Category: Financial Markets 2022
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, April 18, 2022
The Witchy Trio: Commodities Supercycle, Inflation, and… Recession? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Submissions
If the current market phenomena were to star in a Shakespeare drama, they would be ideal candidates for the Three Witches. Can you guess who would play who?
Have you ever heard of Shakespeare’s mythological characters, the Three Witches? They are depicted as prophets who represent evil, darkness, chaos, and conflict.
If you look at the market today, you will find ideal candidates for these dark roles. However, while rising commodity prices and inflation have a casting win in their pocket, there is no certain actor to play the third witch. Would the recession stand a chance?
No Easter eggs today – instead, here is a story that may provide food for thought.
Wednesday, April 06, 2022
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: EWI
Hi,
Millions of people have joined the ranks of online traders since the start of the pandemic, and you may be one of them. Or maybe you've been trading for years already...
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Wednesday, March 30, 2022
How the "Great Resignation" Ties in with a Financial Peak / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: EWI
Insights into "a peak in social optimism of monumental proportions"
Some people probably remember that country song by Johnny Paycheck from the late '70s -- "Take This Job and Shove It."
Many of those in the younger generations may not have heard of it given the song was released more than 40 years ago. However, many of them caught the spirit of it just the same as they quit their jobs in droves in what has been called the "Great Resignation."
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Tuesday, March 29, 2022
Who Benefits Most From the Russia-Ukraine War? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Submissions
With the unrest in the Black Sea basin, it appears that there are two more cross-trade wars in the world. These are about energy and currency.
Crude oil prices, down most of Friday, finally ended the week higher after a huge fire broke out at oil facilities in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, following attacks by Yemeni rebels.
The great winner of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is undoubtedly the United States, which now seems to be taking advantage of Europe’s moment of weakness.
Monday, March 28, 2022
Volatility Retreats As Stocks & Commodities Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a real-time index. It is derived from the prices of SPX index options with near-term expiration dates that are utilized to generate a 30-day forward projection of volatility. The VIX allows us to gauge market sentiment or the degree of fear among market participants. As the Volatility Index VIX goes up, fear increases, and as it goes down, fear dissipates.
Commodities and equities are both showing renewed strength on the heels of global interest rate increases. Inflation shows no sign of abating as energy, metals, food products, and housing continues their upward bias.
During the last 18-months, the VIX has been trading between its upper resistance of 36.00 and its lower support of 16.00. As the Volatility Index VIX falls, fear subsides, and money flows back into stocks.
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Monday, March 21, 2022
Is the Fed trying to blow another, more covert asset bubble? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The asset bubble that almost ended in Q1 2020 was rescued by two main saviors, 1) unsustainable bearish (no, terrorized) sentiment and even more so, 2) balls out central bank inflation, led by the US Federal Reserve. The resulting bubble leg was in the bag from the moment the dovish Fed made its first headline about asset purchases and rate cuts.
This latest leg of the asset bubble has been under stress in 2022, as the supposed reflection of ‘good’ inflation, the stock market (SPX), has trended down all year. More recently, commodities and precious metals have gotten dinged as well after spiking upward on the Russia/Ukraine war, which exacerbated the Fed’s inflation (as manufactured in Q1-Q2 2020) after the inflationary effects on commodity prices were already exacerbated by pandemic-related supply chain issues.
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Sunday, March 20, 2022
US Fed Announces Minimum Interest Rate Hike, Spooked by Ukraine War Impact / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: MoneyMetals
Dysfunctional U.S. Mint Runs Out of Silver Blanks Again, Halting Sales of Some Items - Precious metals markets sold off ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting. But after Fed officials announced their rate hike, prices recovered somewhat.
Another market that has gone haywire is nickel. It’s not a metal that typically drives headlines, but prices swung so violently in futures markets that trading had to be halted for the first time in 24 years.
Nickel prices doubled in matter of hours last week. An institutional trader had placed big bets that nickel prices would fall and was forced to cover, or buy back, his short positions. An epic short squeeze ensued, followed by a massive sell-off this week.
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Wednesday, March 02, 2022
See what's next for Europe and US WAR Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: EWI
Hi Reader,
You are probably wondering what war in Ukraine means for the markets. Instead of trying to deconstruct a never-ending barrage of mostly useless information, you can let our friends at Elliott Wave International help.
