Category: Financial Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, November 24, 2011
Stock and Financial Markets Thanksgiving Thoughts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
What an ugly finish November is having!
We’ve been trying to get bullish with little success and, if we are not reversing tomorrow, I will be regretting the wasted time poking at bullish plays when we could have been going "wheeeee" on the slide.
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Thursday, November 24, 2011
Gold, U.S. Dollar, U.S. Treasuries, & China: Contrarian Investor Opportunities? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“What I am about to say is true. But under this system we are not allowed to speak the truth… Lies are required to maintain political harmony… the Chinese regime is in a serious economic crisis – on the brink of bankruptcy… every province in China is Greece.” (emphasis added)
Larry Lang, Professor of Finance, Chinese University of Hong Kong
Widely Held Opinion about Emerging Markets has it that Asia in general, and China (with its 1.3 billion people) in particular, will be The Great Growth Engine, which prospers while the over-indebted U.S. and Eurozone languish in the Slough of Despond.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2011
We are at a Critical Juncture for Stocks and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
"Can I be honest with you?"
I hate it when people ask me that. As if I’m going to respond, “No, lie to me.”
But the truth is, it’s usually a preface that suggests we’re not going to want to hear what we’re about to be told.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Russell Napier on Generational Cycles, Stocks Bear Market Bottoms and West Vs. East / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Aftab_Singh
Russell Napier (renown financial historian and consultant for CLSA) has articulated some fantastic insights on the generational cycle, bear market bottoms and currencies in recent years. So for this reason we decided to compile a ‘Russell Napier’s Greatest Hits’ video for you to enjoy. See below for the video and summary.
Tuesday, November 22, 2011
MF Global Revelations Keep Getting Worse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Janet_Tavakoli
· Shortfall estimated at $1.2 billion or more (up from $600 million)
· “Repo-to-Maturity” is a “Total Return Swap-to-Maturity,” a Type of Credit Derivative
· Probable Shortfalls Throughout 2011
· Regulators Waive Required Tests for Jon Corzine
Monday, November 21, 2011
Gold and Stock Market Trading Surrounded by European Sovereign Debt Crisis Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
The current trading environment is one of the most difficult that I can recall in recent memory. Risks abroad regarding the European sovereign debt crisis is keeping market participants on edge as headline risk seemingly surrounds traders at every turn.
In addition to the risk posed by Europe, the market’s reaction to the Congressional Super Committee’s upcoming statements also poses risks. As it stands now, the media is reporting that the committee is in gridlock and has yet to compromise. The deadline for the Super Committee is Wednesday, November 23rd. The gridlock leads to uncertainty, and Mr. Market hates uncertainty. High levels of uncertainty corresponds with increased volatility levels, thus caution is warranted.
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Monday, November 21, 2011
Stock Market Sitting on Nothing But Air, Dollar About to Breakout? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- The VIX pullback to intermediate-term trend support at 32.08. It is on a weekly buy signal, having crossed above its 4-year cycle support at 27.26 (red line). The buy signal is confirmed on the daily chart, as it is necessary to remain at or above intermediate-term Support/Resistance. The current buy signal remains in effect for a probable three weeks or longer. That indicates the probability of strong positive momentum in the Volatility Index lasting through early December.
Saturday, November 19, 2011
Essential U.S. Budget Deficit Elephant Realities and Gold Antidote for Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“U.S. Federal Budget Deficit Reality. On November 23rd… the Congressional Super Committee is due to announce a mandatory plan for cutting the federal budget deficit. Ostensibly, the package to be produced will provide at least a 1.2-trillion dollar deficit reduction over ten years. Even if the Committee can reach an agreement… the deal will not be meaningful… consider the following:
Friday, November 18, 2011
Stock and Commodity Markets Make Or Break / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE – The global economy is slowing down, most of Europe is in recession and the US is also on the verge of a contraction. Nonetheless, the ‘risk on’ trade has raged over the past month and somehow, the market seems to be oblivious to the real economy. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
Stocks and Dollar Breakouts, Breakdowns & Supports / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday I reported the breakdown of the Euro. This morning, the US Dollar is staging a breakout, having reached an overnight high of 78.60 in the futures. It appears to be finding support at or above its cycle top support/resistance at 78.30, which is a sign of strength. This is typical of an Elliott third wave, which appears to be beginning.
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Wednesday, November 16, 2011
Are You Prepared For What’s Coming? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Michael A Burnham writes: The US$ is the world reserve currency and a huge amount of it is used in international commerce and held in foreign banks. What is the real value of the US$ or any currency for that matter? Money is no longer backed by gold or anything other than “good faith”, thus coined “fiat currency". Whenever the US Treasury runs short of money, it auctions Treasury notes…IOUs. But since there are fewer interested buyers in the world today, it then borrows dollars, printed out of thin air, from the Federal Reserve, a privately owned banking consortium, in exchange for Treasury notes. Every dollar issued represents an instrument of debt. In your wallet, you will find a Federal Reserve Note and its value is quantified by what it can buy.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2011
Markets Taking Cue from the Euro / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Ok then... after both houses of the Italian Government ratified the proposed austerity measures over the weekend, and Prime Minister Berlusconi resigned and Mario Monti was appointed as the Prime Minister-designate (ahead of forthcoming elections), let's notice that the Euro has taken a nosedive from Sunday evening's (euphoric?) high at 1.3815 (off of last Thursday's breakdown low at 1.3480).
