Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, April 28, 2017
Stock Market Consolidation Day, Poor Technicals, NDX Reaches New All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had an interesting, very mixed, session today, with the Nasdaq 100 making new all-time highs, closing near 5572, a gain of over 30 points.
The day started out with a gap up on the Nasdaq 100, but not so much on the S&P 500. When they moved higher in the morning, and then pulled back, the S&P 500 made lower lows, but the Nasdaq 100 formed a bull wedge. The Nasdaq 100 broke out midday, along with the S&P 500, which ran up, and in the afternoon, they pulled back, the Nasdaq 100 rallying again to new highs, but the S&P 500 couldn’t even get through the declining topsline. It was a very mixed session, continuing the consolidation on a higher range on the Nasdaq 100, but more of a pullback low on the blue chips.
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Thursday, April 27, 2017
Trump 100, Margin Debt Stock Bubble and Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: GoldCore
– Stocks and the dollar look vulnerable due to Trump’s policies, America’s civil war politics and economic vulnerability
– Stock bubble on margin debt – ‘Powerful time bomb’
– “There is no alternative” to stock bubble? Gold?
– Bank Of America sets a date for the market’s “Great Fall”
– Even uber bull Cramer compares 2000 dotcom bubble bust to today
– Gold to stay elevated on safe haven demand – Economist
– Gold’s tempered climb makes gains more ‘sustainable’
Thursday, April 27, 2017
More Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Get Close To Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Stock Market Expected Pullback After Two Big Upside Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices churned and were choppy all day, and at the end of the day they sold off after the tax plan was released, but loses were very minor after a couple big days to the upside.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 21.03 at 20,975,09, about 90 points off the high. The S&P 500 was down 1.16 at 2387.45, 11 points off the high. The Nasdaq 100 was down 7.11 at 5541.09, 22 points off the high.
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Wednesday, April 26, 2017
Billionaire Investor Paul Tudor Jones Says Stock Market Valuation Is “Terrifying” And He Is Right / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Jeff_Berwick
We live in a unique time. Never before have the markets gone to such extremes in almost every way imaginable.
Not just the markets either. Nearly everything.
US government debt is just getting ridiculous now. There are really no more words to say how out-of-control and unsustainable it is.
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Wednesday, April 26, 2017
The Stock Market Is Overvalued, But It’s Not In A Bubble Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : If you asked the man on the street, he would probably tell you there are five different bubbles going on right now.
There is some truth to that, but also some untruth to that.
The true part is that a lot of things are currently overvalued. I would say stocks are overvalued. Most people would agree. I would also say bonds are overvalued. Some people would agree. I would say corporate credit is overvalued, real estate in certain parts of the country is overvalued, and maybe a few other things.
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Tuesday, April 25, 2017
SPX may be Aiming at the Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday I asked the question, “Will the SPX reverse in hour 86?” We got our answer as SPX rallied through the rest of the day. Interestingly enough, the rally thus far took 90 hours. 90.3 is divisible by 4.3 and also happens to be 12.9 days. This may be a good spot for a reversal.
SPX futures are positive this morning, but The corrective Wave appears to be nearly finished. An additional probe to the 2-hour cycle Top at 2384.51 may do the job.
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Monday, April 24, 2017
Risk on Stock Market French Election Euphoria / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures went euphorically higher as the DAX made an all-time high this morning.
Currently the level of the SPX futs are near 2375.00. SPX is in the 84th hour of its Cycle which began at 2378.36. If the current EW reading is correct, it should reverse in the next three hours without overcoming its April 5 high.
Last Thursday, Bloomberg noted, “European Central Bank officials signaled that their liquidity facilities remain available to counter any market tension that may arise in the aftermath of France’s presidential election, the first round of which takes place Sunday.”
