Category: Global Debt Crisis
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Marc Faber Says Worry about Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain Soverign Debt Defaults / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
After every financial crisis there's a sovereign debt crisis, Marc Faber says. Countries that borrowed too much during the boom times start struggling to pay their competitors back, and eventually some of them default.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Marc Faber on Central Banks Blowing Ever Larger Debt Bubbles / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Marc Faber lectures on the problem of central banks blowing bubbles that burst that creates volatility in the asset market and explosion of debt.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Marc Faber, Sovereign Debt Default Crisis Next to Hit Global Economies / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
After every financial crisis there's a sovereign debt crisis, Marc Faber says. Countries that borrowed too much during the boom times start struggling to pay and service their debt.
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
ECB Says Greece Debt Crisis is Tiny Compared to California for the U.S. / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
At its monthly press conference, European Central Bank (ECB) President Trichet was assertive in calling for fiscal discipline in its 16 member states that comprise 330 million people using the euro. Asked about bailing out Greece or other member states with severe fiscal challenges, Trichet called the ECB collateral framework crystal clear, applying erga omnes (equally) to every member state; no special treatment will be provided to any one member. In the euro zone, member states may receive funding from the ECB by posting collateral, but only if their debt is appropriately rated by the major credit rating agencies.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Global Debt Deleveraging of Housing Market Bubbles, Why Reflation Will Fail / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Inquiring minds are reading an interesting document by the San Francisco Fed called Global Household Leverage, House Prices, and Consumption.
"[O]ver-investment and over-speculation are often important; but they would have far less serious results were they not conducted with borrowed money." —Irving Fisher (1933)Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Global Stocks Bear Market Rally Will End with Japan as Hyperinflation Rips Economy to Pieces / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Let me welcome you to a new year of Outside the Box. I doubt we will have trouble finding interesting commentary this year, as there are many things that could happen that demand our attention. We start with a short column by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the London Telegraph giving us a quick run down of the problems faced around the globe. He thinks the #1 problem is Japan, and I more or less agree.
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Friday, January 01, 2010
Vietnam Halts Gold Trading; Global Imbalances Mount / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Citing speculation and excessive leverage Vietnam to put an end to gold trading.
Read full article... Read full article...January 1 2010
Vietnam has ordered all gold trading floors to close by the end of March, putting an end to a business which turns over $1bn a day but which the government feared was spinning out of control.
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
E.U. IMF Debt Revolt, Greece, Iceland, Latvia May lead the Way / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Europe’s small, debt-strapped countries could follow the lead of Argentina and simply walk away from their debts. That would shift the burden to the creditor countries, which could solve the problem merely by a change in accounting rules.
Total financial collapse, once a problem only for developing countries, has now come to Europe. The International Monetary Fund is imposing its “austerity measures” on the outer circle of the European Union, with Greece, Iceland and Latvia the hardest hit. But these are not your ordinary third world debtor supplicants. Historically, the Vikings of Iceland successfully invaded Britain; Latvia n tribes repulsed the Vikings; and the Greeks conquered the whole Persian empire. If anyone can stand up to the IMF, these stalwart European warriors can.
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Saturday, December 19, 2009
2010 The Year of Debt Deleveraging / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
It's All About Deleveraging
Commercial Woes
The Lights Of Myanmar
A Lively 2010 and Buying Stocks
This is the season when pundits feel compelled to make annual forecasts. I will make mine, as I traditionally do, in the first letter of January. But already we have seen a wide range of forecasted outcomes. Are we going to grow at 5-6% or at 1-2% or dip back into recession? Why such disparity? I think part of the reason is a basic disagreement on the nature of the just-lapsed recession. Today we explore that issue. Then I point you to a way to help those who are desperately in need and only wish they had our problems. For those interested, I enclose a picture of my new granddaughter.
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Saturday, December 19, 2009
Bankruptcy and Fiscal Collapse,Global Economic Crisis Tipping Point Forecast for Spring 2010 / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
LEAP/E2020 believes that the global systemic crisis will experience a new tipping point from Spring 2010. Indeed, at that time, the public finances of the major Western countries are going to become unmanageable, as it will simultaneously become clear that new support measures for the economy are needed because of the failure of the various stimuli in 2009 (1), and that the size of budget deficits preclude any significant new expenditures.
