Category: Currency War
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, February 17, 2015
Currency War Expands to New Fronts / Currencies / Currency War
By: EWI
Editor's note: This article was adapted, with permission, from the February issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Elliott Wave International. All data is as of Jan. 30, 2015. Click here to read the complete version of the article, including specific near-term forecasts, for free.
The "Currency War" we discussed in our October issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and again in the January issue has expanded to new fronts, as world central banks fought to remain economically competitive by trying to push down the value of their currencies.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2015
Apparently You Can’t Just Surrender In a Currency War / Currencies / Currency War
By: John_Rubino
Two weeks ago Switzerland abruptly decided that it couldn’t keep buying billions of euros every month just to maintain a somewhat arbitrary peg with that currency. It stopped trying, allowed the Swiss franc to trade according to market forces, and watched it soar.
At the time there was some question about whether an export-centric economy like Switzerland could handle a soaring currency’s impact on its major industries. In other words, is it even possible to surrender in a currency war?
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Wednesday, February 04, 2015
This Is What Gold Does In A Currency War / Interest-Rates / Currency War
By: John_Rubino
Australia just fired a serious shot in the currency war by cutting its overnight lending rate to a record-low 2.25%.
With the aussie as a result tanking, local holders of bank accounts and cash are quite a bit poorer than they were at this time last year. But owners of gold are doing just fine. While the metal is falling again here in the US (which is at the moment trying to withdraw from the currency war), it’s up about 20% in the past three months in countries like Australia that are on the offensive.
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Thursday, January 29, 2015
The Raging Currency Wars Across Europe / Currencies / Currency War
By: Gary_Dorsch
The theater of the absurd became even more bizarre on Jan 22nd, when the European Central bank <ECB,> desperate to extract the Euro-zone’s economy from the quagmire of deflation and stagnation, decided it would try its hand at the magic elixir of “quantitative easing,” (Q€). Starting on March 1st, the ECB will inject €60-billion of liquidity into the Euro-zone’s money markets, each month until the end of Sept 2016. The ECB is the last of the Big-4 central banks to unleash the nuclear option of central banking – QE, - starting about six years after the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and the Fed began flooding the world markets with $7-trillion of British pounds, Japanese yen and US$’s.
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
This Is What It Means To Lose A Currency War / Stock-Markets / Currency War
By: John_Rubino
The term gets tossed around a lot, but the meaning and consequences of a “currency war” aren’t intuitively clear to most people. Especially confusing is the idea that you lose the war when your currency goes up. The suddenly very strong dollar, for instance, should, one would think, be a good thing, since it seems to imply that the rest of the world is impressed enough to covet our currency.
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Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Currency Wars / Currencies / Currency War
By: Frank_Hollenbeck
The current Japanese monetary printing orgy and European Central Bank threats of massive QE are both aimed at primarily boosting exports to kick start their moribund economies. The yen has dropped nearly 12% against the dollar since the Japanese announcement in October and the Euro has dropped over 10% against the dollar in the last six months.
Friday, November 21, 2014
Currency Wars, the Ruble and Keynes / Currencies / Currency War
By: Steve_H_Hanke
The specter of currency wars once again haunts the international chattering classes. Remember back in 2011, when Brazilian finance minister Guido Mantega blamed the U.S. for deliberately weakening the greenback to gain a competitive advantage? Well, now the shoe is on the other foot.
The Yen — an important regional currency — recently sank to a sevenyear low against the now mighty U.S. dollar (USD). This is putting downward pressure on the Korean won and other Asian currencies. The situation is similar in Africa where the Kenyan shilling has hit a three-year low against the USD; the Nigerian naira recently set an all-time low against the dollar; the Ghanaian cedi has shed over 25 percent of its value against the greenback this year. The big Latin American loser is the Venezuelan bolivar, followed by the hopeless Argentine peso. Moving to Europe, Ukraine’s hryvnia has lost over 88 percent of its value against the USD this year, while the Russian ruble has racked up a loss of over 43 percent against the greenback in the same time span. The list could go on, but let’s focus on Russia and the travails of the ruble.
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Friday, November 14, 2014
Plunging EUR & JPY Could Trigger Regional Currency Wars / Currencies / Currency War
By: MahiFX
The good news about a soaring USD is that it eases global trade tensions as it is the world's main currency. But systematic devaluations of EUR and JPY are another matter and will force neighbouring countries to respond by pushing down the value of their currencies.
