about tech that sounds amazing but that no one actually uses. That was the state of AI for a long, long time. As recently as last year, Nvidia (NVDA) was the only company making real money from AI.
Saturday, November 18, 2023
The Most Important Chat GPT Tech Reveal of 2023 / Companies / AI
1. The first AI “app store” is about to launch.
On Monday, November 6, ChatGPT creator OpenAI announced “GPT Store.”
It allows anyone to create their own AI “app” based on ChatGPT’s tech—no coding skills needed.
You can build a personalized robo-tutor… a travel concierge… or your own ChatGPT-like intern that filters all your emails.
Thursday, November 09, 2023
AI Tech Stocks Portfolio / Companies / Tech Stocks
Current state is 78% invested, 22% cash where I am currently targeting being about 86% invested.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13gDntQuyDP3db7WqEvOXftOxVVTJyYyB_s-O0XW2EIk/edit?usp=sharing
Stocks in or very near their buying ranges and how far they have deviated from their 52 week highs.
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Thursday, November 09, 2023
Micron MU Stock Trend Analysis / Companies / Tech Stocks
Still trading near it's high Is primed for a sell off to at least $61, and likely sub $60.
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Thursday, November 09, 2023
TSMC Stock Trend Analysis / Companies / Tech Stocks
TSMC peaked early June, traded down by 20% since into a sticky support zone where buyers are stepping in to accumulate so there does not appear to be much scope for further downside, i.e. there is a lot of buying under $90, at best we could see $82 during a market slump.
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Thursday, November 09, 2023
NVIDIA Stock Trend Analysis / Companies / Nvidia
Nvidia is another nut waiting to crack. It's pending a break below $400 to target sub $330, which if achieved I imagine would overshoot down towards $260. So Nvidia has huge downside potential, hence why I only hold 1% of target exposure but it needs to break below $400 to kick start the bulk of the down move.
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Thursday, November 09, 2023
The “new ChatGPT” just launched / Companies / AI
1. All the world’s smartest people are embracing AI—and you better be too.
I was at the Network State Conference, hosted by Balaji Srinivasan.
Here’s award-winning journalist Glenn Greenwald presenting (he’s one of the good guys):
Wednesday, November 08, 2023
AI Rules Everything! A.R.E.A.M. / Companies / AI
My grand-dad used to tell me, “Look after the pennies, and the pounds will look after themselves.”
Microsoft (MSFT) founder Bill Gates still flew Economy long after he was a multimillionaire.
And to this day, the table in Amazon’s (AMZN) executive conference room is made of old doors with 4x4s attached to them for legs.
Saturday, November 04, 2023
Why AI Will Eat the World / Companies / AI
US stocks have been treading water lately… but the big news is in bitcoin (BTC).
It’s on fire, surging to $35,000—a price not seen in a year and a half.
Bitcoin has now doubled this year and is easily the best-performing major investment in the world: