Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, June 12, 2017
3 Charts That Show How Stock Market is“Enormously Overvalued” / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Last week in Outside the Box (my free newsletter for investors), Jim Mellon shared some good advice on picking stocks in the Age of the Index Fund. Jim said,
[C]ommitted investors should make a list of companies that they really like, know about, and want to own—at the right price. If the shares of those firms are too high, put in limits, possibly 20–30% below current levels, and wait. Don’t let cash burn a hole in your pocket—let the stocks come to you, and don’t chase.
Within a day of publishing Jim’s piece, my friend Vitaliy Katsenelson’s quarterly letter to clients landed in my inbox, and I thought it would make a good follow-up to Jim’s article.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
India Stock Market Nifty-NSE Next Warning Area for Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
In June 2015, we mentioned that Nifty-NSE from India was in a warning area for the bulls and a larger correction was expected to take place. Over the next 12 months, Nifty lost 25% dropping from a high of 9119.20 on 3.4.2015 to a low of 6825 on 2.29.2016. However, as we keep mentioning World Indices trend remains up and dips are nothing more than buying opportunity in the right areas, so this dip in this Indian Index was another buying opportunity in the blue box between 7459 – 6721.
Nifty-NSE buying area down from 3.4.2015 peak
Monday, June 12, 2017
Will Technology Stocks Sell-Off Drive Stock Market Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, June 12, 2017
Active Trader Predicts Stock Market Vix Spike & Nasdaq Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A potential increase in risk may create massive opportunities for investors.
Throughout our ongoing analysis of the US markets, metals, energy and other market sectors, one thing we have seen over and over is that markets can, and often do, develop longer term trends than most people believe are possible or believable.
Recently, numerous analysts have been warning of potential “critical crashes” and “deep retracements” because of the fear that this rally is nearing some type of end cycle. We believe the charts tell the story of the investor sentiment and that, at some point in the future, these predictions may become true – but not today.
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Sunday, June 11, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Watch: We’ve Passed 2007 and Are Closing In on 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
We continue to see articles and comments in the financial media proclaiming that stocks are not in a bubble.
The people claiming this are either delusional or intentionally lying.
Most people would argue that Warren Buffett knows a thing or two about investing. He’s possibly the single most famous investor of all time and is widely thought to be one of the greatest, if not THE greatest investor in history.
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
High Flying NDX/NAZ Hit an Air Pocket / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
An interesting end to a mostly choppy week. The market started the week at SPX 2439. After a tick up to the all-time high at SPX 2440 on Monday, the market pulled back to 2425 by Wednesday. Then after the ECB meeting, the much awaited Comey testimony, and the UK election fiasco, the SPX hit an all-time high at 2446 on Friday. After the high, however, the Tech sector went into freefall, pulling down the SPX to end the week at 2432. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.0%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the downtick: ISM, factory orders, consumer credit, the WLEI and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, retail sales, and industrial production. Best to your week!
Friday, June 09, 2017
U.S.Bond and Small Cap Stock Soaring Together? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
U.S. Stock Markets just keep going higher and higher! How much higher will they go? I am FORECASTING another 25% higher for U.S. Stocks! The ‘bullish trend’ from the breakout continues, as expected. Breadth has become strong, once again, including a new all-time high on the SPX Advance/Decline line to match the new all-time high for the SPX. My breath thrust index reissued another buy for the SPX on May 31st, 2017! Once the markets wake up and realize that there will be no U.S. tradewars, they will then begin their assent.
Friday, June 09, 2017
Good Sized Drop in Equities, Rally in Gold Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Today (June 8) is the 4/16 TD top. The next low is due on June 12. A sudden sharp sell-off in equities (likely June 9) and a rally in gold is due into Monday. My best guess now is that we see a move into the 2380/90’s. GDX could easily move from the 22.90’s (forecasted 2 days ago) into the low 24.00’s.
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Thursday, June 08, 2017
Stocks Trade At Record Highs, Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, June 08, 2017
Constructive Stock Market Consolidation or Potential Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market had a volatile session, gapping up at the opening, coming down sharply in a 5-wave decline, and reaching the lows by midday. After taking out support they rallied sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 5846 all the way up to 5883. The S&P 500 bounced from 2424 to 2435. A last 10-minute pullback pared back the profits, but they did finish in the positive column, but not with the best technicals.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 37.46 at 21,173.69. The S&P 500 was up 3.81 at 2433.14. The Nasdaq 100 was up 20.82 at 5877.59.
