Category: Gold & Silver 2020
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, December 11, 2020
Is Silver Price (finally!) Set to "Cross the Rubicon"? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
History is full of intriguing sayings coming down to us from other cultures that inform our thinking and behavior.
"Managing a large state is like cooking a small fish." – Lao Tzu.
"A stitch in time saves nine." – A 1700's sewing reference.
"Healing is a matter of time; sometimes a matter of opportunity." – Hippocrates.
One I especially like tracks back to Julius Caesar after ending his governance of the Roman province of Gaul and being ordered to disband his army. Under no circumstances was he to come closer with it than a small stream outside of Rome.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 09, 2020
Gold Wave Forecast – Is Gold Going To $3750 Or Higher? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Watching Gold fall to recent lows over the past few weeks has been heartbreaking for Goldbugs. We know the real value of Precious Metals has continued to be under-appreciated over the past 24+ months – even though Gold has rallied from $1165 to over $2085 (an incredible 79%). The recent 15% decline in Gold has shaken some investors away from the longer-term opportunities, so we wanted to share our research and highlight some simple Elliot Wave structures with you.
My research team and I believe the recent downward price trend in Gold is an ideal setup for an Intermediate Wave 4 pullback of a broader Wave 3 advance. In other words, we believe Gold is in the midst of a broad advance cycle that may eventually push price levels to $5000 and above. But, we’ll focus on right now and what we believe is setting up from a Technical Analysis perspective.
The first thing to remember about Elliot Wave Analysis is that we must consider the broad market trends, the intermediate market trends, and the short term wave formations. With almost all types of Technical Analysis, we focus on different time perspectives of price trends and setups to help us better determine opportunities and outcomes.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 07, 2020
What Does Biden Imply for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
America has elected a new President. It was a close race, but Joe Biden eventually won and he will be inaugurated and take office in the White House on January 20. The price of gold rose initially in the aftermath of the elections, only to plunge on the news regarding Pfizer’s vaccine breakthrough, as the chart below shows. This is what we know.But what’s next for the price of gold? What does a Biden presidency mean for the yellow metal? To answer these vital questions, we will analyze the agenda of the President-elect. On the official Biden-Harris Presidential Transition website , we found that the new administration has four priorities: COVID-19, economic recovery, racial equity, and climate change.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 07, 2020
Gold Returns Above $1,800. Has It Bottomed Out? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The price of gold returned to above $1,800. Is the correction over?As the chart below shows, the price of gold rebounded, jumping from $1,763 to $1,811 on Tuesday (December 1) and increased further on Wednesday. As a reminder, the price of gold corrected more than 6 percent in November and almost 15 percent from its peak in August. Now, the key question is whether the worst is behind the gold bulls.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 05, 2020
Gold, Silver and Copper - The 3 Metallic Amigos and Their Messages / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Gary_Tanashian
Metals Ratios Continue to Indicate Inflation
And that is welcome for monetary and fiscal policymakers of course, since inflation is the only trick they have up their sleeve to bail this mess out once again. And this is no comment on COVID-19. The economy was slowly decelerating last year well before this guy showed up (I like the picture, okay?)…
The yield curve bottomed and turned up in August of 2019 as manufacturing was slipping, long-term yields were tanking and other economic signals were fraying in the wake of the trade war. So please, no convenient COVID excuses.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 04, 2020
Don't Let the Silver (and Gold) Bull Shake You Off! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Gold and silver exchange-traded funds (ETFs), a measure of large investor interest, are experiencing outflows as opposed to an almost interrupted inflow over the last few months.
Mining stocks which either look for or produce these metals have been moving sideways, testing the "mettle" of even perma-bulls.
Many investors see these as negative signs. But I view it as a Mr. Market's last big effort to "shake the tree," causing as many people as possible to fall off the galloping bull and head for cover.
