Category: Quantitative Easing
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Burning Money at the Rate of $113 Billion a Month; How Can They Stop Printing? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Michael Lombardi writes: In the month of November, the U.S. government registered a budget deficit of $135 billion. Over the course of the month, it spent $318 billion and only took in $182 billion. So far for the fiscal year 2014, which began in October, the U.S. government has registered a budget deficit of $227 billion; that’s an average of $113.5 billion a month so far this fiscal year. (Source: Department of the Treasury; Bureau of Fiscal Service, December 11, 2013.)
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Monday, December 16, 2013
Bernanke Seeing the Difference Between QE Tapering and Tightening / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
On November 19th at National Economists Club Annual Dinner Bernanke gave a speech which could be seen as a sort of testimony or farewell (probably one of many coming soon). The message he has sent was in perfect compliance with what was being communicating to the public. Firstly he offered a “forward guidance”, which was to reassure us that low short term interest rates are here to stay for the longer term. The possible boundary line, as we repeatedly heard, is lower unemployment and/or significantly higher inflation rate. Until then we are still in the ZIRP – zero interest rate policy – scenario.
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Thursday, December 12, 2013
Taper Quantitative Easing Interest Rates Derivatives Reality Check / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
The potential "tapering" of quantitative easing can be likened to a lessening of chemotherapy treatments when a cancer patient's symptoms change. It means one thing if the patient is being cured. It means something quite radically different when there has not been a cure, and the underlying cancer remains as bad as ever.
We are told that quantitative easing (QE), a.k.a. "cheap money", exists for the purpose of stimulating economic growth and corporate profits, and is thereby helping the United States and other nations that are struggling with persistent and deep-rooted economic and unemployment problems. If this were the whole truth, then QE is a temporary and technical fix, a mere "accommodative policy" that can be stepped down and then eliminated altogether once markets improve and economies no longer need assistance.
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Tuesday, December 10, 2013
QE Tapering or Tightening? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Dennis Lockhart delivered the news, responding to all speculation about the coming back issue of possible "tapering". Despite the chairman change for Ms. Yellen, the tapering issue did not taper out yet. Lockhart has told us that the Federal Reserve still plans to stay "accommodative" for the number of years to come. This does not mean though that some possible adjustment may not happen, because the "tools" of remaining "accommodative" may change. In other words, the message is: even if some things may change, remember, the Fed is always ready to starts its machine to help banks.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
QE Euthanasia of the Economy? / Economics / Quantitative Easing
Today's Outside the Box comes to us from my good friend and business partner Niels Jensen of Absolute Return Partners in London. Niels gives us an excellent summary of how QE has affected the global economy (and how it hasn't). I have found myself paraphrasing Niels all week.
I also want to call to your attention an interview first posted at ZeroHedge between my friends Chris Whalen and David Kotok. This is an inside-baseball view of a not-so-minor issue involving central banks and ZIRP. The FDIC charges 7-10 basis points on deposits for the national deposit insurance scheme. At close to the zero bound, the fee means that banks can lose money on deposits. As Chris and David point out, this is just another distortion being fed into the system. David was the first to introduce me to this concept (and rather passionately). I have not written about it because it gets complicated quickly, but it highlights a very serious problem and one that is not dissimilar to the deflationary aspects of the Basel III requirements, working at odds with what central bankers are trying to do. This goes with my long-held contention that the models the Fed and all central banks are working with are simply inadequate to describe the complexity of the global economy, and we have no true idea what we are doing, just a guess and a hope.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
U.S. Fed QE Money Printing Volume to Triple Not Taper / Economics / Quantitative Easing
The US Federal Reserve bond monetization support for government finance support, financial markets, banker welfare, economic props, redemption coverage, and liquidity fire hose functions will continue to expand and definitely not diminish. Only the brain-dead, the system wonks, and the deeply deluded believe the QE volume will taper down. They are paid to think that way in the public forum, their minds compromised, their hearts darkened, their paychecks dependent. As preface in order to properly comprehend the national situation, keep in mind that the USEconomy is stuck in a nightmarish quagmire, with growth steadily in decline at between minus 3% and minus 5% annually, when reality is required. The propaganda must be pushed off the road, the price inflation not labeled as growth, and the system perceived for what it is. The USEconomy is in grotesque deterioration with absent critical mass of industry, widespread debt defaults, retail liquidations, idle plant and equipment (including malls), and systemic capital destruction from the monetary hyper inflation and the imminent specter of ObamaCare tax. In queer fashion, the modern day US factories have become shopping malls. They suffer from at least a 25% vacancy rate nationally.
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Monday, November 25, 2013
QE is Hazardous to Your Retirement / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
A mid 60s woman was chatting with two friends at a Starbucks. I overheard the conversation. It went something like this...
Read full article... Read full article..."When my husband and I retired, our financial advisor said we had enough money to last until we were both 95 years old. Now he is concerned that our savings might not last until we are 80."
Monday, November 25, 2013
U.S. Money Supply Soars as Fed Eyes QE Taper / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
The money supply as measured by M2 is now rising at a 12.1% annualized rate, which is causing the fickle Fed to renew its threats about ending QE. The minutes released from the latest FOMC meeting indicate the tapering of asset purchases could once again begin within the next few meetings.
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Friday, November 22, 2013
ECB Calling U.S. Out on Its QE Mistakes / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
George Leong writes: Recently, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Jens Weidmann said the strategy of printing money was not the solution to the eurozone crisis. (Source: Carrel, P., “Printing money not the way out of crisis: ECB’s Weidmann,” Yahoo! Finance, November 20, 2013.) Ya, no joke!
