Category: Gold & Silver 2023
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, June 16, 2023
Fed Rate Hold is a Game-changer for the Price of Gold! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Yesterday’s FOMC and the following press conference were groundbreaking. Rates stayed, but Fed said about raising them twice this year = no U-turn!
This is a game-changer because so many investors were still believing in a quick, dovish U-turn. And those dreams were just dispelled. The fact that rates were not hiked yesterday doesn’t matter as much as the fact that their expected future path is still to the upside.
While the core CPI didn’t move recently, inflation is moving down. With inflation moving down and interest rates going higher, what does that imply?
Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Silver Price May Explode / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Avi_Gilburt
Approximately 12 years ago, I wrote my first public market prognostication and it was focused on gold. At the time, gold was enjoying a parabolic rally, and the discussion amongst the general public was how far past the $2,000 mark gold was going to strike during that rally.
So, on Aug. 11, 2011, I concluded my first gold article as follows:
"Again, since we are most probably in the final stages of this parabolic fifth wave "blow-off-top," I would seriously consider anything approaching the $1,915 level to be a potential target for a top at this time."
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 16, 2023
The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
What if bitcoin just topped? What does it change for the price of gold going forward, if anything?
Many years ago, people wanted to buy gold but didn’t really want to store it in their homes, pay for safekeeping and insurance during transport, and so on. The demand gap was filled by all sorts of e-gold, e-bullion, and overall pooled accounts. This idea might seem odd to those, who are new to the precious metals market, and writing about it does make me recall that scene from the Lord of the Rings movie.
- “I was there, Gandalf, 3000 years ago…”
Says Elrond, while describing the weakness of men and how it contributed to Middle Earth’s status quo.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 30, 2023
Silver Doesn’t Care, but You Should / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Submissions
While calling the top is a process that plays out over time, silver’s momentum has fizzled, and the next major move should be to the downside. To explain, we wrote on Apr. 21:Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 29, 2023
Could the Debt Ceiling Drama Uplift Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Submissions
While the 2011 analog paints an optimistic portrait for gold, silver and mining stocks, a re-enactment of the last debacle is unlikely to unfold this time around. Back then, gold soared amid the debt ceiling chaos, while the USD Index was a major casualty. And while it’s possible lawmakers could ignite a similar event, most learn from their past mistakes.For example, while bloated stock valuations were the Black Swan in 2000, the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) was a housing market phenomenon, while the 2020 pandemic was a health scare. As a result, different catalysts often cause distress, and when this recession arrives, it will likely be driven by something investors least expect.
So, with the debt ceiling drama highly anticipated, it reduces the odds of the event unfolding in line with investors’ expectations. Therefore, it’s likely more semblance than substance, and the bulk of the PMs’ rallies should be in the rearview.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 29, 2023
Gold Price Erased Its April Rally – What’s Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
April had started with gold at $1,990, then gold moved as high as $2,063.40, and yesterday, it closed at $1,999. At the moment of writing these words, gold futures (because that’s what you see on the above chart) are trading at $1,993.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 10, 2023
Wall Street Cheerleaders Offer Perpetually Changing Arguments against Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: MoneyMetals
As the gold market marches toward new records, it is proving the naysayers wrong and vindicating longtime bulls.
Gold posted a record high close on a quarterly basis at the end of March. Now the monetary metal has its sights set on setting a new all-time high here in the coming days.
That’ll have to wait until next week though as global markets are closed here on this Good Friday. Gold will finish this week at $2,020 an ounce after advancing 2.1% this week. Silver, meanwhile, gained 3.7% to bring spot prices to $25.30 an ounce.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 03, 2023
Why Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Gary_Tanashian
If the decades old bubble in paper assets is ending, that’s why gold!Various promotions along the way of the Continuum have distilled the case for gold down to handy buzz phrases like “got Gold?” as if it were a carton of milk. Other promotions have presented gold as the go-to asset through all types of macro phases, from “fiat is gonna blow up any day now” to “inflation is gonna eat your future” to “a deflationary Armageddon is on the way”.
Yet all along the Continuum, policymakers papered it over, inflated the mess at every crisis as long as the Continuum allowed.*
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 29, 2023
China’s Gold Gambit: Outfoxing America on the World Stage? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Submissions
By Jon Forrest Little,
Unless you live under a rock (and some days I wish I did), all eyes are on which bank will fail next.
We knew this was coming. Decades of Zero Interest Rate Policy, QE, and risky fractional reserve practices have consequences.
Superpowers like Russia and China are eyeing America’s financial vulnerabilities while the Fed, Congress, Treasury, and Wall Street play musical chairs and trip over each other like Keystone cops.
Friday, March 24, 2023
Battle Line Drawn: Gold Bulls Look to Push through $2,000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: MoneyMetals
Gold prices surged to test the $2,000/oz level early this week before retreating ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
Fed policymakers opted for another 25 basis-point hike -- disappointing investors who had hoped for a pause in the wake of high-profile bank runs.