Now through March 7, they are offering you practical, objective answers in two events running concurrently:
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Tuesday, February 08, 2022
Reform of the G 7 and the City of London Corporation needed as a matter of urgency. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Christopher_Quigley
Nicholas Shaxon:
"Wealthy individuals hold over 10 trillion dollars offshore….However, the IMF estimates …… that the balance sheets of small island financial centres alone added up to 18 trillion dollars".
The Group of Seven (G-7) is an intergovernmental organization made up of the world's largest developed economies: France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. Government leaders of these countries meet periodically to address international economic and monetary issues, with each member taking over the presidency on a rotating basis.
In response to the Panama Papers on off-shore banking operations in South America (released by WikiLeaks) the European Commission set up a commission of investigation. Its recommendations are outlined below. However, to date, the G 7 and the City of London Corporation have refused to adopt such measures. This is despite the fact that the G 7 adopted a specific mandate to adopt strategies to aid third world spiralling debt.
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Sunday, January 30, 2022
Should Investors Fear Fed Interest Rate Hikes? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: MoneyMetals
The prospect of Federal Reserve rate hikes continues to rattle Wall Street and cloud the outlook for precious metals.
On Wednesday, the central bank strongly signaled it will raise its benchmark Fed funds rate for the first time in three years – likely at its March policy meeting.
Policymakers noted that inflation is running “well above” target and also claimed a “strong labor market” justifies a degree of monetary tightening.
"There's quite a bit of room to raise interests without threatening the labor market,” Fed chairman Jerome Powell said, adding, “wages are moving up at the highest pace they have in decades."
Saturday, January 29, 2022
FED TAPER CON TRICK, Recession 2022 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
Did you buy the panic? Or were you scared shitless by the clueless MSM and barely out of puberty youtube clowns into a state of paralysis, missed buying Microsoft for $282, or AMD for $101, Nvidia $226, even Google for $2512? My prospective buying levels mailed to patrons before last Monday's open...
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Sunday, January 16, 2022
All Market Eyes on Copper / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 sold off only a little in the wake of CPI data – probably celebrating that the figure wasn‘t 8% but only 7%. As if that weren‘t uncomfortable already – and the Fed wants to field accelerated taper, and perhaps even four quarter-point rate hikes to tame it? Oh, and perhaps also balance sheet reduction through not reinvesting proceeds from matured bonds and notes as talked on Monday – sure, that will do the trick.
Looking at Treasuries over the prior two days shows that the Fed isn‘t being questioned. Value defends the high ground while tech rallies – Monday‘s fear with its brief return Tuesday, is in the rear-view mirror, compacency returning, and VIX again below 18. Prior upswing consolidation right next, is the most likely action for S&P 500.
The real gains though are being made elsewhere – in crude oil and copper. With commodities back on fire, these two have certainly greater appreciation potential next than stocks or cryptos – so, long live our open longs there!
Monday, January 10, 2022
Fiscal and Monetary Cliffs Have Arrived / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Michael_Pento
According to Doug Ramsey of the Leuthold Group, 334 companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange recently hit a 52-week low, more than double the amount that marked new one-year highs. That’s happened only three other times in history -- all of them occurring in December 1999.How did we get back to the precipice of the year 2000, where tech stocks plunged 80% and the S&P 500 lost 50% of its value over the ensuing two years? Well, start off with the fact that the amount of new money created by our central bank in the past 14 years is $8 trillion. That, by the way, is an increase in base money supply only and does not include all of the new money created by our debt-based monetary system. So, from 1913 to 2008, the Fed created $800 billion. And, it took from 2008 until today—just 14 years--for it to have created $8.8 trillion in base money supply. Is there really any wonder why inflation has now become a salient issue, especially for the middle and lower classes, and why the stock market is now set up for a meltdown similar to the NASDAQ collapse of two decades ago?
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Thursday, January 06, 2022
What Elliott Waves Show for Asia Pacific Stock and Financial Markets 2022 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: EWI
Hi,
The Asian-Pacific markets have led global stocks higher since April 2020 -- and they are still MOVING.
Elliott waves have stayed a step ahead. Wondering what they’re showing for 2022?
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