Category: Global Debt Crisis 2020
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, December 26, 2020
Global Tipping Point: "Good" Debt Vs. "Bad" Debt (Which is Winning?) / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2020
By: EWI
All major U.S. economic depressions were "set off" by this single factor
Isn't all debt "bad"?
Well, in a word, no.
Broadly speaking, there are two types of debt. One of them actually adds value to the economy if handled in the right way, so you might call this a "good" form of debt. However, there's another type of debt (or credit) which hurts the economy.
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Thursday, December 24, 2020
Will President Biden Trigger Inflation for Gold? / Commodities / Global Debt Crisis 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
President-elect Joe Biden is expected to increase further government spending. For this and also other reasons, there is a risk that inflation under Biden’s presidency could be higher than under Trump’s. That would be great news for gold.Let’s face it, Biden won’t have an easy presidency. And I’m not referring to the fact that he will be sworn in as the oldest president in U.S. history or that he will have to deal with the coronavirus pandemic and the process of vaccine distribution across the country. I’m referring to Biden inheriting an economy with slow growth and too much public debt . Given the debt burden, it should be clear that under Biden’s presidency, real interest rates will remain at ultra-low levels. This is how a debt trap works – the more the debt grows, the less the economy (Treasury) can afford higher interest rates .
Moreover, Biden will have to face the risk of inflation . Actually, some analysts say that the new POTUS could contribute to the rise of prices. Is it true? Will we finally see an acceleration in the inflation rate? Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 24, 2020
Silver Price Launches Toward Major Technical Breakout / Commodities / Global Debt Crisis 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Precious metals markets are on the move this week.
They got a boost following Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy statement. Fed officials kept their benchmark interest rate near zero and vowed to continue injecting $120 billion per month into the bond market.
The central bank seemed unconcerned about bubble-like conditions in equity markets. Nothing seems likely to deter it from pursuing more stimulus for the foreseeable future.
The ultra-dovish Fed helped nudge the U.S. Dollar Index down. It broke below 90 on Thursday to record a new low for the year.
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Friday, November 13, 2020
Global "Debt Mountain": Beware of This "New Peak" / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2020
By: EWI
Prepare now for a situation that is "building to an epic finale"
Most people going about their daily business probably never give a moment's thought to global debt.
But, in EWI's view, the topic deserves serious attention.
You only have to think back to the 2007-2009 subprime mortgage meltdown to know why. Of course, subprime mortgages are a form of debt, and when many of these loans turned sour, the entire global financial system teetered on the brink of collapse.
But, why were so many of these bad loans made in the first place? It boils down to one word: confidence ... confidence that the loans would be repaid, confidence that the stock market would continue to rally, confidence in the economy and confidence in the future, in general.
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Sunday, March 01, 2020
Gold And Stocks Are Both Headed Lower, But… / Commodities / Global Debt Crisis 2020
By: Kelsey_Williams
Gold and stocks are moving south together; but they are not correlated. Nor, are they inversely correlated, as some gold enthusiasts claim.
Reference to gold as a safe haven has some investors buying gold to hedge against a stock market crash. It is almost as if gold has become a pseudo defensive stock.
It seems investors actually expect gold’s price to go up when the stock market goes down; and vice-versa.
If that were the case, how do you explain the extended periods when both moved together; or the price action of gold relative to stocks in the past four days? Gold currently is lower in price than it was before stocks tumbled nearly 4000 points.
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Monday, July 08, 2019
Is the Global Debt Crisis About to be Reborn in 2020? - PART II / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
There are some key elements of political and economic Super-Cycles that all traders must stay aware of listed below. But if you have not yet read PART I do so now.
_ Very often, 12+ months before a major US political election cycle, the US stock market typically enters a Bearish trend phase that lasts until 8+ month before the actual election date.
_ The Transportation Index has not recovered to levels from the September 2018 peak. This lower price rotation in the Transportation Index suggests the global economy is not expecting growth in the near future.
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Monday, July 08, 2019
Is The Debt Crisis About To Be Reborn In 2020? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We have been focused on the upside price move in Gold and Precious Metals, we’ve been engaged in multiple private conversations with members and friends about the potential for a renewed debt crisis between now and the end of 2020.
This research post should help to put some perspective into what we believe the next 16+ months of trading and what the US economy should look like for our followers.
First, we want to talk about one of our most favorite topics of the past 24+ months – the “capital shift” phenomenon. We first identified this facet of global economic dynamics back in 2015 or so.
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