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Monday, April 24, 2017
Is the Stock Market Bounce Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 continues,
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 23, 2017
Stock Market Grand Super Cycle Overview While SPX Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started this gap filled week at SPX 2329. A gap up opening Monday took the SPX to 2349. Then after a gap down opening on Tuesday the market found support at SPX 2335. A gap up opening on Wednesday took the SPX to 2353, which was sold off into 2335 again. On Thursday another gap up opening took the market to SPX 2361. Then the market pulled back to SPX 2349 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.70%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.75%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, the WLEI, the NAHB, housing starts, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: building permits, industrial production, capacity utilization, leading indicators and existing home sales. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, the Chicago PMI, durable goods and housing. Best to your week!
Saturday, April 22, 2017
Why You Are Not An Investor / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Raul_I_Meijer
You are not an investor. One can only be an investor in functioning markets. There have been no functioning markets since at least 2008, and probably much longer. That’s when central banks started purchasing financial assets, for real, which means that is also the point when price discovery died. And without price discovery no market can function.
You are therefore not an investor. Perhaps you are a cheat, perhaps you are a chump, but you are not an investor. If we continue to use terms like ‘investor’ and ‘markets’ for what we see today, we would need to invent new terms for what these words once meant. Because they surely are not the same thing. Even as there are plenty people who would like you to believe they are, because it serves their purposes.
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Friday, April 21, 2017
Why Stock Market Investors May Soon Be In For A Rude Awakening / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : It seems that a lot of people have missed the distinction between wishful thinking and reality lately—and I fear it’s going to hurt them badly.
After Donald Trump won in November, some Americans didn’t just hope for the best; they thought it was here.
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Friday, April 21, 2017
No Such Thing as a Stock Market Quadruple Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Savage
When a resistance zone gets tested multiple times it usually breaks. It shouldn’t be long before the Nasdaq breaks through this resistance. After it does it will pull the rest of the market up with it.
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Friday, April 21, 2017
U.S. Stock Market and Gold, Post Tomahawks and MOAB / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
It happens when inflammatory events (usually political, terror or war related, but also including things like Ebola, Bird Flu and the like) crop up; stocks go down and hysteria starts to build. The mainstream media jump aboard and next thing you know you've got people heading for the exits… right into the next bottom. In the case of the current corrective consolidation, a disappointment in the Trump administration's Healthcare follies rolled right into the war-like events in Syria and Afghanistan. Presto! A much needed correction of the over-bullishness was on.
Thursday, April 20, 2017
Stock Market More Uncertainty As Investors Await Quarterly Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Stock Market Rally May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It has become obvious that the higher Cup with Handle formation was not triggering the sell-off that would be expected. Both the daily chart and the 2-hour chart actually show a better position for a clean Cup with Handle pattern with the Lip at 2322.25. The Broadening Wedge remains the same.
SPX appears to have halted its rally at the 50% retracement level. It remains on a sell signal with additional confirmation beneath 2322.25.
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Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Stock Market to Push Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Savage
I suspect the market will be near the all-time highs ahead of the FOMC meeting on May 3rd.
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Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Stock Market Turn-Around Tuesday Closes Negative / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
It looks like turn-around Tuesday for the stock market indices today as the markets reversed yesterday, gains for losses, and pretty decent ones, too, but they did come back. The day started out with a gap down, but then a really sharp rally got them to their highs very quickly, within the first thirty minutes. At that point, they came down in a sharp, 3-wave decline, and reached their session lows by midday. An early afternoon rally back got to resistance and backed off late afternoon, and then surged into the close to reach the morning highs, but were unable to get through, and in the last five minutes they backed off.
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Wednesday, April 19, 2017
SPX May be Completing its Corrective Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
It appears that SPX may be completing a Wave [c] of 2 this morning. This changes the structure somewhat, postponing the top of Wave 2 until today. My original thought that the low at 2328.95 was Wave [b] was because of overlap between the waves. Leading diagonal waves may overlap, so that description is being moved forward.
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Tuesday, April 18, 2017
If You Invest In Stocks Now, Expect No More Than 3% Returns In The Next 20 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JOHN MAULDIN : We didn’t have all of this big data or computing power when I started in the investment publishing industry in 1982. But we do today.
This data not only shows us the present state of the stock market, but also tells what that means in terms of probable returns over the coming 7, 10, and 12 years and what it means in terms of relative risks.
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