Market Wrap - Oil & Energy
Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis Feb 06, 2007 - 12:40 AM GMTCrude Oil rose to $59 a barrel based on increased demand due to cold weather finally settling in across most of the nation. In many areas the temperature was colder than normal.
Prior to this snap of cold weather, the winter season has been one of the mildest on record. OPEC also plans on cutting production, which coupled with increased demand results in higher prices.
However, as the chart below shows - the recent rally in oil prices appear to be a counter trend rally that will most likely not continue for too much longer. Long term may be a different story. Time will tell.
Natural Gas
The Energy Department reported that U.S. gas inventories are up a huge 21% compared to the five year average. Due to the mild winter so far this year, the larger than normal supply of stored gas is more then adequate for the lessened demand.
Consequently, natural gas fell 5.4 cents, or 0.7% for the week, to $7.476 dollars per million BTU's, as priced on the New York Mercantile Exchange. However, the price of NG has gained 19% in the past month, as we predicted it would.
Did we catch the rise - no we didn't. Another incident of being asleep at the wheel. There is a lesson here, as is obvious. Hopefully we will learn from it for future use.
Douglas V. Gnazzo
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report
Douglas V. Gnazzo is the retired CEO of New England Renovation LLC, a historical restoration contractor that specialized in the restoration of older buildings and vintage historic landmarks. Mr. Gnazzo writes for numerous websites, and his work appears both here and abroad. Just recently, he was honored by being chosen as a Foundation Scholar for the Foundation of Monetary Education (FAME).
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