Category: Great Depression II
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, April 02, 2013
America's Continuing Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
Seth Mason writes: This is not what economic recovery looks like. This is, however, what an economic depression looks like:
First, the American workforce is far smaller than it was before the 2008 economic collapse, even though the number of Americans of working age has increased by several millions:
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Sunday, March 03, 2013
Euro Zone New Record Unemployment, U.S. Personal Income Plummets / Economics / Great Depression II
Economic statistics released this week reflect a further weakening of the world economy and a further fall in the living standards of the international working class.
Reports on unemployment, manufacturing activity, economic growth and personal income in Europe, China and the United States point to an overall slowdown in economic growth and a rise in unemployment and poverty. They coincide with new moves by the European Union and the Obama administration in the US to slash social spending and public-sector jobs and wages. These measures mark an escalation of the class-war policies that have fueled the economic slump and already brought untold suffering to hundreds of millions of workers.
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Sunday, February 24, 2013
The Keynesian Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
In today’s Outside the Box, Scott Minerd, chief investment officer of Guggenheim Funds, regales us with the not-always-happy history of Keynesian economics – we did what he said when we had to, but not always when we should have. Shoving fiscal and monetary stimulus down the throat of a recession is well and good, but how about the part where we’re supposed to be fiscally conservative during boom times? “What, raise taxes? No thank you!”
The upshot, as Minerd reminds us, is that “As a result of the constant fiscal support without the tax increases, businesses and households became comfortable operating with continuously higher leverage ratios. The conventional wisdom was that this government backstop could never be exhausted.” Today we are testing that premise to the limit, and not only in the US.
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Saturday, February 09, 2013
John Williams: How to Survive the Illusion of Economic Recovery / Economics / Great Depression II
There is no economic recovery, and there are no signs that a recovery is coming, says Shadowstats.com author John Williams. In this Gold Report interview, he blames mal-adjusted inflation statistics for creating an alternate reality that overestimates economic activity in a way that is unsustainable. Williams warns that eventually the painful truth will be so difficult that even government manipulation won't be able to deny it and that is when hyperinflation will take its toll on those who have not taken his advice for preserving purchasing power and securing wealth.
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Wednesday, December 26, 2012
Why Japan's "Lost Decades" Economic Depression Are Headed For America in 2016 / Economics / Great Depression II
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: It's only been a little more than a week since Shinzo Abe won election as Japan's latest Prime Minister in a landslide-election victory and the pundits are already lining up telling investors to "buy Japan" because it's "dirt cheap."
The hope is that Abe's promises of fresh stimulus, unlimited spending and placing a priority on domestic infrastructure will be the elixir that restores Japan's global muscle.
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Friday, December 07, 2012
Economic Depression, Time To Write Off Europe for the Next Decade? / Economics / Great Depression II
The EU is a morally bankrupt blind behemoth that, in a doomed attempt to survive, destroys everything around it just to keep itself standing. In that, it is hardly different from several incarnations of the 20th century politburos in Russia and China - and those are by no means the darkest comparisons that could spring to mind.
There are tons of people working in and for the EU, some of whom are smart while others are not, some who are honest and some who are just self-centred , but the apparatus has become a vortex that sucks in all of them. There many be just a small window left for Europeans to retain a grip on democracy. There's not much left. Stock markets may give the impression that things are going fine, but that is possible only because increasingly severe austerity measures are spreading rapidly, and have now reached the core, not just Greece and Spain. The EU induced illusions will keep coming fast and furious, however, until they don't. And then it will be too late for democracy.
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Friday, November 16, 2012
The Fall Of Micro- And Macro- Economics And The Rise Of Mega-Economics / Economics / Great Depression II
The Opening Note
This is the second part of my recent work, appeared in the Market Oracle (UK), ‘The Great Depression II Lasting Till 2025’ (www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article37335.html) . In spite of the Stimulus Packages of America, European Countries , India , China and etc besides the brain storming sessions of the World Economic Forum, deliberations of the UN, IMF. OECD and World Bank and lecturing of the Nobel Laureates in Economics and advices of the Management Gurus, the teaching and research works of the Harvard or Stanford Business Schools, the world is at the grip of the Great Depression II Lasting at least 2025. This is an inquiry in to the underlying causes of the Global Economic Crisis and Failure of Economists, Management Experts and Rulers and Political Leadership. It also suggests some alterative global strategies under ‘Mega Economics’ in stead of the familiar Micro and Macro Economics, including Keynesian Economics.
Sunday, November 04, 2012
The Great Depression II Lasting Till 2025 / Economics / Great Depression II
The Great Global Depression IIStarting as a financial meltdown in 2009 with some banks and financial institutions, the crisis had spread to the housing and the entire finance sector and grown into the Great Depression extending to almost all European and industrialized countries. Rulers and the Nobel Laureates in Economics and Management Gurus, besides IMF, the World Bank and the World Economic Forum assured that it was a short term business cycle phenomena or Recession and it could be tied over with some Stimulus Packages and support of the BRIC countries.
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Friday, October 12, 2012
QE-U, China, and Great Economic Depression 2.0 / Economics / Great Depression II
With the pop from the USFed’s latest attempt at financial shock and awe already seeping from lackluster markets, and the teleprompter news networks losing steam over their promotion of the same, it is time to take a look back at the decisions made on 9/13/2012 and set the record straight on some things.
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Friday, October 12, 2012
America's New Great Depression - Sluggish Economic Growth, Staggering National Debt / Economics / Great Depression II
Dr. Rossen Vassilev writes: The American economy is caught between the Scylla of sluggish economic growth and the Charybdis of a staggering national debt aggravated by Washington’s unyielding partisan deadlock over taxes and spending cuts.
