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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Debt

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, October 13, 2017

It Would Take A 50% Hike in Income Tax to Fund Current US Budget Deficit / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

The projected total US debt will be $30 trillion within 10 years, using the CBO’s own numbers. But the CBO also makes the rosy assumptions that there will be no recessions and that GDP will grow at a 4% nominal rate.

Now, that’s possible; I'm inclined to haircut it a bit.

If you asked me to bet the “over/under” on the debt in 2027, I would bet the over at $35 trillion.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

The Profoundly Personal Impact Of The National Debt On Our Retirements / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

In this analysis we will take a look at something deeply personal – which is how the $20 trillion United States national debt may change the day-to-day quality of life for savers and retirees in the decades ahead. That is likely a somewhat unusual perspective for many savers and investors.

On the one hand, we have what are often thought of as abstract economic concepts - such as how large will the national debt be in 10 or 20 years? How will Federal Reserve actions to increase interest rates change future government deficits and debts?

On the other hand, we have something that is typically presented as being entirely different, which is individual financial planning. What are the savings and investment choices that we need to make today that will help determine what our standard of living may be in retirement 10, 20 or 30 years from now?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 06, 2017

Stunning U.S. Government Debt Increase In Past Few Days…. While No One Noticed / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Steve_St_Angelo

As the stock market continues to rise on the back of some of the worst geopolitical, financial, and domestic news, the U.S. Treasury has been quietly increasing the amount of government debt, with virtually no coverage by the Mainstream or Alternative Media.  So, how much has the U.S. debt increased in the past few days?   A bunch.

The surge in U.S. debt that took place over the past two days all started when the debt ceiling limit was officially allowed to increase on Sept 8th.  In just one day, the U.S. Treasury increased the public debt by $318 billion:

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Politics

Friday, September 15, 2017

US Government’s Promised Entitlements Exceed the Budget Seven Times in Some States / Politics / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

The US government balance sheet features $80 trillion to $200 trillion in unfunded liabilities. This amount stems from future entitlement program burdens that are, in effect, government promises.

No one is going to vote to reduce their entitlements. (Well, other than the very well-off, who don’t actually need those entitlements.)

Unfunded pension liabilities at the state and local have swollen to roughly $4–$6 trillion in the United States. And that may be understating the severity of the problem.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 15, 2017

The US Debt Bubble Will Soon Warrant Serious Measures / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

There is big debate over the exact amount of global debt.

Parts of it get hidden in many out-of-the-way pockets. But broadly speaking, global debt is about 325% of GDP, and likely over $225 trillion as I write.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 15, 2017

US Budget Deficit Swindling Futurity / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: James_Quinn

“The principle of spending money to be paid by posterity, under the name of funding, is but swindling futurity on a large scale.”Thomas Jefferson

Yesterday the government reported a “modest” August budget deficit of $108 billion. That’s one month folks. This is another example of how the government and their mainstream media mouthpieces portray horrifically bad, extremely abnormal financial data as normal and expected. They pretend everything that has happened since 2008 is just standard operating procedure. They follow the Big Lie theory to the extreme. The masses have been so dumbed down, desensitized, and taught to believe delusions, they can’t distinguish the abnormal from the normal.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 14, 2017

US Drowning in Debt, Surpasses $20 Trillion As Bankruptcy and Hyperinflation Loom Closer / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jeff_Berwick

The US government finally surpassed the long anticipated $20 trillion national debt mark on Friday the 8th.

Oh, I don’t say “finally” because they had so restricted their expenditures that it was taking longer than expected. That’s far from the case!

In fact, under globalist, Donald “Big Government” Trump, the federal government had its largest deficit month in history in June topping $400 billion for the first time.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Trump Suggests Eliminating the Debt Ceiling – Dollar Falls / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MoneyMetals

Those who paid any attention to the financial press last week saw the following narrative; President Donald Trump betrayed Republicans by cutting a deal with Democrats Nancy Pelosi and Charles Schumer. They agreed to punt on the borrowing cap until December and spend $15 billion for hurricane relief.

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Economics

Monday, September 11, 2017

Hurricanes Harvey and Irma Damage, America Can’t Afford to Rebuild / Economics / US Debt

By: Raul_I_Meijer

A number of people have argued over the past few days that Hurricane Harvey will NOT boost the US housing market. As if any such argument would or should be required. Hurricane Irma will not provide any such boost either. News about the ‘resurrection’ of New Orleans post-Katrina has pretty much dried up, but we know scores of people there never returned, in most cases because they couldn’t afford to.

And Katrina took place 12 years ago, well before the financial crisis. How do you think this will play out today? Houston is a rich city, but that doesn’t mean it’s full of rich people only. Most homeowners in the city and its surroundings have no flood insurance; they can’t afford it. But they still lost everything. So how will they rebuild?

