Category: Gold and Silver 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, January 08, 2012
Silver Head and Shoulders Top Suggesting Price Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
A large and very bearish looking Head-and-Shoulders top appears to be completing in silver which portends a severe decline and thus a deflationary downwave. However, a factor complicating the picture in recent weeks has been the COT structure for silver and sentiment indicators, both of which look very bullish. For reasons that are set out in the parallel Gold Market update, the COT is believed to be highly deceptive at this time, and with regards to sentiment indicators, there is the scope for readings to get even worse (even more bullish) in the event of a breakdown and severe decline.
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
Gold Strongly Bearish Price Patterns and COT Confusion Cleared / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
We have in recent weeks been rather confused by the contradiction between the strongly bearish price patterns that are developing in gold and silver, which are indicative of a major top that portends a brutal deflationary downwave, and the seemingly bullish COTs and sentiment for the sector. Now we believe that we have come to a realization with regards to what is going on with the COTs, which will be set out lower down the page - first we will look at the price pattern development.
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
Warning Fake High Quality Gold, Silver Coins and Ignots / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Paul Behan writes: There are currently many fake gold and silver ingots and coins being made and sold out of China. Many of these items are made to a high quality and are hard to tell from the original for those not familiar with the original items.
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
Gold and Dogma / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Some analysts believe that gold has bottomed . I think they may be missing something important. The global financial game may have changed because Europe is being seen as more of a basket case than the US
Yes, gold was oversold and needed to bounce up. The problem flows from the first two charts below (courtesy stockcharts.com):
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
Was 2011 a Springboard for Gold 2012? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: 2011 was remarkable in many ways for the precious metals markets. Gold soared to new highs in early September, hitting at an intraday record of $1,920/ounce on the fifth. Silver screamed to within a hair of $50 on April 28. Corrections ensued, and the metals ended the year on a disappointing note for silver and an underwhelming note for gold. Equities for the sector were down, to way down for junior ventures, logging their worst annual return since 2008.
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Saturday, January 07, 2012
Gold, Silver, Wall Street's Best Bet for Crisis-Beating Returns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
So how did the top US mutual funds stack up vs. the gold price since 2007...?
PAST PERFORMANCE is no guide to the future. But if you don't study history, just what will you track instead?
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Saturday, January 07, 2012
Why Rising Debt Will Lead to $10,000 Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Good afternoon, it's a pleasure to speak about gold at this Outlook for 2012.
Today, I'd like to focus on one important idea: the direct relationship between the rising price of gold and the rising levels of government debt that result in currency debasement. Since we measure investment performance in currencies a clear understanding of the outlook for currencies is critical.
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Silver Confirms the Bullish Outlook for Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The new year started off with a bang with precious metals out-shining the competition. Is this a harbinger of things to come? We think so and we are not alone. Forecasts for gold for 2012 include a price per ounce of $2,200 by Morgan Stanley, $2,050 by UBS, and $2,000 by Barclays.
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Gold Confiscation a Reality? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Many of the leading fund managers in the U.S. and elsewhere are expecting that governments will confiscate their citizen's gold. This will not be for the same reasons used in 1933. It will be to facilitate loans, swaps lower interest rates, and shore up international confidence in the turbulent, stressed paper-currency world in which we live. Each nation issues paper as money, dependent on the trust that nation can engender at home and abroad. But is this going to be sufficient, moving into an ever more turbulent 2012?
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Gold Up 5% on Week in Euros as Recession Data Hits Europe / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
THE DOLLAR cost of buying gold hovered around $1620 an ounce Friday morning London time – becoming a bit more volatile following the release of US employment data but failing to establish a definite direction – while stocks and commodities edged higher.
Silver prices meantime eased around lunchtime, hitting $29.15 per ounce.
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Gold Buy Signal Whenever Trading Below 200 Day Moving Average / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
During the 12 year history of this bull market in gold, only about 5% of the time did we see gold trading below its 200DMA, and each time it turned out to be a prime buying opportunity. (Charts courtesy Stockcharts.com unless indicated).
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Gold Bottom Targets Trend to $4000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
There has been so much talk about gold and so little understanding of the reality behind the move in the price of the yellow metal over the last 90 plus days that I think it’s necessary to separate the wheat from the chaff. I want to discuss what gold has done, where it’s at now, and then end with where it’s going from here and postulate why it’s going to do what it will do.
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Using Options To Hedge Against a Gold GLD ETF Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
At SK Options Trading, we primarily use the SPDR gold trust (Symbol: GLD) for exposure to the gold price. GLD is an exchange traded fund, designed to track the price of one tenth of an ounce of gold. GLD currently holds around 1280 tonnes of physical bullion, the sixth largest holding in the world, preceded only by the U.S. Germany, the IMF, Italy and France. The major benefit of using an ETF such as GLD is that one can gain exposure to the gold price as easily as buying a stock and one can effectively trade gold options as easily as trading stock options.
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Why Has Gold Been Down? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: In spite of some short-term fixes, there remains no real resolution to the sovereign debt issues in many European countries. We're certainly not spending less money in the US, and now we're bailing out Europe via currency swaps with the European Central Bank. Shouldn't gold be rising?
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Was 2011 The End of The Gold Rush, Is This the Top? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
For such a wonderful year for precious metals investors, the final calendar quarter left little to celebrate. Just as people now take for granted that their phones will also take pictures, play music, and surf the internet, many investors have come to expect gold and silver to move up in a straight line.
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Thursday, January 05, 2012
Safe Haven Status Returning to Gold as Euro Sinks After Weak Bond Sales / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
WHOLESALE MARKET prices to buy gold touched a two-week high at $1625 per ounce as London opened for business on Thursday, before pulling back to $1609 as commodities and world stock markets fell, led by Eurozone banking shares.
The 17-nation Euro currency fell to its lowest level in 16 months vs. the US Dollar.
Thursday, January 05, 2012
Euro, Iran and Asian New Year Buying Fuels Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold is trading at USD 1,612.90, EUR 1,256.10, GBP 1,037.30, CHF 1,530.40, JPY 123,934 and AUD 1,573.0 per ounce.
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,614.50, GBP 1,038.33, and EUR 1,256.32 per ounce.
Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,603.00, GBP 1,024.28, and EUR 1,229.96 per ounce.
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Thursday, January 05, 2012
How to Buy Silver, Bullion, Coins and ETFs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Peter Krauth writes: Silver prices soared as high as $50 an ounce last year before experiencing a brief correction that took it back below $30.
However, despite this blip, mounting inflationary pressures, a weakening dollar, and emerging market demand will see silver retest its record highs in 2012. In fact, this time around it could even climb as high as $150 an ounce.
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Thursday, January 05, 2012
Silver Value Investing With A Financial System Off the Rails / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2012
John Bogle is well known in the investment community. At Vanguard, he completely changed the way investors think about Wall Street. He has legions of fans, fans who label themselves as “Bogleheads,” reflecting their staunch acceptance of his main investment thesis: turnover kills.
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Thursday, January 05, 2012
Go to Market, Not the Vault for Gold Bargains / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Baker Steel Capital trades on its analysts' "intellectual capital and technical expertise" when it comes to knowing when and where to invest. Right now, its funds favor equities over the physical gold market. The lion's share of those equities are companies exploring and producing in Africa, where careful risk management can bring high returns, says Baker Steel Capital Managing Partner David Baker in this exclusive Gold Report interview.
The Gold Report: You've been quoted as saying that intellectual capital and technical expertise set Baker Steel Capital apart. Tell us more about that.
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