Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.The Brexit War! EU Fearing Collapse Set to Stoke Scottish Independence Proxy War - Nadeem_Walayat
2.London Terror Attack Red Herring, Real Issue is Age of Reason vs Religion - Nadeem_Walayat
3.The BrExit War, Game Theory Strategy for What UK Should Do to Win - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Goldman Sachs Backing A Copper Boom In 2017 - OilPrice_Com
5.Trump to Fire 50 US Cruise Missiles To Erase Syrian Chemical Attack Air Base, China Next? - Nadeem_Walayat
6.US Stock Market Consolidation Time - Rambus_Chartology
7.Stock Market Investors Stupid is as Stupid Goes - James_Quinn
8.Gold in Fed Interest Rate Hike Cycles- Zeal_LLC
9.The BrExit War - Britain Intelligence Super Power Covert War With the EU - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Marc Faber: Euro to Strengthen, Dollar to Weaken, Gold and Emerging Markets to Outperform - MoneyMetals
Last 7 days
Google Panics and KILLS YouTube to Appease Mainstream Media and Corporate Advertisers - 25th Apr 17
Gold Price Is 1% Shy of Ripping Higher - 25th Apr 17
Exchange-Traded Funds Make Decisions Easy - 25th Apr 17
Trump Is Among The Institutionally Weakest National Leaders In The World - 25th Apr 17
3 Maps That Explain the Geopolitics of Nuclear Weapons - 25th Apr 17
Risk on Stock Market French Election Euphoria - 24th Apr 17
Fear Campaign Against Americans Continues Nuclear Attack Drills in New York City - 24th Apr 17
Is the Stock Market Bounce Over? - 24th Apr 17
This Could Be One Of the Biggest Winners Of The Electric Car Boom - 24th Apr 17
Le Pen Shifts Political Landscape- The Rise of New French Gaullism  - 24th Apr 17
IMF Says Austerity Is Over - Surplus or Stimulus - 24th Apr 17
EURUSD at a Critical Point in Wave Structure - 23rd Apr 17
Stock Market Grand Super Cycle Overview While SPX Correction Continues - 23rd Apr 17
Robert Prechter Talks About Elliott Waves and His New Book - 23rd Apr 17
Le Pen, Melenchon French Election Stock, Bond and Euro Markets Crash - 22nd Apr 17
Why You Are Not An Investor - 22nd Apr 17
Gold Price Upleg Momentum Building - 22nd Apr 17
Why Now Gold and Silver Precious Metals? - 22nd Apr 17
4 Maps That Signal Central Asia Is at Risk of War - 22nd Apr 17
5 Key Steps For A Comfortable Retirement From Former Wall Street Trader - 22nd Apr 17
Can Marine Le Pen Win? French Presidential Election Forecast 2017 - 21st Apr 17
Why Stock Market Investors May Soon Be In For A Rude Awakening - 21st Apr 17
Median US Household’s Wealth Has Declined by 40% Since 2007 - 21st Apr 17
Silver, Platinum and Palladium as Investments – Research Shows Diversification Benefit - 21st Apr 17
U.S. Stock Market and Gold, Post Tomahawks and MOAB - 21st Apr 17
An In Depth Look at the Precious Metals Complex - 20th Apr 17
The Real Story of China’s Strong First-Quarter Growth - 20th Apr 17
3 Types Of Life-Changing Crisis That Make You Wish You Had Some Gold - 20th Apr 17
The Truth is a Dangerous Thing - 20th Apr 17
2 Choke Points That Threaten Oil Trade Between Persian Gulf And East Asia - 20th Apr 17
Gold’s Next Downside Target Is Around $700… Even if It Breaks Up First - 19th Apr 17
SPX May be Completing its Corrective Pattern - 19th Apr 17
Silver Production Has “Huge Decline” In 2nd Largest Producer Peru - 19th Apr 17
Soothing East Asia's Nerves as Trump's Administration Reaffirms US Power in Asia-Pacific - 19th Apr 17
The Brexit War - Article 50 Triggered, General Election 2017 Called - Let the Games Begin! - 19th Apr 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Why 95% of Traders Fail

Investor Moves to Make Before Debt Ceiling Debacles Disfigures Your Portfolio

Portfolio / US Debt Jul 27, 2011 - 07:36 AM GMT

By: Money_Morning

Portfolio

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: One night at dinner a few years back, my Dad, Greg Fitz-Gerald, explained exactly why the "tax-takers" in Washington think that recoveries, bailouts, negotiations and stimulus packages are a good idea - while the taxpayers believe just the opposite.