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 10, 2017

Hurricane Trump Blowing the Debt Ceiling Roof Off / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Peter_Schiff

Of all the absurd Washington pantomimes none has been as reliably entertaining and maddening as the annual debates to raise the debt ceiling. Although the outcome was always a foregone conclusion (the ceiling would be raised), the excitement came when fiscal conservatives bemoaned the perils of runaway debt and “attempted” to exact spending restrictions through threats “to shut down the government,” (which often led to news coverage of tourists being turned away from national parks.) On the other side of the aisle Democrats would rail that the ceiling must be raised “because America always pays her bills.” Lost was the irony that “paying” bills with borrowed money was fiscally responsible, and that raising the ceiling actually enabled America to continue to avoid paying its bills. After these amateur theatrics, the ceiling would be lifted and Washington would go on as if nothing happened. But at least the performance threw occasional light on the nation’s debt problems.
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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

How Planned Fed Rate Increases Impact The National Debt & Deficits / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

The United States national debt is currently about $20 trillion, and the federal government is paying some of the lowest interest rates in history on that debt. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates four times now, and is publicly considering another five increases, for a total increase of roughly 2.25%.

What will be the impact on the national debt and deficits if the interest payments on the debt jump upwards because of the actions of the Fed?

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 10, 2017

Really Bad Ideas - Government Debt Isn’t Actually Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Rubino

The failure of fiat currency and fractional reserve banking to produce a government-managed utopia is generating very few mea culpas, but lots of rationalizations.

Strangest of all these rationalizations might be the notion that government debt is not really a liability, but an asset. Where personal and business loans are bad if taken to excess, government borrowing is not just good on any scale, but necessary to a healthy economy. Here’s an excerpt from a particularly assertive version of this argument:

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Companies

Tuesday, August 08, 2017

US Companies Are More Indebted, More Leveraged, Less Profitable, and Yet Better Valued Than Ever / Companies / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

Once again I start with a warning: A recession is eventually coming and a financial crisis with it. There is a real potential for it to come soon, although serious tax reform could delay it.

But sooner or later, the pressures of too much government debt and too many government promises, plus growth that is continually grinding slower, will break out into a recession.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Tuesday, August 08, 2017

Sen. Hatch: Those Opposing More US Debt ‘Don’t Deserve to Be Here’ / Politics / US Debt

By: MoneyMetals

Republican leaders in Congress, with the urging of Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, are anxious to raise the federal borrowing limit from $19.8 trillion – no strings attached.

The only hitch is those pesky conservative voters who were promised restraint by party leaders. GOP establishment hopes to quietly pass a “clean” bill to raise the debt ceiling – a direct betrayal of that voter base – don't currently enjoy enough support from other Republican members who still consider themselves accountable. So, a deal with the Democrats beckons.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 03, 2017

Raising the US Debt Ceiling Means Jacking Up Future Inflation / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MoneyMetals

By Stefan Gleason : The dramatic failure of the U.S. Senate’s last-ditch Obamacare repeal effort leaves Republicans so far without a major legislative win since Donald Trump took office. No healthcare reform. No tax reform. No monetary reform. No budgetary reform.

The more things change in Washington... the more they stay the same.

Despite an unconventional outsider in the White House, it’s business as usual for entrenched incumbents of both parties. The next major order of business for the bipartisan establishment is to raise the debt ceiling above $20 trillion.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 03, 2017

America's Finances in a Better World / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: DeviantInvestor

In a better world we might expect:

  • Individuals, corporations, and governments spend no more than their income.
  • “Honest” money is used by all, has intrinsic value, retains its purchasing power and is not counterfeited by individuals or bankers.
  • Governments and bankers support and encourage “honest” money.
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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 06, 2017

Government Insolvency Gets Harder to Ignore / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MoneyMetals

Several U.S. states and the federal government are hopelessly insolvent. It’s something many bullion investors have known for years.

The real question is when this reality will pierce the mainstream illusion that deficits, and the crushing pile of debt which accompany them, don’t matter. That moment drew closer last week when ratings agencies downgraded Illinois state bonds to one notch above “junk” status.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 05, 2017

Soaring Debt = Slow Growth = Even More Debt = Systemic Crisis / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Rubino

It’s just common sense: Borrow too much money and the weight of this debt makes it hard to do things that used to be easy. This truism is now (finally!) hitting home, and blame is being apportioned. A couple of recent examples:

Over The Last 10 Years The U.S. Economy Has Grown At EXACTLY The Same Rate As It Did During The 1930s

(Economic Collapse Blog) – Even though I write about our ongoing long-term economic collapse every day, I didn’t realize that things were this bad. In this article, I am going to show you that the average rate of growth for the U.S. economy over the past 10 years is exactly equal to the average rate that the U.S. economy grew during the 1930s.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 15, 2017

The Fed’s Massive Debt Bubble in Picture Form / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Graham_Summers

As we’ve been outlining over the last few weeks, the auto-loan industry is increasingly looking like Subprime 2.0: the needle that will pop the credit bubble.

Since 2009, roughly 1/3 of all new auto-loans have been subprime. That in of itself is bad, but we are now discovering that the industry in general has a problem with fraud (shades of the Housing Bubble) as well.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 09, 2017

America Needs a Debt Cut Before a Tax Cut / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Michael_Pento

President Donald Trump has finally unveiled his broad blueprint for tax reform. Well, at least let’s call it a sketchy outline of one. It would take the top income tax rate for small businesses from 35% to 15%. Theoretically, a business that makes $500k in taxable income, which had been paying roughly $175k in Federal taxes, would then pay closer to $75k. This means our business in this example, which saved 100k in Federal taxes, would have to grow its taxable income to $1,166.666, or by 133% to provide the government with revenue neutrality.

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