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Sunday, November 13, 2011
Central Bank Turkeys Tell Tall Tales / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
As the calendar approaches the US holiday of Thanksgiving, we should all reflect on our blessings with thankful humility. For those of us fortunate enough to afford it, we will enjoy a traditional meal of turkey and vegetables. For those of us that seek capital appreciation through the stock markets, we should give thanks that we have money to invest, the brain power to direct our investments, and the courage to risk our capital. Most of all, we should be thankful that our world is now dominated with turkeys telling tall tales. The truth is ugly. Tall tales are pretty. The stock market responds to tall tales and the turkeys that disseminate them. Our brain power allows us to understand the truth and invest with the tall tales!
Tuesday, November 08, 2011
Financial Market Madness - Berlusconi Does Hamlet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
"So this is how it all ends, not with a bang, but with a status update."
That was the great comment tweeted by Joe Weisenthal this morning as Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi wrote on his facebook page: "The rumors of my resignation are groundless."
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Tuesday, November 08, 2011
Stocks, Bonds, Dollar Cycles Crossroad / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The VIX reached what appeared to be its combined Master Cycle and Primary Cycle low on October 17. The two cycles appeared to agree and the VIX made its low at 28.08 that day.
However, another zig zag lower appeared on October 28, corresponding with a lesser Trading Cycle low. This extended the Master Cycle low another 13 days beyond what was normally expected and allowed the equities indexes to go beyond their usual 50-61.8% retracements.
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Monday, November 07, 2011
Soveriegn Debt Crisis, It's All Greek To Me / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
We ended last week’s newsletter “Europhoria” less than europhoric, with Phil’s statement, “We take a series of BALANCED trades – SELLING as much premium as we can so that time (theta decay) is always on our side. We take our profits off the table and, when we have to, we take our losses. However, we try to adjust the losing sides of our positions with the expectation that the markets will remain in a trading range and make the occasional reversals... Our bearish expectations are based on possible Yentervention by the BOJ, negative analysis of the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) over the weekend, and LACK of additional stimulus by the US, China and Japan to match the strong but Globally inadequate EU contribution.”
Saturday, November 05, 2011
U.S. Jobs, Greece, Are We Sitll Doomed? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
Papandreou is trying to convince us he almost destroyed (the) Universe to get my consent. - Opposition leader Antonis Samaras
Ah the old "destroying the universe" ploy. It's the same one the Republicans are using in the Senate as they once again kill Obama's $60Bn infrastructure program that was meant to provide direct aid for highway and rail projects and set up an infrastructure bank. Without 60 votes, bills can't even make it to the Senate floor so nothing gets done.
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Saturday, November 05, 2011
Insolvent Banking System, Investor Opportunities in the New Abnormal / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Folks, the EFSF, the bailouts, China coming to the rescue, all of that stuff is 100% pointless in the grand scheme of things. Europe’s ENTIRE banking system (with few exceptions) is insolvent. Numerous entire European COUNTRIES are insolvent. Even the more “rock solid” countries such as Germany (who is supposed to save Europe apparently) have REAL Debt to GDP ratios of over 200%. The Germans still have not recapitalized their banks. Again, it does not matter what Sarkozy and Merkel say. It does not matter how much leverage the EFSF gets. Europe is broke, end of story. Those investors who get suckered into betting this mess will work out well are very likely going to lose everything. The impact of the fallout from this will make 2008 look like a joke. The EU is the largest economy in the world. So if its banking system collapses (and it will), we are facing a full-scale global financial meltdown, that even the IMF has warned about. What happened in 2008 was literally just the warm up. The real deal is coming in the next 14 months. It is going to involve corporate, financial, and sovereign defaults.”- Graham Summers, Phoenix Capital Management
Saturday, November 05, 2011
Gold, Treasuries Still In Bearish Camp For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The bulls have is significant feather in their cap in the form of conviction. While numerous fundamental and technical factors point toward negative outcomes for equities, the force with which stocks have rallied looks more like the early stages of a bull market, rather than a bear market. Having said that, numerous market ratios, including the gold:Treasury ratio, have not broken into bull market territory yet.
Thursday, November 03, 2011
Euro, Stock Market Countertrend Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Anyone who can grab a microphone in Cannes is jawboning the Solution, the Euro, and the Euro-zone commitment to go forward with Greece ... in one big loveliest, which has goosed the Euro/USD up above this morning's "rate-cut" rally peak at 1.3835 to another marginal new intraday high at 1.3855.
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