Stocks sold off in post-Fed trading on Wednesday afternoon. Precious metals markets, however, managed to record gains for the day.
Fed chairman Jerome Powell signaled that the central bank would likely hike one more time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 06, 2023
Silver’s Subtle Indication / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Namely, while the GDXJ (upper part of the chart) moved only a little above its recent high, silver has pretty much doubled its previous short-term upswing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 26, 2023
Gold Price Is ALMOST Ready to Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Enough is enough. No market can decline without correcting every now and then. And both gold and the USDX point to an upcoming reversal.
Let’s start with gold.
Is It Over?
Looking at its price from a short-term point of view, we see that it paused for a brief moment at its 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 23, 2023
Gold: What "Colossal" Central Bank Buying May Mean / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: EWI
"Central banks are so confident that gold prices will continue rising that they are..."
Central banks have been scooping up gold with a vengeance.
Here's a Jan. 31 Financial Times headline:
'Colossal' central bank buying drives gold demand to decade high
Interestingly, just a few days later on Feb. 3, the precious metal dropped by more than 2%. But setting aside near-term price moves in gold, what you need to know is that government is nearly always the last to act on a financial trend. In other words, when government acts, a financial trend is either nearly or already over.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 18, 2023
Gold Price REALly Declines and That’s Just the Start / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
In all likelihood – yes. Then it’s likely to slide more – much more. With this pace (chart courtesy of GoldPriceForecast.com), gold could move below $1,800 in no time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 07, 2023
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2023 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
And similar trend for the Gold price, also attempting to break out higher off the October - November base that is likely to Gold target a trend to between $2000 and $2100 during 2023 vs the last close of $1804.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 07, 2023
Could Silver Price Outperform Gold Again? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Richard_Mills
Gold sold off following the US Federal Reserve’s Feb. 1 decision to raise interest rates another 25 basis points. The federal funds rate now sits at between 4.50 and 4.75%.
Spot gold at first gained about $20 to $1,956, within $80 of the all-time high of $2,034, reached in August, 2020. The dollar fell Wednesday along with bond yields.
The market’s initial take was that the Fed is nearly finished raising rates. A senior investment strategist from Allianz Investment Management told CNBC that the messaging leaned “slightly dovish”, with the lack of clarity signaling that the Fed is nearing the end of its rate tightening cycle.
After hikes end, Charlie Ripley said the central bank will likely “sit tight while the economic data catches up to the policy.”
“The Fed is essentially speaking out of both sides of the mouth as they signaled further increases are appropriate, but also acknowledged they will consider the cumulative amount of tightening in future policy decisions,” he said.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 07, 2023
Silver ‘Sediment’ – Encore For Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Kelsey_Williams
SILVER SEDIMENT
“Sediment is solid material that is moved and deposited in a new location. Sediment can consist of rocks and minerals…” and “matter that settles to the bottom…”
The silver price closed on Friday at $22.30 oz., down $1.15 from its closing price the day before.
What is worse, though, is that it follows a drop of $.50 oz. on Thursday. And, on both Thursday and Friday, the silver price collapsed early in the day, found the bottom level and stayed there.
From its intraday peak on Thursday morning in New York to the closing price Friday, silver declined $2.30 oz., or more than nine percent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 07, 2023
SILVER CRACKUP BOOM! Price Trend Forecast 2023 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My last look at the prospects for SIlver of early May 2022 warned to expect the inflationary crack up boom to eventually make it's way to the precious metals complex - The CRACK UP BOOM! Implications for Stocks, Housing. and Commodities, Silver Potential
Silver is at the opportune level of $22 for long-term accumulation that first targets the top of the range at $28 and then on a breakout higher to ultimately target the previous all time high of $50.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 04, 2023
Gold and Inflation: Here's a Market Myth / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: EWI
"If you believe in Gold as a consumer price inflation hedge then..."Back in the days of the Roman Empire, an ounce of gold could buy a Roman a well-made toga, belt and finely crafted sandals.
In modern day Rome, lo and behold, a businessman can become sharply dressed via the value of that same ounce of gold.
So, yes, gold has maintained its store of value over the centuries.
However, in the relative short term -- which can last years -- gold may not be the inflation hedge that gold bugs believe it to be.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 27, 2023
Anti-Gold Bias: The Big Secret Wall Street DOESN'T Want You to Know / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: MoneyMetals
By Stefan Gleason,
Last year was one of the worst on record for a conventional stock and bond portfolio. The major stock and bond market indexes both fell by double digits.
Investors who were diversified into physical precious metals fared much better. While it wasn't a banner year for gold and silver markets, they eked out slight gains – which translated into a massive outperformance versus conventional financial assets.
Unfortunately, conventional financial advice continues to keep most investors 100% allocated to financial assets with zero diversification into hard assets.