Category: Financial Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, September 26, 2011
Short China and the Not So Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Peter_Navarro
Since February, I have called the market trend as a sideways pattern. This kind of trend dictates a move out of equities for the small active retail investors. I reiterate that call now and see far more risk to the downside than reward to the upside.
I note that anyone moving to cash as of my February call would have given away no upside profits and would, at this point in time, have been protected from a more than 10% loss.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Buy SPXU, and Watch AGQ, SLV and PSLV for Once in a Lifetime Chance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. Conversely, The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500. If you believe as I do that we are setting up for a leg down on the S&P then SPXU is the best way to profit from this trade.
Sunday, September 25, 2011
Economic Collapse, Financial Manipulation and the Dollar Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Bob_Chapman
The question plays out on three fronts. England quietly is immersed in its own financial problems, churning out their version of quantitative easing, as the US FOMC meeting rises in the distance for two days this time.
Will we get the twist? Of course we will. If we do not the bottom will fall out. That will signify the issuance of more funds plus what is needed to purchase some 80% of Treasury securities, or about another $850 billion.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Year-To-Date Performance of Various Financial Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Jesse
Check out the Treasuries in the second chart, particularly the 30 Year Bond.
If the Fed had not been targeting assets to create some of these price moves it would be the best case for deflation which I have seen thus far.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Bull and Bear Market Cases for Gold, Silver and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Willem_Weytjens
After gold and silver got hit hard last week, some of you probably wonder if that was the end of the 10 year+ bull market for precious metals.
In this article, we will describe both the Bull & Bear Cases for Gold, Silver and Stocks and we will also make some interesting comparisons.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Changing Markets Risk Perception Across Multiple Asset Classes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
This week saw a lot of technical damage across multiple asset classes as demonstrated by the charts below. The biggest shift though appears to be that of perceived risk. In the past bad news was good news as it would bring further accommodative monetary policy such as QE1 and QE2. Market participants always believed the Bernanke put was alive and well and equity values would be defended. In other words the perception of risk was less severe.
Sunday, September 25, 2011
Stocks, Silver, Gold and Bonds, Recession / Depression Until 2016? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Willem_Weytjens
Let’s start with an update of an article I wrote on July 20th 2011. If the pattern isn’t broken soon, this could mean we are about to see 2008 all over again, and silver could drop another 50% from here:
Saturday, September 24, 2011
No Shots Left in the Locker The Big Plunge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Mike_Whitney
While the Fed’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) promised more monetary easing on Wednesday, the announcement was overshadowed by an exceedingly gloomy report on the state of the economy. The official statement warned of “significant downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in global financial markets.” That’s all it took to send shares tumbling as jittery investors jettisoned stocks and fled to the safety of risk-free US Treasuries. The Dow finished down 283 points on the day while the bloodbath spread overseas to Asian and European markets.
Saturday, September 24, 2011
Markets Panic, What's Happening? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Ben_Traynor
Another horrible weak for investors right across the board. What's going on…?
WE HAVE SEEN another tumultuous week for global markets. Gold prices have been hit hard – with silver prices getting it even worse.
Stocks and commodities have also suffered – while US Treasury bonds have had to put up with Ben Bernanke 'Twisting' them.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Investors Prepare for More Big Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“The debt markets have been warned…
‘The incremental parts of our foreign reserve holdings should be invested in physical assets… we will liquidate (U.S. Treasuries)…when…’
To my knowledge, this is the first time that a top adviser to China's central bank has uttered the word "liquidate."…
The Chinese are clearly vexed with Washington, viewing the Fed's QE as a stealth default on US debt. Mr Li came close to calling America a basket case, saying the picture is far worse than when Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher took over in the early 1980s.”