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Friday, December 18, 2009
The Debt Time Bomb / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
BIG PICTURE- “It’s a question of how do you achieve the deleveraging. Do you go through a long period of slow growth, high savings and many legal problems or do you accept higher inflation? It would ameliorate the debt bomb and help us work through the deleveraging process” – Kenneth Rogoff, Professor of Economics at Harvard, Former Chief Economist at the International Monetary Fund
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Thursday, December 17, 2009
German Finance Minister Says "No Alternative But To Borrow" / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Germany, the last of the stalwarts fighting to heed the European Union’s limit of 3 percent budget deficits, is about to throw in the towel.
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Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Rise and Fall in Dubai, An Austrian Economics Perspective / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
All Is Well - It was January 2008 when I first set foot in Dubai. It was a land full of grandiose, landmark projects. Few cities in the world could match the sheer number of high-rise buildings and skyscrapers being built in the emirate (more than 80 units over 150 meters high are completed or under construction as of this writing).
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Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Sovereign Government Debt Defaults Come Full Circle / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
The continuation of the bank dominoes took 14 months, but it occurred. The initial destructive impact craters were carved in the United States and England. To be sure, major damage was done to assets in Spain and Greece and other smaller nations in the last year, but their banks had remained insulated. The discredit and death of the central bank franchise system showed first clear evidence in September 2008 on Wall Street. The unique mysterious aspect of banking systems is how they cannot be rebuilt once they turn insolvent. They rot in place, a process accelerated by rotten ethical values, euphemistically called moral hazard. To be sure, much so-called money flows through the dead rotten parts, but nothing becomes resuscitated except balance sheets. And besides, those balance sheets only look better due to accounting rules changes that deviate from mark to market (reality).
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Monday, December 14, 2009
Warning The Great Credit Expansion Financial Market Trend of 2009 Is About to End / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Renowned speculator Bernard Baruch once said, “The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many men as possible.”
As 2009 comes to a close, this year’s most popular investment is likely to make a lot of investors look like fools.
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Saturday, December 12, 2009
Dubai Debt Default, Jones La Salle and RICS Property Valuation Track Record / Housing-Market / Global Debt Crisis
According to the Bloomberg the collateral for the $3.5 billion bond issued by the developer Nakheel in Dubai that is widely thought to be about to default, was a lien on a piece of mainly reclaimed land called the “Waterfront” project.
The land had been valued by Jones Lang LaSalle (“strictly” in accordance with the procedures laid down in the “Red Book” issued by the British Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)) at $4.2 billion.
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Friday, December 11, 2009
Sovereign Debt Defaults the Next Shoe to Drop? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Governments the world over have spent the past year bailing out, backstopping, insuring, and stimulating their financial sectors and economies. Trillions of dollars, euros, yen, and pounds have been thrown around like Halloween candy. Officials have assured us there’s little risk to that strategy.
But we have warned consistently that the opposite is true. Our stance: If you borrow and spend too much, all you’re going to do is transform a Wall Street debt crisis into a Washington debt crisis.
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Thursday, December 10, 2009
European Monetary System Crisis, Debt Show Down in Athens / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou has the European Central Bank over a barrel and doesn't even know it. If he had a handle on the situation, he'd thumb his nose at the ECB's austerity measures, and demand a no-strings-attached loan package to help his country get through the current rough patch. Instead, he's carrying on like a faint-hearted schoolboy.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2009
Socialist Debt Crisis Greece Puts Pressure on ECB For Bailout / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou has the European Commission over a barrel and doesn't even know it. Instead of dragging the EC over the coals--like he should --he's carrying on like a blubbering crybaby. "Steady on there, Georgie". Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson didn't go wobbly when he stormed up Capital Hill and demanded a $700 billion TARP bailout, did he? Well, then, at least learn from history.
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
Marc Faber Why Dubai Debt Default is Just the Tip of the Iceberg / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Uber bear investor and Gloom, Boom and Doom Report editor Marc Faber says Dubai World’s debt problems are just the tip of the iceberg, and suggests investors will be better off not buying U.S. government bonds.
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