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Friday, November 22, 2013
Larry Summers - History Will Overwhelmingly Approve QE / Politics / Quantitative Easing
Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers told Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle at the Robin Hood Investors Conference today that the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program was the right call for the economy. Summers said, "On the question of whether the Fed stepping up and providing liquidity when no one else would was the right thing to do, I think historians are going to judge that about 98 to 2."
Summers also said that the economy lately hasn't shown an ability to grow without bubbles, saying, "It has been a long time since we have had rapid, healthy growth in the country...That is not an argument for bubbles. That is an argument for changing the framework."
Wednesday, November 20, 2013
Middle Class and To QE or not to QE? / Politics / Quantitative Easing
Of course, anyone who knows me will already know the answer to that. I often include this in tweets: #BanQE
It is proven beyond doubt (except for the liars – the politicians, the bankers, the central bankers, the media, the multi nationals – who pretend it has worked) that it has enriched the rich and the financial elite and it has impoverished the bulk of folk.
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Friday, November 15, 2013
QE - Fed Official Admits Failure / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Apologies are becoming increasingly common these days. From the ubiquitous “Twitter apologies” of celebrities to the mea culpas of scandalized politicians, the public has become used to hearing them on a daily basis. It came as a surprise, however, when a former Federal Reserve official apologized for the part he played in the ultra-loose monetary policy known as QE.“Confessions of a Quantitative Easer,” the Wall Street Journal published the public apology by former Fed official Andrew Huszar. The gist of the piece can be summarized in Huszar’s words: “We went on a bond-buying spree that was supposed to help Main Street. Instead, it was a feast for Wall Street.”
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Tuesday, November 12, 2013
U.S. Treasury Ramps Up The Zimbabwe Style Money Printing Press / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
It looks like the U.S. Treasury is learning a few tricks from the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe as it ramps up its printing press. In just a few years, the U.S. Department of Treasury Bureau of Engraving & Printing has substantially increased the printing of its largest valued Federal Reserve Note -- the $100 bill.
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Friday, November 01, 2013
It’s Still Too Early To Worry About the Fed Tapering / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Fed tapering will be a legitimate worry in a few months, but should not be yet.
Analysts and economists have been concerned for almost five years now about how Fed Chairman Bernanke would ever be able to manage a successful exit from the Fed’s massive QE stimulus efforts.
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Thursday, October 24, 2013
Money Printing: Not What It Was / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
There are lots of reasons why QE hasn't yet created inflation in the rich West...
SO HEADLINE writers everywhere got to say money really does grow on trees today.
Gold, in fact, has been found in minute quantities in eucalyptus trees in Australia. Analyzing tree leaves and bark could now unearth gold deposits up to 30 metres below ground elsewhere in the world, geochemists say.
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Monday, October 14, 2013
QE Tapering - What Was This Fed's Activity That Was Not Tapered? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
We all heard about various "bailouts" or the financial wizardry that the American government used after the 2008 crisis. In a two pronged play the government spent public money while at the same time it introduced the "quantitative easing" program, which resulted in huge money printing and increases to the "narrowly defined money supply." As mentioned in the last reports, even though it was inflationary it was not very, very inflationary-- at least not yet.
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Wednesday, October 09, 2013
QE Exit and Emerging Markets Future / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Emerging market economy could be in the early phases of another crisis. Once again, the US Federal Reserve is in the eye of the storm. As a major central bank in the world, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has a compelling impact on the emerging markets. Withdrawal in the US Federal Reserve's quantitative maneuvering is seen as one of the most terrific dangers to the emerging markets not long from now. According to the Federal Reserve Chairman's evidence of the passageway of quantitative moving, economists take an ideal standpoint of what's to come in 2013-14.
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Thursday, October 03, 2013
Fed Retreats From QE Tapering, Five Reasons Why / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Nowadays, the sitting members of the inner circle at the Federal Reserve are nothing more than political lackeys - conducting the nation's monetary policy, at the beset of whatever political party happens to hold the upper hand in the legislature. In his May 29th speech, titled "Central banking at a Crossroads," former Fed chief Paul Volcker lamented that the Fed had been hijacked by the Treasury and the White House. In calling for the Bernanke Fed to begin rolling back QE-3, Volcker said, " There is something else beyond the necessary mechanics and timely action that is at stake. The credibility of the Federal Reserve, its commitment to maintain price stability and its ability to stand up against pressing and partisan political pressures is critical. Independence can't just be a slogan," he warned.
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Thursday, October 03, 2013
QE Taper Talk Fakeout / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Anyone who bought the media buzz about a September reduction of QE - called the "taper" - was very surprised when the Federal Reserve announced that stimulus would continue unabated. According the the official narrative, inflation is under control and the labor market is steadily improving. Why wouldn't a modest taper be announced?
The reality is that the economic indicators the Fed claims to rely on to decide when to taper are all dependent on stimulus money. This is not a mystery to Ben Bernanke. Instead, this entire saga amounted to little more than a "taper fakeout" which sent hard asset investors for a loop.
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Wednesday, October 02, 2013
Fed Could Delay QE Tapering Until After December / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Most economists surveyed by Bloomberg News are now of the view that the Federal Reserve will begin tapering asset purchases in December. Contrary to expectations on the 18-19 of September, Federal Reserve policymakers have decided to continue with a very loose monetary stance and postpone the tapering of asset purchases.
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