“China to 'liquidate' U.S. Treasuries, not dollars”
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph, London, 9/16/11
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Friday, September 23, 2011
The Vigilante's View on the Markets, Gold & Gold Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Jeff_Berwick
Times like these are why we are dollar vigilantes. Talk is incessant about a possible collapse of the European Union - something which we consider to be a certainty. They can let it collapse now or paper it over again and see if they can keep that dead man walking a little longer.
Friday, September 23, 2011
Markets Bloody September, Fed Twist Reimposed our Intermarket Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Capital3X
Bernanke has played a smart move here as he moves into the Twist operation. Effectively he has killed the game in the town: Borrow short and invest long term/play the commodities game. By announcing an intention to sell short curve, FED has now signaled its desire to bring down commodities in a heap. It is a one handle move to strangle speculative bank/hedge fund positions. Will there be a systemic crisis? Am not yet sure but I think the FED would have thought about this.
Thursday, September 22, 2011
Why Markets Booed the Fed's "Operation Twist' And So Should You / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Kerri Shannon writes:
With "Operation Twist," U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers are attempting to use an old strategy to launch a new attack on the wheezing U.S. economy.
But the assault, announced after the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting concluded yesterday (Wednesday) afternoon, isn't expected to have much long-term success.
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Thursday, September 22, 2011
Recent Stock and Financial Market Trends Remain In Place, R U Positioned Properly? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
What a trading session Wednesday was with the FOMC meeting and the FED coming out leaving the Fed Funds Rate unchanged at 0.25% and saying the economy is looking weak and will not likely to get better any time soon. This wave of negative news triggered a selling spree across the board in stocks, metals, and oil. On the flip side all that money being pulled out of those investments was being dumped into bonds and the dollar currency.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Stock Market VIX Fact That There is No Fear is to be Feared / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Capital3X
There is very little fear in the markets at this point of time. Clear price action, option market activity and VIX all indicate to a relaxed market.
Monday, September 19, 2011
What Crude Oil Is Telling Us About Stock Market SPY? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Capital3X
Crude and SPY are as intimately woven as anything else. They have probably one of the best regression coefficients with the equity indices (esp SPY) and thus highlighting the multi asset pull of Bernanke QE moves.
We analyse crude daily, weekly and monthly charts and the proceed to understand the love relationship between SPY and Crude. Finally we will look at crude fundamental given that SPY rarely does not track crude in the medium term.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
Kabuki Theater Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
The stock market was driven by three major influences this week: the ongoing European “Black Debt” saga, the Dollar, and rumors galore. The rumor that lifted the markets out of their initial funk on Monday was that China would be buying Italian debt.
Discussing the double-edge sword of Chinese investments, Chinese Briefing reported, “Debt-ridden European countries are longing for China’s purchase of their public debt despite fears that the country has motivations of a ‘reverse colonization’ of Europe. Nowadays the message ‘the Chinese are coming’ can often help governments trapped in financial crisis press public refinancing needs and shore up creditworthiness.
Saturday, September 17, 2011
Why This Popular Investment Strategy Will Not Save Your Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: EWI
So what is this popular investment approach?
You've heard the answer before: Diversification.
You probably know that the purpose of diversification is to spread risk across asset classes. The assumption is that if one asset goes down, the others will be stable or perhaps even move up.
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Saturday, September 17, 2011
Will Governments Wait Until Panicked Again Before Acting? / Politics / Financial Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
As the downturn worsened severely in 2008, governments around the world finally jumped in with massive panicked rescue efforts.In March, 2008 there was the $29 billion bailout of Bear Stearns, in May the $178 billion in stimulus checks to consumers, in July the $300 billion for at-risk homeowners, in September the $25 billion bailout of automakers, and the $200 billion bailout of mortgage provider Fannie Mae, and in October the $700 billion bailout of banks.
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Friday, September 16, 2011
Gold, Stocks, Dollar and Oil Technical Analysis Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
- The dollar index had been moving in our favour in premarket and we should see UUP gap up at the open.
- SP500 is overbought and trading near key resistance. We may be taking a short position (SDS) today or Monday there.