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Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Stock Market Correction Due to Get Started this Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
We’re seeing conflicting calls from the Hybrid Lindsay model and cycles. As cycles can invert we will stick with the Hybrid forecast for a top on/near June 9. A 23-day cycle high is also due on June 9 (chart).
The VIX fell 0.06 points last week closing at 9.75. A cycle low is due June 9 which is a good match for the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high in equities then.
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Monday, June 05, 2017
Stocks Extend Their Uptrend As Indices Reach New Record Highs Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, June 05, 2017
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: Correction over. May be heading for about 2500.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, June 05, 2017
Last Week’s Stock Market Shallow Drop Portends Bigger Drop Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I was looking for a pull back into May 31’s 8 TD low. The move down, however, was extremely shallow (wave ‘b’ 2418 down to 2403) and wave ‘c’ of Y looked to have finished on June 2 (or will finish by June 5 near 2440). The trines of June 1 (Venus trine Saturn) and June 3 (Sun trine Jupiter) are usually found near tops.On June 3, we have Venus conjunct Uranus in Aries (Mars rules Aries) and then the Sun squares Neptune in Gemini-Pisces June 4 while the Mars opposition to Saturn (May 29) orb still influences about two weeks out (through the end of next week). Mars leaves Gemini the same day and enters Cancer.
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Sunday, June 04, 2017
DOW Joins the Stock Market New All-time Highs Party / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2416. After a pullback to SPX 2404 by Wednesday morning the market rallied to all-time highs on Thursday/Friday, hitting SPX 2440. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.80%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.55%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: consumer sentiment, the Chicago PMI, pending home sales, construction spending, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, the Q2 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit rose. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the CPI, Case-Shiller, the ADP, ISM manufacturing, plus the unemployment rate declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by ISM services and factory orders.
Friday, June 02, 2017
Terrific Stock Market Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market started off the month with a big bang, first gapping up, and then pulling back sharply, like it did yesterday, except today it rallied the rest of the day, finishing at the highs for the day going away and at new all-time highs.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 135.53 at 21,144.18. The S&P 500 was up 18.26 at 2430.06, closing at the highest close in its history and at the high for the day. The Nasdaq 100 was up 27.71 at 5816.51, closing within pennies off the high for the day and new all-time high.
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Thursday, June 01, 2017
Stocks Extend Channel, Possible Super-Bull Run? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, lots of news items have been discussing the run in the US equity markets and “how long can it go on like this?”. Our analysis of the markets shows us that many of these industry analysts are failing to consider one very important factor in much of their results. We wanted to share this with you through our own analysis so you have a clear picture in your head regarding the potential for US equities.
In our opinion, most of the industry leading analysts are developing conclusions based on Keynesian models that fail to adjust to recent disruptions in the global markets. Keynesian theory is focused on aggregate demand and the variations of this demand factor through normal and recession/depression economic events. In simple terms, as economies falter, Keynes suggested demand would suffer as a result of constrictions within the overall economy as a natural factor. His theories were radically opposed to those of the times (early 1900s) and proposed that government intervention to support demand would provide a more substantial economic recovery as savers would be converted into consumers and economic activity would inherently increase.
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Thursday, June 01, 2017
Stocks Fluctuate Along Record High - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, May 31, 2017
Promising Start to Stock Market Decline... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This morning’s decline appears to be a promising start, but we would need a decline beneath the Wave [iv] low at 2397.99 to have any confidence that the decline is for real. Otherwise it may be subject to whipsaw and a possible new high.
Wednesday, May 31, 2017
Will there be Another New Stock Market High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
This morning’s SPX futures are higher, suggesting at least a challenge of the 2418.71 high if not a new high. The decline from Thursday’s high does not appear impulsive, so the chances are better than even for another attempted high. Right now the best estimate for a new high would be the Cycle Top at 2421.48…just in time for the quarter-end.
ZeroHedge reports, “t has been another quiet session for global equity markets, with S&P futures flat, as are European and Asian stocks, which is perhaps odd, as there was quite a bit of newsflow and, in the case of China, outright fireworks.
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