As David Morgan has so aptly – and during times like this, often said, "A precious metals' bull run (especially that of silver) will either wear you out our scare you out!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 04, 2020
Stronger Risk Appetite Sends Gold below $1,800 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Gold plunged below $1,800. Will these declines finally end?November doesn’t look like a good month for gold. The declines in the precious metals market continued last week. As the chart below shows, the price of the yellow metal dropped to $1,779 on Friday (November 27).
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 02, 2020
Gold & the USDX: Correlations / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
It’s crunch time for gold and the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX), as they find themselves at a crossroads. As of Wednesday, the USDX is holding its lows but wants to move up, thus invalidating its breakdown. And gold? Well, gold did gain a bit today, but it’s essentially jumping up in an elevator that’s moving down – it just doesn’t have enough steam to break out.
While it’s been the traditional view that when the US Dollar declines, gold increases in price, we find that's not always the case when comparing historical patterns. And just to watch the price of gold itself when making a buying decision is not enough. One needs to pay attention to the price of gold in relation to moves in the USDX – that helps to indicate the bottom.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 01, 2020
Globalists Poised for a “Great Reset” – Any Role for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Although the apparent results of the 2020 election are still being contested, members of the global ruling elite are already looking forward to a post-Trump era in American politics – and a post-vaccine world economy.
They have encapsulated their policy agenda for 2021 and beyond into two words: “Great Reset.”
The notion of a Great Reset comes directly from the World Economic Forum.
Saturday, November 28, 2020
Biden and Yellen Pushed Gold Price Down to $1,800 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Gold plunged to $1,800. What does this imply for the gold market?Whoa! Tuesday, November 24 wasn’t too good for gold. The price of the yellow metal plunged then from $1,840 to $1,800. Actually, November was an awful month for gold prices, which dropped from a local peak of $1,941, or more than 7 percent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 27, 2020
Gold: Insurance for Prudent Investors, Precious Metals Reduce Risk & Preserve Wealth / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Nick_Barisheff
Responsible homeowners and landlords insure their property against fires, floods and violent storms. Sensible motorists insure their vehicles against inadvertent fender benders and costly collisions. Prudent investors own precious metals to protect financial assets from currency debasement, stock market meltdowns and economic collapse.
Reducing risk and avoiding financial loss is the purpose of insurance. Precious metals is the insurance plan that everyone needs – especially now. Like insurance, precious metals safeguard financial assets, reducing risk and loss. This is because gold is the most negatively correlated asset to financial assets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 26, 2020
Further Clues Reveal Gold’s Weakness / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
It might have been tempting to think that the recent move lower in the U.S. Dollar Index would serve to push gold higher, as it usually does according to the traditional pattern. But these are extraordinary times and there are too many external factors weighing negatively on the price of the yellow metal.
As if the previous vaccine announcements weren’t enough, the latest vaccine trials from AstraZeneca further propelled positive news. And as Trump reluctantly gave Joe Biden the green light towards a transition to the White House, what more can the precious metals do but capitulate? The risky assets train is leaving the station and investors are climbing on board. There simply is no clear catalyst for gold to rally and it can only go further down from here before bottoming.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 25, 2020
Biden the Silver Bull / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Peter Krauth explains why he believes Biden could become silver's best friend. It may seem like an unlikely match.
But there are some big reasons why Biden could become silver's best friend.
The main force behind this thesis is that we can expect stimulus. A lot of stimulus.
More specifically, Biden is likely to do his utmost to bring on more general support for the economy through increased borrowing, further expanding the deficit and national debt.
He has also made it clear that he's a big proponent of a Green New Deal, which is a mega effort to migrate the economy towards renewable energy and net zero carbon emissions.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 25, 2020
Herd Immunity or Herd Insolvency: Which Will Affect Gold More? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Vaccines are coming. But so is the debt crisis. What does it imply for gold?
COVID-19 cases are still rising at an alarming rate in the United States. As the chart below shows, the rolling 7-day average of new daily infections stays above 160,000.