After the Great Recession of 2008, the approaching “fiscal cliff” at the end of this year threatens to cause even more economic havoc and bring about another recession which some “doom-and-gloom” economists darkly predict may turn into a new Great Depression.
Saturday, October 06, 2012
IMF Inadvertently Condemns The Eurozone, No Recovery Economic Until 2018! / Economics / Great Depression II
No global recovery until 2018, says Oliver Blanchard at portfolio.hu.: It’s not yet a lost decade... But it will surely take at least a decade from the beginning of the crisis for the world economy to get back to decent shape.
Well, that makes it easy then, you would think. Solves a lot of problems in one go. All bailouts and loans and other measures can now be halted and reversed when and where possible. Since there is no way our central banks and governments can keep on doing what they have done for another 6 years (yeah, I know lots of you doubt that, but there's just no way).
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Saturday, October 06, 2012
U.S. Economy Never Really Recovered Since 2007-2009 Financial Crisis / Economics / Great Depression II
Several signs suggest economic contraction instead of expansion.
The first was recent front-page news: 8.1% August jobless rate. The number would have been higher, but it excludes people who gave up the job search.
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Monday, September 17, 2012
Slow Painful Economic Death Spiral of Debasement and Despair / Economics / Great Depression II
ARE YOU SEEING WHAT I’M SEEING?
Is it just me, or are the signs of consumer collapse as clear as a Lowes parking lot on a Saturday afternoon? Sometimes I wonder if I'm just seeing the world through my pessimistic lens, skewing my point of view. My daily commute through West Philadelphia is not very enlightening, as the squalor, filth and lack of legal commerce remain consistent from year to year. This community is sustained by taxpayer subsidized low income housing, taxpayer subsidized food stamps, welfare payments, and illegal drug dealing. The dependency attitude, lifestyles of slothfulness and total lack of commerce has remained constant for decades in West Philly. It is on the weekends, cruising around a once thriving suburbia, where you perceive the persistent deterioration and decay of our debt fixated consumer spending based society.
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Monday, August 27, 2012
The Silent Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
John Rubino and Gordon T Long recount their summer vacation experiences with old friends and how significantly things have changed in their friends lives across America. Both came away unsettled about what they heard and how we are now unquestionably in the midst a Silent Depression. Major changes are occurring below the surface of mainstream media coverage that only honest discussions with close friends discloses.
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Saturday, August 25, 2012
The Day of Economic Reckoning Is Near / Economics / Great Depression II
It is a deal with the devil: Governments churn out more and more cash for the promise of continued prosperity. But the day of reckoning is near, according to Doug Casey, chairman of Casey Research and an expert on crisis investing. As the epic battle between inflation and deflation continues on, Casey discusses his predictions for the new world market in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
The Gold Report: There will be a Casey Research Summit on "Navigating the Politicized Economy" in Carlsbad, Calif., in September. The thesis behind the summit is that governments have made a Faustian bargain, a pact with the devil, that saves the empire with overspending, but drives it to the brink of collapse by creating fiat currencies. Doug, where in that story is the economy currently?
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Friday, August 17, 2012
Economic Collapse, We Still Don’t Get It / Economics / Great Depression II
As the world collectively muddles through 2012, it is has become increasingly apparent that we still don’t get it. Even after the collapse of 2008 and the completely fabricated and bogus ‘recovery’ that the lapdog presscorps still insists is ongoing, plus the various financial and economic ‘accidents’ that have happened along the way since, such as MFGlobal and PFGBest, plus the annexing of entire countries by the banking syndicate (Greece and Italy for starters), we still don’t get it. We are Rome. Obsessed with bread and circuses such as government handout programs and the Olympics and NASCAR, we’ve taken all that is abhorred by productive societies and made a center stage spectacle of it.
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Saturday, July 28, 2012
Harry Dent's Formula for Surviving the Great Bust Ahead / Stock-Markets / Great Depression II
With a perfect storm brewing on the horizon, investors should be building their cash cache and running for cover, warns Harry Dent, author of The Great Crash Ahead. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Dent explains how central bank stimulus programs are fighting a futile battle because a huge army of aging baby boomers has reached the stage in their economic lifecycles when they curb spending. How is Dent preparing for the gathering storm? Read on. . .
The Gold Report: Your considerable research over many years indicates that the size and age of its citizens drive a country's economic growth or decline. Because people have predictable consumption patterns throughout life, you can predict well in advance national economic growth or decline. How does that work?
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Tuesday, July 24, 2012
The Politics of Economic Collapse: The Center Will Not Hold! / Politics / Great Depression II
Sometimes, we have to turn to our poets for real insight into our current global condition.
It was back in 1919 in the aftermath of World War l, that Irish wordsmith William Butler Yeats put pen to paper and came up with “The Second Coming,” verses that have stood the test of time. Yeats was born the year the American Civil War ended in 1865 and died in 1939, the year World War 2 began.
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Monday, July 02, 2012
Hiding Inflation Results in Perma-Recession, The Next Great Keynesian Failure / Economics / Great Depression II
As we enter Round 15, give or take a couple, of the heavyweight battle between economic laws and the (not so) Great Keynesian experiment at Normandy and elsewhere in Euroland, one must really begin to wonder what exactly the outcome will be in social terms. There is one point in the entire goings on that has been mentioned by several other analysts in covering the big picture of what ails the financial world that needs more attention and that is aggregate demand. We’re also going to take a look at some of the other tools that have been used in the past to ‘hide’ the effects of rampant monetary inflation, namely the deindustrialization of America and the rise of consumer credit.
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Wednesday, June 27, 2012
The Great Depression Again? / Economics / Great Depression II
Why Read: Because it is foolish not to consider the possibility of depression, particularly in the face of the preponderance of commentary over the past many months that rampant inflation is on the horizon
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