Japan and the Eurozone have become like black holes in the global economy desperate to suck in growth from where ever they can find it. Both struggle to grow domestically, suffer deflationary pressures and also want to tap into the greater economic vitality of their neighbours via exports.
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Friday, November 14, 2014
Currency Wars Next Phase - Yen Plunge, Yuan Devaluation, Tidal Wave of Deflation / Currencies / Currency War
By: Mike_Shedlock
The Yen currently trades about 115 to the US dollar. At the end of 2011 the Yen was about 77 to the dollar. That is a decline of roughly 33%.
Yet, Japan's inflation barely budged. Japan's prime minister Shinzo Abe is not pleased.
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Saturday, March 08, 2014
Intensifying Currency War Investor Consequences / Stock-Markets / Currency War
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“When the dollar collapse comes, it will happen in two ways: gradually then suddenly. That formula, famously used by Hemingway to describe how one goes bankrupt, is an apt description of critical state dynamics in complex systems. The gradual part is a snowflake disturbing a small patch of snow, while the sudden part is the avalanche. The snowflake is random yet the avalanche is inevitable. Both ideas are easy to grasp. What is difficult to grasp is the critical state of the system in which the random event occurs.”Jim Rickards, Currency Wars
Saturday, January 25, 2014
Currency Wars Massacre in Emerging Markets, Venezuela, Argentina, Turkey... / Currencies / Currency War
By: PhilStockWorld
By Pater Tenebrarum of Acting Man : Both Venezuela (socialist worker's paradise) and Argentina (nationalist socialist paradise) have a problem with their foreign exchange reserves. In both cases it stems from trying to keep up the pretense that their currencies are worth more than they really are. The central banks of both countries are (and have been for some time) printing money like crazy, and inflation is galloping with gay abandon. Their governments publish misleading economic statistics, that inter alia attempt to hide the true extent of the monetary debasement – in short, their inflation statistics are even more bogus than those of other governments (we are leaving aside here that the mythical 'general price level' cannot really be measured anyway).
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Currency War Means Currency Suicide / Currencies / Currency War
By: MISES
Patrick Barron writes: What the media calls a “currency war,” whereby nations engage in competitive currency devaluations in order to increase exports, is really “currency suicide.” National governments persist in the fallacious belief that weakening one’s own currency will improve domestically-produced products’competitiveness in world markets and lead to an export driven recovery. As it intervenes to give more of its own currency in exchange for the currency of foreign buyers, a country expects that its export industries will benefit with increased sales, which will stimulate the rest of the economy. So we often read that a country is trying to “export its way to prosperity.”
Friday, May 24, 2013
Global Currency Devaluation Derby Where the Biggest Loser Wins / Currencies / Currency War
By: Peter_Schiff
While the world's economies jockey one another for the lead in the currency devaluation derby, it's worth considering the value of the prize they are seeking. They believe a weak currency opens the door to trade dominance, by allowing manufacturers to undercut foreign rivals, and to economic growth, by fighting deflation. On the other side of the coin, they believe a strong currency is an economic albatross that leads to stagnation. But the demonstrable effects of currency strength and weakness reveal the emptiness of their theory.
Thursday, May 16, 2013
U.S. Dollar Collapse and Japan’s Sham Currency War / Currencies / Currency War
By: Matthias_Chang
US$ dollars have been flooding the financial markets ever since Bernanke launched quantitative easing allegedly to turnaround the US economy. These huge amounts of US$ toilet paper are mainly in financial markets (and in central banks) outside of the United States. A huge chunk is represented as reserves in central banks led by China and Japan.
If truth be told, the real value of the US$ would not be more than a dime and I am being really generous here, as even toilet paper has a value.
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Friday, February 22, 2013
Currency Wars - China Robbing Joe To Pay Chan / Economics / Currency War
By: Richard_Mills
Lately there’s been a lot of talk regarding currency wars. Let’s take a look at why competitive currency devaluations – currency wars – won’t accomplish what’s intended and why we’re going to have to see increasing U.S. protectionism (subsidies, tariffs etc.) regarding global trade.
Currency War - when countries around the world start competing (competitive devaluation) to make their currency cheaper than everyone else’s as a way to boost trade.
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