Monday, November 23, 2020
Gold and Silver Now and Then - A Comparison / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
When making decisions regarding the gold mining stocks sector, some will choose to follow price actions while others will use indicator tools. The Gold Miners Bullish Percent Index ($BPGDM) is one such tool, essentially being a gauge of overbought and oversold conditions for the gold mining sector with readings plotted on a range between 0 and 100. Anything below 30 suggests oversold conditions while readings above 70 indicate an overbought situation, with a buy or sell signal being triggered when the index reaches an extreme level and then reverses. Because gold stocks move in tune with gold or silver, the index can be useful in determining the direction of the entire precious metals sector as well as acting like a crystal ball when comparing historical patterns.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 22, 2020
Gold & Silver - Adapting Dynamic Learning Shows Possible Upside Price Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our advanced Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) modeling system is showing some interesting future trends for both Gold and Silver. The rally in precious metals has really just started if our ADL system is accurately predicting future price trends.
Over the past two years, we’ve highlighted a number of ADL research posts that have proven to be incredibly insightful regarding future market price trends. The ADL predictive modeling system is unique in that it maps out price and technical indicator DNA markers and attempts to correlate future price characteristics into highly probable outcomes. The result is a clear picture of what the ADL system believes is the most likely outcome based on the selected price bar.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Media Celebrates after Trump’s Pro-Gold Fed Nominee Gets Blocked / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
It was only after he entered politics that President Donald Trump began to fully grasp the bias, dishonesty, and fakeness that runs throughout the so-called mainstream media.
But gold bugs and sound money advocates have long known to distrust the reporting of establishment news sources.
Journalists’ anti-gold and anti-Trump biases converged this week as the Senate took up President Trump’s nomination of Judy Shelton to the Federal Reserve Board.
Shelton, a fierce Fed critic and past supporter of a gold standard, drew intense opposition from Senate Democrats. She also faced opposition from Republicans Lamar Alexander, Susan Collins, and Mitt Romney.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 18, 2020
Gold Remains the Best Pandemic Insurance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Peter Krauth explains why he believes gold is the best COVID insurance policy. Bailouts and stimulus are not the best solution to the Covid pandemic.
What is? Possibly…insurance.
I know it's far from perfect, but I think it could still be the best overall option.
On some level, it's surprising that the role of insurance has gotten so little attention in this crisis.
After all, us and future generations will have to pay for all these massive bailouts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 17, 2020
Gold Price Momentous ally From 2000 Compared To SPY Stock Market and Nasdaq / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In Part I of this research article I highlighted the incredible rally in Gold related to a 2020 Anchor point and how that rally in Gold compared to the QQQ and SPY. In this second Part I am going to highlight the price appreciation in the QQQ and SPY in comparison to Gold since 2009. It is important to understand how the equities/stocks have rallied in comparison to Gold because the ratio of valuation levels in equities/stocks compared to Gold appears to show when price disparities become outrageous and begin to revert.
Part I of our research showed the 2000 anchor point ratios, where we saw that Gold appreciated faster than the QQQ and the SPY over the span of the past 20 years. You’ll also see that the QQQ and SPY have appreciated very quickly over the past 5+ years in an attempt to close the gap. This represents a shift in how traders view opportunities in different asset classes.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 16, 2020
Free-spending Biden and/or continued Fed stimulus will hike Gold prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Richard_Mills
Gold may have come off the boil a bit after rising beyond $1,900 an ounce in the aftermath of the US election, but the precious metal will do well under a Biden presidency, an Ahead of the Herd analysis has found.
The main factors are drastically increased government spending, leading to even more unsustainable US debt levels than currently; dovish monetary policy as the Fed continues to advocate “lower for longer” interest rates; and a sinking US dollar. Gold prices and the USD generally move in opposition to each other.
Gold and the debt to GDP ratio
The debt-to-GDP ratio is an important metric economists use for comparing a country’s total debt to its gross domestic product (GDP).
Read full article... Read full article...