Category: China Currency Yuan
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, June 21, 2010
Why New China Flexibility of the Yuan Will Not Mean its Appreciation, Nor Gold's Fall / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
With China dropping the 'peg' to the U.S. $, the financial world is expecting it to appreciate up to 30% over time. But we don't expect this at all. China has interests and will do no-one favors unless they are in China's interests. There are some who say it is in China's interests as they may well need to cap rising inflation or cheapen imports. More expensive Chinese exports can still effectively penetrate world markets? But China is a very different economy to any in the West and economic rules that apply to the West have to be modified in the East. So, what will happen to the Yuan now?"
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Monday, June 21, 2010
China Yuan Currency Climbs Most in 20 Months / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Stock and commodities futures are up headed into Monday's trading on news that China has "unpegged" the Yuan. Please consider Yuan Climbs Most in 20 Months After China Signals End to Peg.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Chinese Yuan Bent But Not Bowed, Trade War Still On / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The currency issue has been a constant tension in relations between the United States and China. Many analysts had expected the Chinese central bank to announce a one-off revaluation in the yuan to appease critics of the exchange rate policy.
However, on Sunday, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) has ruled out the one-off revaluation that US politicians had sought. This was seen as a largely political move to deflect criticism of its fixed exchange rate ahead of the G20 meeting next week.
Sunday, June 20, 2010
China Announces Yuan Exchange Rate Flexibility / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
So China has just announced that it will "Further Reform the RMB Exchange Rate Regime and Enhance the RMB Exchange Rate Flexibility". See the full statement here.
Saturday, June 19, 2010
China Plays Obama like Violin on Yuan Currency Exchange Rate / Politics / China Currency Yuan
You have to hand it to China for the way it played Obama like a violin. On Thursday and Friday China Warned Against Finger-Pointing while announcing the "yuan exchange rate of no concern to others" setting a confrontational tone for the G-20.
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Tuesday, April 27, 2010
Implications of Chinese Yuan Currency Appreciation / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Recently, there has been a lot of news and evidence supporting the likelihood of the Chinese authorities allowing the Chinese currency, the yuan or renminbi (CNY), to trade within a wider trading band.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
China Yuan /U.S. Dollar To Peg or Not to Peg? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
While I attended an economic conference last week in Shanghai, I found it notable - but not surprising - that two former Secretaries of the Treasury, John Snow and Hank Paulson, as well as current Treasury Secretary Tim Geither, and former President George W. Bush were then in the country at the same time. The fact that so many key American power brokers (myself not included) were in China simultaneously is no coincidence. In an overly indebted world, the $2.5 trillion that China holds in foreign reserves is acting as a center of economic gravity, inexorably pulling all market participants into its orbit.
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Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Rebuttal: Martin Wolf FT piece “Revaluing Reminibi” / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Martin Wolf article in FT Revaluing Reminibi was an insightful piece of writing making an overwhelming case for the revaluation of the Yuan. I respectfully disagree with him and think that he too has given into the “crowd thinking” behind Yuan revaluation which is being led by Goldman, Geithner and a host of Investment banks in the US.
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Thursday, April 01, 2010
China Currency Overtaking the U.S. Dollar: The Three Phases of Yuan / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The use of the Chinese Renminbi in Hong Kong is on the increase.
Over the last ten years, the Renminbi (RMB) or yuan, has been slowly gaining influence in the markets that surround mainland China. And about one year ago Hong Kong, a major commerce and trading hub, introduced a new trade settlement that allowed Hong Kong business’ to use the RMB as a trading currency.
Sunday, March 21, 2010
Jim Rogers on Chinese Currency and Trade War: My Thoughts / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
In a Business News Network interview on Mar. 18, Jim Rogers, famous investor and creator of the Rogers International Commodities Index (RICI) speaks about the recent currency and trade confrontation between the US and China:
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
U.S. China Dispute Over Currency Manipulation and Bubbles / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Discusses China / U.S. currency manipulation dispute, says China will eventually have to float its currency if it wants to become a serious global economic and financial player. Only expect a short-term rally in the Dollar, favor's Canadian Dollar for the long-run. Expects China economy to do well even if China housing bubble bursts.
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Monday, March 15, 2010
Strong Yuan Currency in China's Interest / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The U.S. has pressured China for some time to allow its currency, the yuan, to appreciate. China, in our assessment, will not allow the yuan to appreciate at the request of U.S. policy makers, but rather when China deems it to be in its own national interest. Indeed, we believe this time has come.
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Saturday, February 27, 2010
China Currency Poses Greatest Danger to Global Economic Recovery / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Toward the end of last year, many market followers were speculating on a Fed hike as early as the first half of 2010. Global stock markets had experienced explosive bounces, commodity prices had surged from the crisis lows, and risk spreads and market volatility had all subsided.
In short, markets were pricing in a very optimistic outlook for global economic recovery — a return to normalcy.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
China Currency Manipulation Global Trade Imbalances, A World Without Yuan 6.83 / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Keith Hilden writes: As countless newspapers and media outlets across China continue to reiterate that the fiscal policy of China to refuse the appreciation of the renminbi is made clear on an almost daily basis, it has been established that this policy suits China and its interests. It certainly does. But when a country makes a decision based solely on its own interests, and it negatively affects the interests of every other country in the world, what is the boundary of acceptable conduct for that country to follow in the interest of the rest of the world?
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Undervalued Renminbi Is The Greatest Threat To Economic Recovery / Economics / China Currency Yuan
Sir, Michael Spence is dead wrong in arguing that “the west is wrong to obsess about the renminbi” (January 22). An undervalued renminbi represents the single greatest threat to global economic recovery and a dangerous inflationary trigger within China.
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Thursday, November 26, 2009
Why China Will Not Revalue their Currency / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
President Obama’s recent trip to Beijing has sparked a lot of talk about China revaluing its currency, the yuan (officially called the renminbi), higher.
Don’t you believe it. Not for a minute. The fact of the matter is China is not going to do anything substantial to increase the value of its currency, except perhaps take a baby step here and there to appease politicians around the world.
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Friday, November 20, 2009
The Truth Behind China's U.S. Dollar Currency Peg / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
During President Obama's high profile visit to China this week, the most frequently discussed, yet least understood, topic was how currency valuations are affecting the economic relationship between the United States and China. The focal problem is the Chinese government's policy of fixing the value of the renminbi against the U.S. dollar. While many correctly perceive that this 'peg' has contributed greatly to the current global imbalances, few fully comprehend the ramifications should that peg be discarded.
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
China Currency Manipulation About to Trigger Protectionism Crisis / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
I’ve written several times here in Money and Markets about the geopolitical time bomb surrounding China’s currency manipulation. The most recent was in my October 31 column.
I expect this issue to grow in intensity and become a major point of contention for the global economy in the coming year. In recent days the chatter about China and its artificially weak yuan has been picking up.
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Saturday, October 31, 2009
Chinese Yuan the Most Undervalued Currency in the World / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
When the leaders from the 20 most powerful countries in the world (including China) met last month, they left with a pledge to work toward rebalancing global economies.
That means countries running large trade deficits, like the U.S., would save more, consume less, and produce more … and export-driven economies, like China, would spend more and export less.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
Yuan Currency Swap / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
On March 23, 2009, China made public announcements to overhaul the global monetary system, thereby questioning the role of the US dollar as the reserve currency.1 Chinese officials have gone on record saying they want to move the global currency peg away from the dollar in favour of currency diversification as indicated by China's push for OPEC to price oil in a basket of currencies (including the yuan) instead of dollars.
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