Category: Financial Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, January 07, 2016
China, Oil and Markets: It’s All One Story / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
If there’s one thing to take away from this year’s developments in markets and economies so far, it’s that they are all linked, they’re all part of the same thing. If you can’t see that, you’re not going to understand what’s happening.
Looking at falling oil prices as a separate thread is not much use, and neither is doing the same with Chinese stocks, or the yuan, or the millions of Americans who are one paycheck away from poverty, for that matter. It’s all one story.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
The Importance Of A Good Trading System in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
In this morning’s 5 Day Forecast, Adam O’Dell, our Chief Investment Strategist, gave Boom & Bust subscribers a snapshot of what 2015 was like for stocks, bonds and commodities.The picture was ugly!
So I’m going to show you too, but I’m going to let charts do the talking…
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Pento's Market Predictions for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
2015 was a year where nearly every asset class failed to provide any returns at all. If fact, the S&P 500 hasn't gone anywhere in about the past 400 days. An analysis of that Index's performance at the end of the 3rd quarter by S&P Capital IQ showed that over 250 stocks were down more than 20% from their 2015 highs and 25% of the S&P 500 Index had plummeted more than 30%.
The 30-year Treasury bond has fallen over 2.0%, cash in money market accounts have returned just +0.11% (so after taxes and inflation your return was solidly negative), and the CRB index is down nearly 25%.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Yellen Comes Down The Chimney / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
You heard it from Janet Yellen. “Economic expansions (and by extension bull markets) don’t die of old age.” That’s true. But they do die from excess, policy mistakes and Wall St Stoopid.
Seven years of zero interest rates have created plenty of capital misallocation, mal-investment and yield chasing. We’ve seen some minor debacles in the high yield space this month. Nothing earth shattering but certainly disquieting. Big problems often start small and go unnoticed until the tsunami is on the horizon. Keep an eye on bonds. The credit market funds a large percentage of the buying underpinned the bull market. We’ve got a problem if it stops.
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Monday, January 04, 2016
Wild Swings in Markets Likely to Continue / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Our attention this week will be more to the cycles and planets than to the charts. Last weekend, we were looking for a 4/8 stock market cycle low due early in the week followed by a possible top either December 29 or 30th and then weakness for the rest of the week. December 25th had a Bradley turn with Uranus turning stationary/direct, and December 29th the moon was in Leo/Virgo, where oft times peaks have occurred. With the moon in Virgo and Saturn in Sagittarius, the set up was there for an end of year drop (and a 4/12 TD low).
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Sunday, January 03, 2016
More Ominous Economic and Market Charts For 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
If 2015 was the year in which no investment strategy worked , 2016 is looking like the year in which all economic policies fail. Already, at what should be the blow-off peak of a long expansion, US corporate profits are instead rolling over:
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Saturday, January 02, 2016
Will 2016 Be the End of the Current Skyscraper Boom? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Mark Thornton writes: With more financing in place, the world’s tallest skyscraper is moving forward.
Recent media reports indicate that the final segment of financing has been obtained for the $1.2 billion Jeddah Tower project in Saudi Arabia. This is the financing that would be necessary to bring the project to record heights. Media reports also show that the structure has risen to more than seventy-five meters (246 feet) and construction is proceeding at an uninterrupted pace.
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Saturday, January 02, 2016
7 Market Predictions for 2016: Gold, Energy, Stocks, Bitcoin / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Despite my hesitation in writing another piece like this, people seem to love prediction articles. It used to be an easier task to simply identify and go with the trends, but so much is now up to the whims of central planners that it is nearly impossible to have much accuracy. These are just my best guesses and I will make sure to revisit them in another 12 months to see how well they held up. Here are my seven predictions for 2016:
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Friday, December 18, 2015
The Fed Rate Hike Will Trigger a $9 Trillion Financial Markets Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Yesterday, the Fed has hiked interest rates from 0.25% to 0.5%.
It is the first rate hike in 10 years. And it is now clear that the Fed is not only behind the ball in terms of raising rates… but that it has now primed the financial system for another 2008-type meltdown.
By way of background we need to consider the relationship between the US Dollar and the Euro.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Ten Market Investors Warning Signs for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Wall Street's proclivity to create serial equity bubbles off the back of cheap credit has once again set up the middle class for disaster. The warning signs of this next correction have now clearly manifested, but are being skillfully obfuscated and trivialized by financial institutions. Nevertheless, here are ten salient warning signs that astute investors should heed as we roll into 2016.
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Wednesday, December 02, 2015
Merk Markets, US Dollar and Gold Outlook 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Up! Buy the dips! What could possibly go wrong? A hell of a lot, actually, so investors might want to take precautions before, rather after, bad things happen to one's portfolio. We take a stab at where one may find opportunities in 2016.
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