"When you rob Peter to pay Paul, Paul generally thinks this is a good idea," he said.


When we look at the debt-ceiling debacle that's unfolding in Washington, you can see exactly what my Dad was saying. That's why I'm not going to mince words here: The debt debate is a complete sham and an utter disgrace. A costly reckoning is headed our way.

The country can't avoid the fallout.

But you can.

In fact, I'm going to show you three moves that will help you dodge the worst of the damage - and perhaps even profit.

Appalled and Disgusted
That our tax-taking leaders would play political chicken with our national wealth and our future is appalling and disgusting.

The sad thing is "they" could fix this in a New York minute if they really wanted to. It wouldn't be pretty nor would it be the "best solution," but it would be a start - especially when it comes to the bond markets, which are blithely going about their business.

Evidently somebody has forgotten to tell the traders who run this $3 trillion party that their world is about to change. The very notion that we should have stability flies in the face of everything we know about the political incompetence that now threatens it.

Moreover, Lipper Inc. notes that bond market inflows are about $4.46 billion a week - and that's just the taxable stuff. There's another $99 billion worth of two-year notes on the block this week, and they're all likely to be purchased by investors seeking "safe-haven" investments.

.In an era of trillion-dollar liabilities, I find it incredibly ironic that anyone would seek safety in the U.S. dollar, let alone in U.S. government paper. Yet, that's exactly what's happening.

I usually refer to situations like these as processes of limited choice. But in reality it's more like one choice: taking our medicine now, or taking it later. Kicking the can down the road will not help.

The way I see things, there are no longer any really good choices. In fact, the only logical choice is for all of us - and especially the U.S. government - to stop living beyond our means.

When we (the taxpaying citizens) spend money, we buy goods and services. When the government spends the money that it's collected from us, it buys votes.

In the weeks and months to come, we're going to find out for sure exactly whose spending is better for the economy. But I'll make a prediction: It isn't the government's.

Unfortunately, fixing this requires change. And change isn't something that any of us - our leaders included - have been particularly good at ... at least not short of a crisis that forces change.

But that's very much the world we live in. We want for our political fixes to be quick and easy.
If the nice man or woman on Capitol Hill wants to vote in such a way that we feel no pain, we're all over it. Never mind that we'll actually have to pay for this someday.

The problem is one that I have addressed time and again, and this is what's at the core of the debt debate right now: Political fixes cannot by their very nature be quick and easy.

That's especially true when they are long-cycle, which means they've taken years to form and will take years to work their way out of the system either by chance, design, growth, or some combination of all three.

We don't need our own version of a Greek vacation: Is anybody in Washington listening?

Three Steps Toward Debt-Ceiling Security
Given this rather dour outlook, the best thing you can do is to protect yourself, and those in your household. To do that, I'm suggesting three moves that are worth making in advance of the Aug. 2 debt-ceiling deadline.

You need to:

•Hedge Your Bets: If Washington blows it, U.S. Treasuries will suffer, with the long end of the curve getting whacked hardest. The Rydex Inverse Government Long Bond Strategy Fund (NYSE: RYJUX) will profit as that happens, and can be used in conjunction with existing portfolios as a hedge.
•Go For The Gold: Metals - especially gold - will take on new significance if fiat currencies fail, and the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE: GLD) is a good way to capitalize on the surge that we'll see. But be leery of overstaying your welcome. If failure at the negotiating table or a default appears imminent, this could shoot for the moon; but if an agreement is reached, gold could fall faster than Representative Weiner.
•Get Some Kicks From the VIX: The iPath S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN (NYSE: VZZB) is truly a day trader's choice that may be best immediately preceding the deadline - but certainly not much longer than that. Prices reset daily, making tracking a problem.

[Editor's Note: If this is the kind of financial-market intelligence that you demand, you need to be reading The Money Map Report. Our monthly newsletter gets behind the stories and looks at the trends and powerful global money flows that are creating some of the best investing opportunities of our lifetimes. Those trends - as well as some great protection tips - will leave you better-informed, safer and wealthier than you've ever been.

You can get this market intelligence delivered to you monthly with our affiliate, the The Money Map Report. Please click here to learn more about our latest offer.]

Source :http://moneymorning.com/2011/07/27...

Money Morning/The Money Map Report

©2011 Monument Street Publishing. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), of content from this website, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Monument Street Publishing. 105 West Monument Street, Baltimore MD 21201, Email: customerservice@moneymorning.com

Disclaimer: Nothing published by Money Morning should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized investent advice. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in any security recommended to our readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after on-line publication, or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publication prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended by Money Morning should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Money Morning Archive

© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife