Category: Global Economy
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
China Becomes World's Largest Trading Nation Surpassing U.S. / Economics / Global Economy
By: BATR
The globalists put their plan into motion decades ago. The proper meaning of the headline is not that China is an economic miracle, but that the United States, systematically stripped of its industrial might, is destined to fall even further. The Chinese economy is a haven of direct transnational integration. The outsourcing of manufacturing from domestic capacity is not solely a response of cheaper economic cost of goods production. No, the underlying reason for the migration of product assemblage is to weaken an independent American economy.
Monday, January 13, 2014
Debt, Deficits, Demographics, Deleveraging and Deflation - Forecasting the Killer D's 2014 / Economics / Global Economy
By: John_Mauldin
It seems I'm in a constant dialogue about the markets and the economy everywhere I go. Comes with the territory. Everyone wants to have some idea of what the future holds and how they can shape their own personal version of the future within the Big Picture. This weekly letter is a large part of that dialogue, and it's one that I get to share directly with you. Last week we started a conversation looking at what I think is the most positive and dynamic aspect of our collective future: The Human Transformation Revolution. By that term I mean the age of accelerating change in all manner of technologies and services that is unfolding before us. It is truly exhilarating to contemplate. Combine that revolution with the growing demand for a middle-class lifestyle in the emerging world, and you get a powerful engine for growth. In a simpler world we could just focus on those positives and ignore the fumbling of governments and central banks. Alas, the world is too complex for that.
Thursday, January 09, 2014
China Economy to Dictate Global Monetary Policy, Currency and Commodity Prices? / Economics / Global Economy
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
The recent credit crunch in China is due to PBOC’s (People's Bank Of China) or China's Central Bank refusal to act as the lender of last resort so as to help banks to get out from their financial mess. It also demonstrates that Central bank is willing to allow market forces to play a bigger role in the daily operations of the banks. This also means that banks will have to be on their own since PBOC has indicated that it will not be bailing them out anytime soon. As a result banks will have no choice but to be more conservative in their lending policies. What PBOC hope to achieve out of this?
Tuesday, January 07, 2014
Major Global Economic Themes for 2014 / Economics / Global Economy
By: Submissions
Ronan Keenan writes: This time last year, the majority of financial commentators held a downbeat outlook for the global economy in 2013. The potential for instability was seemingly high, but in reality it turned out that the greatest shock was a lack of any major shocks.
In the United States, the Federal Reserve reduced its monetary stimulus measures and stock markets actually rallied on the news. Unemployment fell to a five-year low of 7% and a government shutdown came and went without hysteria. An unfamiliar calm reigned over the eurozone through the year, resulting in a welcome decline in bond yields for the weaker “periphery” nations. China successfully reversed its slowing growth, while Japan’s extraordinary stimulus policies helped reinvigorate an economy that has suffered a quarter century of stagnation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 27, 2013
Global Economy Suffers From Hypothermia / Economics / Global Economy
By: Raul_I_Meijer
We've used the analogy before, in particular to describe what happened to the Roman Empire during the latter days of its existence. Looking around various economies in the world today, the same analogy once again comes to mind. One might say that what we see these days is analogous to the more advanced stages of hypothermia.
Early hypothermia may show in nothing more than cold feet, in itself an amusing analogy perhaps. But a body that is exposed to extreme cold over longer periods of time will at some point start to exhibit symptoms such as frostbite, which are the result of the core of the body trying to save itself at the cost of the periphery, the extremities. Typically, a human body, for instance, will lose its toes first because the heart can no longer pump enough blood (heat) to them and at the same time keep the body's core above a minimum temperature.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 11, 2013
Global Shipping Contends with Oversupply Problems / Economics / Global Economy
By: STRATFOR
The global shipping industry is oversupplied. Because supply far exceeds demand, shipping rates have plummeted, as have the prices of ships. Some shipping companies have sought to capitalize on this trend by purchasing newer, larger ships at lower prices so that they can remain price competitive. But unless demand rebounds by the time these ships become operational, the industry's oversupply problem will only worsen.
Saturday, July 06, 2013
Refutation of Economic Illusion with Gold and Silver Safety Perfect Timing / Economics / Global Economy
By: Richard_Mills
Illusions trick us into perceiving something different than what actually exists and the mainstream media is very good at creating them. Currently they have the herd convinced there is an economic recovery underway.
We all need to understand that to have a real, and sustainable recovery for an economy that relies on consumer spending for 70 percent of its activity we need to have a jobs recovery.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 25, 2013
Chinese and German Manufacturing Now Both Contracting / Economics / Global Economy
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes:
A recession for the global economy is becoming an increasingly likely scenario.
The Chinese economy, the second-biggest in the world, witnessed a contraction in manufacturing in May. The HSBC Flash China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) registered 49.6 for May, declining from 50.4 in April. (Source: Markit, May 23, 2013.) Any number below 50 represents contraction in the manufacturing sector.
Wednesday, May 22, 2013
The Macro Economic Story as Told by Gold, Copper and Oil / Commodities / Global Economy
By: EconMatters
Gold’s been on a wild ride. After reaching a peak of $1,920 an ounce in September 2011, gold has tumbled 28% to the current ~$1,380 level forcing John Paulson to take a 47% loss in his gold fund during the first four months of this year, according to Bloomberg.
