Category: Double Dip Recession
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, June 28, 2010
Double Dip Economic Recession, This Chart Say's Its Guaranteed! / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: JD_Rosendahl
With all the incessant analysis from economists, politicians, and bureaucrats of this nascent recovery sprouting wings, there is one great and simple chart that's screaming a "Double Dip" is guaranteed: See the weekly chart of the $BDI below.
Saturday, June 26, 2010
Increasing Risk of Double Dip Recession as Leading Economic Indicators Start to Turn / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: John_Mauldin
The Risk of Recession
The Leading Indicators Are Starting to Turn
Terms of Trade and US Real GDP
Bernanke at the Crossroads
We are halfway through the year (where did the time go?) and it is time to make some predictions about the last half of the year. This week we look at what the leading indicators are telling us, size up a new indicator, drop in on banking data, and do a whole lot more.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Talk of Double-Dip Recession No Longer Crazy? / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Sy_Harding
Just a month or two ago opinions that the serious recession that ended in the last quarter of last year, will return in a double-dip later this year were blown off as crazy.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 28, 2010
ECRI Leading Economic Indicators Pointing to a Double-Dip Recession Coming? / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are investigating leading indicators of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). Here are a couple of charts.
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Deeper Double Dip Recession as Keynesian Fails / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Gary_North
The case for a secondary recession rests on several factors: a double-dip decline in the residential real estate market, the accelerating decline in the commercial real estate market, the unresolved losses in bank balance sheets, the narrow focus of the profitability (earnings), which has been limited to bailed-out banks, and the threat of rising long-term interest rates, i.e., a decline in the bond market.
Friday, February 26, 2010
U.S. GDP Contraction Double Dip Recession Coming In Second Quarter 2010? / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Mike_Shedlock
I have been speaking with Rick Davis at the Consumer Metrics Institute about leading economic indicators. Davis claims his data leads the GDP by about 17 weeks while noting that other so-called "leading indicators" are merely a reflection on the stock market and yield curve.
Davis captures his data solely from online transactions of real consumers, in real time.
Saturday, December 12, 2009
The Statistical Economic Recovery and Double Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: John_Mauldin
Thoughts on the Statistical RecoveryLies, Damn Lies, and Government Statistics
The Problem of Seasonal Adjustments
The Job Creation Engine
A Double-Dip Recession?
Dad Gets a Lively Lesson
We are clearly starting to get some better data points here and there. But as I pointed out this summer, it is going to be a recovery in the statistics and not in the things that count, such as income and employment. This week we look at the nascent recovery (which could be at 3% this quarter) and try to peer out into the future to see what it means. We look at how recoveries come about, and why I am concerned that we will see a double-dip recession. Plus, I learned some new tricks courtesy of my new granddaughter, to whom Tiffani gave birth this week1 There is a lot to cover, but it should be interesting.
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Tuesday, June 30, 2009
OECD Joins the UK Double Dip Recession Forecast Club / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Over the past 2 weeks many 'recognised' forecasting organisations have been issuing reports and releases that point to Britain targeting a double dip recession to be triggered by deep public sector spending cuts following the next election. The latest of which to join the club is the OECD which stated that Britain remained in deep recession and that the recovery is likely to be slow and be accompanied by rising unemployment.