Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
THEY DON'T RING THE BELL AT THE CRPTO MARKET TOP! - 20th Dec 24
CEREBUS IPO NVIDIA KILLER? - 18th Dec 24
Nvidia Stock 5X to 30X - 18th Dec 24
LRCX Stock Split - 18th Dec 24
Stock Market Expected Trend Forecast - 18th Dec 24
Silver’s Evolving Market: Bright Prospects and Lingering Challenges - 18th Dec 24
Extreme Levels of Work-for-Gold Ratio - 18th Dec 24
Tesla $460, Bitcoin $107k, S&P 6080 - The Pump Continues! - 16th Dec 24
Stock Market Risk to the Upside! S&P 7000 Forecast 2025 - 15th Dec 24
Stock Market 2025 Mid Decade Year - 15th Dec 24
Sheffield Christmas Market 2024 Is a Building Site - 15th Dec 24
Got Copper or Gold Miners? Watch Out - 15th Dec 24
Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market - 13th Dec 24
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Rough Week...Bears More In Control

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012 Oct 27, 2012 - 05:43 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The stock market spent the week struggling along as the majority of leading stocks fell due to bad earnings reports. The poor reports were pretty much across the board. Make no mistake, there were many very solid reports as well. It was not all gloom and doom, but there were quite a number of reporters who said things seem to be slowing down harder than previously anticipated. What's really interesting, in a not so good way, is the fact that there were so many CEO's who seemed genuinely surprised by how fast things have turned down from a global perspective. Many talked about the need to lower guidance quite a bit due to uncertainty about whether things will start to improve. They'd rather err on the side of guiding lower than they should, so they don't disappoint once again in three months. If things improve, then they'll be able to surprise and beat those lowered expectations.


With too many leaders disappointing, such as Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Google Inc. (GOOG), the Dow and S&P 500 saw some very respectable losses, which tested key support, and in many cases, went through those support levels. The S&P 500 lost its 50-day exponential moving average at 1428. It's also trading below trend line support now turned resistance at 1420, not to mention trading below 1435 or its 20-day exponential moving average. Bad action there.

Not only did the S&P 500 lose all of those key support levels, but it has now done so for four full trading days, which is never good for the bulls simply because the longer you trade below key support the harder it is to take back simply because the bears are feeling better about things and will get more aggressive when those levels get back tested from underneath. Bottom line is it was a bearish week technically. It was a good week for the bears, their really first good week in quite a few months.

Mr. Bernanke was out this week with his usual six-week, or so, speech regarding the state of the economy. The market was listening carefully, not to mention, hopefully, about whether he planned on doing some new form of stimulation. Hard to imagine he could do more than he has already. He just gave another QE program. What more can people expect?

He seems to have used up all of his bullets. He said absolutely nothing of interest, thus, once done, the market continued on its downward move. He said inflation was under control, but rising a bit more than he'd like. Really? No kidding! Food prices have exploded higher, and in case he wasn't aware, people still need to buy food. The Government has decided not to use food in its measuring of whether inflation is a problem. They don't use energy as well. Sad but true. So, yes, Mr. Bernanke, you have created more inflation without helping the economy recover. Congratulations! The Fed has now been rendered useless for the stock market, although I imagine he'll keep trying. He failed this time around.

For now, the best thing you can do is play very lightly from time to time when the situation arises. But keep in mind, getting aggressive makes little to no sense at all. Tough to get aggressively short simply because daily RSI's on the index charts are nearing 30. Just slightly above. You don't want to get too aggressively long because there's a lot resistance above from gaps to moving averages. It's a market that begs for cash as your overall number position.

Go slow and be patient. In time things will set up better, but, for now, caution is the best way to proceed.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2012 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in