Unlike Paulson who maintained his positions in gold, other big players like George Soros and BlackRock cut their gold ETF holdings, while Goldman Sachs issued a sell recommendation on gold right before the yellow metal plunged 13% through April 15, the biggest drop in three decades. And by looking at the futures curve (chart below), market does not seem to expect gold to come back roaring any time soon.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 01, 2013
Why Eurozone Recession Is Important for America / Economics / Global Economy
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Soros knows a thing or two about making money from big bets. In 1992, Soros made a $10.00 short wager on the British pound and walked away with a billion dollars in profits.
Soros is now convinced Germany needs to rethink its strategy toward the sustainability of the eurozone and, in a draconian manner, believes the country should leave the euro.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 29, 2013
Goodbye to Economic Austerity / Economics / Global Economy
By: Alasdair_Macleod
There is a new campaign to end austerity. First, the IMF lets it be known it has second thoughts about it; then we are told the threshold of 90% government debt to GDP which must not be crossed, set by Professors Reinhart & Rogoff, is based on an excel spread-sheet error. Lastly, Bill Gross of PIMCO, the largest bond fund in the world, tells us austerity is not working.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 27, 2013
Copper Calls the Economic Recovery BS / Economics / Global Economy
By: Graham_Summers
For the last four years, the financial world has traded largely based on hope of more intervention from Central Banks.
That was and is the single driving factor of the markets. Good news was good news (it’s a recovery!) but bad news was even better (the Fed will have to print more money!) as far as stocks were concerned.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 25, 2013
Global Economy Still at Risk, Just Look at the Jobs Picture / Economics / Global Economy
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: Consistent jobs growth remains an issue here in the U.S.
We also know that the lack of jobs is a worldwide problem that is only made worse by the world’s growing population and the stalling global economy.
The reasoning behind this worldwide jobs problem is simple.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 19, 2013
Gold Sell off Reveals Global Economy Skating on Thin Ice / Economics / Global Economy
By: Michael_Pento
Explanations for this gold selloff abound everywhere and nearly all of them are inane and incorrect. The silliest among all the reasons offered for the current bear market in gold is that Bernanke has recently morphed into a form of Paul Volker; even though he has maintained the Fed’s zero percent interest rate policy and massive money printing continues unabated. His policies have, and will continue to significantly weaken the intrinsic value of the dollar—so you can just summarily dismiss that reason.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 13, 2013
Ponzinomics - The Entire Global Economy Is an Insolvent Ponzi Scheme / Economics / Global Economy
By: Washingtons_Blog
Bill Gross, Nouriel Roubini, Laurence Kotlikoff, Steve Keen, Michel Chossudovsky, the Wall Street Journal and many others say that our entire economy is a Ponzi scheme.
Former Reagan budget director David Stockton just agreed:
So did a top Russian con artist and mathematician.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 08, 2013
Rearview Mirror Economics: Mutant Markets And Crony Capitalism / Politics / Global Economy
By: Andrew_McKillop
The well known British economist the late Joan Robinson once observed that the only thing worse than being exploited by capitalism, is not being exploited by capitalism. This whimsical English humour was fine in her day, but questions she treated like generations of economists before her, have never been settled. More important, today's reason for asking questions like - Why are markets not working? - is that western society and its economic model or models now faces a critical, life-or-death struggle.
Tuesday, March 05, 2013
Clues to the Health of the World Economy from Tourism Trends / Economics / Global Economy
By: Andrew_Butter
U.S. Outbound and Dubai-Inbound Compared - Leaving aside the hangover from the debt bubble, not yet even half cured by the cocktail of QE flavored with the bitter spice of austerity…life goes on.
One way to get a feeling for the pulse of the economy that exists outside of borders, literally, in the stratosphere, or close-by, is to look at how much of that apparently soon-to-be-worthless fiat-money real-people are spending on travel internationally.
Saturday, March 02, 2013
Is the West About to Accelerate Away From the Rest? / Economics / Global Economy
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Many academics such as Niall Ferguson have been publishing books and broadcasting TV series promoting the rise of China and the threat it poses to a decaying West whereas in my opinion far from the west being in decline it has yet to even peak. That coupled with the probability that China rather than presenting a threat to the west, is likely approaching significant hurdles to future growth as evidenced by the fact that academics such as Niall Ferguson are making TV programmes for mass media audiences, much as the tek stocks were becoming all the rage in the mainstream media just before they went bust.
Monday, February 18, 2013
The Final Economic Countdown / Politics / Global Economy
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Governments have refused to accept the necessity of a period of economic re-adjustment following the credit-bubble. The bubble burst about five years ago and economic progress has been effectively suspended ever since. The consequences of this refusal to accept reality are at a minimum to make this adjustment unnecessarily drawn out and needlessly painful, without offering a better eventual outcome.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 24, 2013
Nouriel Roubini: Financial Tensions Could Lead to Protectionism / Economics / Global Economy
By: Bloomberg
Nouriel Roubini of Roubini Global Economics and Ian Bremmer of Eurasia Group appeared on "Bloomberg Surveillance" today from the World Economic Forum in Davos. Roubini said that "problems are global, but policies are national" and that "coordinating among different countries is going to become increasingly difficult. Political tensions, economic and financial tensions, like currency wars, can lead eventually to protectionism." Video for viewing and embedding here: