Category: Financial Markets 2020
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, January 27, 2020
THIS ONE THING Will Tell Us When the Bubble Economy Is Bursting… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back Michael Pento, President and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies. Michael's a well-known money manager, market commentator and author of the book, The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. He's been a regular guest with us over the years and we always love getting his fantastic insights.
Michael, thanks for the time again today, and welcome back.
Michael Pento: It's always a pleasure to be on with you. Thank you for inviting me back on the program.
Mike Gleason: Well, we're having a hard time seeing a big move higher in metals prices until one of two things happen. We'll start here. The first would be a pickup and safe haven demand. In our view there is too much investor complacency given the circumstances as has been the case for a while now, equity market valuations are sky high. Now we've got an election coming up, and there is at least some chance our next president will be an avowed socialist. This does not seem like the time for investors to be all in on risk trades, but we suppose the only thing that really matters is the Fed. They are going to do whatever it takes to keep the party in the stock markets going.
Monday, January 20, 2020
FOMO or FOPA or Au? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Raymond_Matison
FOMO, the well-known acronym standing for “Fear Of Missing Out” relates to the conviction that an investor needs to remain invested in financial markets for otherwise he may miss out gains which are generated by steadfast easy money policies of the FED. It also embodies the belief that if markets are to decline from deteriorating economic fundamentals, the FED will bail out investors by providing some kind of additional market stimulus. Embracing this simple principle has been profitable to investors in recent years. FOMO encapsulates the oft-proven axiom: don’t fight the FED.
FOPA, is newly-conjured acronym standing for “Fear Of Participating in the Avalanche” which relates to the possibility of a sudden or severe market decline. Interestingly, this acronym has the same pronunciation as the well-known French term “faux pas” which can be translated as “mistake”. Those more conservative investors suspicious of present bubble markets will avoid FOMO investing principles not wanting to make an investment strategy mistake, and therefore embrace FOPA - simply exiting the market to hold cash.
Au is the scientific symbol in Mendeleev’s Periodic Table of elements for gold. Gold has evolved over millennia through market competition throughout the world to serve as mankind’s preference for money. Every paper form of money ever created has ultimately failed, reducing to a zero value. Present use, still-existing paper currencies have proven to be poor stores of value, as relentless expansion of the currency supply reduces purchasing value. Gold is the ultimate proven holder of value, and as such is purchased at times when financial markets are chaotic or at risk of substantial decline. Investors concerned that a FOPA investment strategy, while protecting against a market decline, does not protect one against a financial system collapse will activate the Au asset preservation policy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 09, 2020
The Fed Protects Gamblers at the Expense of the Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Ellen_Brown
Although the repo market is little known to most people, it is a $1-trillion-a-day credit machine, in which not just banks but hedge funds and other “shadow banks” borrow to finance their trades. Under the Federal Reserve Act, the central bank’s lending window is open only to licensed depository banks; but the Fed is now pouring billions of dollars into the repo (repurchase agreements) market, in effect making risk-free loans to speculators at less than 2%.
This does not serve the real economy, in which products, services and jobs are created. However, the Fed is trapped into this speculative monetary expansion to avoid a cascade of defaults of the sort it was facing with the long-term capital management crisis in 1998 and the Lehman crisis in 2008. The repo market is a fragile house of cards waiting for a strong wind to blow it down, propped up by misguided monetary policies that have forced central banks to underwrite its highly risky ventures.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 08, 2020
NASDAQ Set to Fall 1000pts Early 2020, and What it Means for Gold Price / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
One of our most interesting predictive modeling system is the Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system. It is capable of learning from past price data, building price DNA chains and attempting to predict future price activity with a fairly high degree of accuracy. The one thing we’ve learned about the ADL system is that when price mirrors the ADL predictive modeling over a period of time, then there is often a high probability that price will continue to mirror the ADL price predictions.
One of our more infamous ADL predictions was our October 2018 Gold ADL prediction chart (below). This chart launched a number of very interesting discussions with industry professionals about predictive modeling and our capabilities regarding Adaptive Learning. Eric Sprott, of Sprott Money, highlighted some of our analyses related to the ADL predictive modeling system in June and July 2019. Our ADL predictive modeling system suggested a bottom would form in Gold near April/May 2019 and then Gold would rally up toward $1600 by September 2019, then rotate a bit lower near $1550 levels.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 02, 2020
Basel III and Bailouts: What Do They Mean for Financial Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable interviews Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments about the implications of monetary policies being implemented by central banks worldwide, and about the state of the U.S. economy.
Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments. Today we will address Basel III, the state of U.S. markets and the Fed's new bailout program, and how you may benefit financially.
Andy, you're a big thinker, and I would say years ahead of most people in the space in your ability to critically and analytically think and cipher through the noise, which is why we're delighted to have you on the program today. I want to begin our discussion at the 30,000-foot level, and have you share with us the implications of Basel III. Let me begin by asking, what is Basel III, and why should precious metals investors be aware of this decision-making body?
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 11, 2019
2020 Will Be the Most Volatile Market Year in History / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: John_Mauldin
The last few weeks marked a turning point in the global economy.It’s more than the trade war. A sense of vulnerability is replacing the previous confidence—and with good reason.
We are vulnerable, and we’ll be lucky to get through the 2020s without major damage.
Let’s talk about the risks facing us in the next year or so and the economic environment in which we will face those risks.
Read full article... Read full article...