US Bonds Call “BS” on the Stock Market Ramp-A-Thon
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019 Mar 24, 2019 - 11:40 AM GMTJerome Powell burst the Everything Bubble… and now he’s desperately trying to put it back together again.
Having generated the single largest mis-allocation of capital in history from 2008-2016 by manipulating bond yields to extraordinary lows, the Fed, lead by new Fed Chair Jerome Powell decided it’d be wise to embark on the single most aggressive tightening schedule in history.
I started warning that this would blow up in spectacular fashion as early as July-August 2018. The issue was not the Fed tightening, but the pace at which it was tightening. There was no real reason for the Fed to raise rates and engage in QT at the pace it did. Only a fool would think that doing this wasn’t going to cause some serious damage to a financial system that was more leveraged than any other time in history.
Fast-forward to October and the market imploded just like I said it would. It was only by completely abandoning ANY and ALL pretense of normalization that the Fed managed to put a Band-Aid over a now rapidly collapsing Everything Bubble.
Will it work?
We’re about to find out. Stocks ramped higher yesterday on MASSIVE manipulation (NO real buyer piles into stocks like that), but the fact is that the bond markets are telling us that the Fed is trapped.
The yield on the 10-Year Treasury is telling us that the economy is in serious trouble (blue line). It’s telling us that stocks, which are discounting a MAJOR rebound in growth, are not only delusional, but ripe for a crash.
Stocks could easily erase their entire rally from the December lows. What would Jerome Powell do then?
Cut rates?
Launch QE?
In chart terms, the Powell Fed destroyed its credibility just to bring stocks back to their broken bull market trendline.
God, help him if stocks roll over here…
On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.
In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.
Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.
To pick up yours, swing by:
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Best Regards
Graham Summers
Phoenix Capital Research
http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com
Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and unde74rvalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.
Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.
© 2018 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
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