Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Friday Stock Market CRASH Following Israel Attack on Iranian Nuclear Facilities - 19th Apr 24
All Measures to Combat Global Warming Are Smoke and Mirrors! - 18th Apr 24
Cisco Then vs. Nvidia Now - 18th Apr 24
Is the Biden Administration Trying To Destroy the Dollar? - 18th Apr 24
S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 - 16th Apr 24
No Deposit Bonuses: Boost Your Finances - 16th Apr 24
Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - 8th Apr 24
Gold Is Rallying Again, But Silver Could Get REALLY Interesting - 8th Apr 24
Media Elite Belittle Inflation Struggles of Ordinary Americans - 8th Apr 24
Profit from the Roaring AI 2020's Tech Stocks Economic Boom - 8th Apr 24
Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's - 7th Apr 24
It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- 7th Apr 24
AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead - 7th Apr 24
Hidden cost of US homeownership just saw its biggest spike in 5 years - 7th Apr 24
What Happens To Gold Price If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates? - 7th Apr 24
The Fed is becoming increasingly divided on interest rates - 7th Apr 24
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End - 7th Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - 3rd Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend - 2nd Apr 24
Dow Stock Market Annual Percent Change Analysis 2024 - 2nd Apr 24
Bitcoin S&P Pattern - 31st Mar 24
S&P Stock Market Correlating Seasonal Swings - 31st Mar 24
S&P SEASONAL ANALYSIS - 31st Mar 24
Here's a Dirty Little Secret: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Is Still Loose - 31st Mar 24
Tandem Chairman Paul Pester on Fintech, AI, and the Future of Banking in the UK - 31st Mar 24
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Investment Gems - Avoid these three investing mistakes

InvestorEducation / Investing Jan 30, 2007 - 11:57 AM GMT

By: Money_and_Markets

InvestorEducation

Most of the time I tell you what I think you should be doing when it comes to your investments. But today, I want to tell you about three things that you shouldn't do.

I've had a lot of investing victories over the years, but I'm far from perfect. So I want to revisit three lessons that I learned the hard way. It's not that I like eating humble pie … I just want to give you an opportunity to learn from my past mistakes.


Mistake #1: Ignoring the Smartest Retail Analysts in the World
Even though I don't feel old, my receding hairline and expanding waist are telltale signs. It's also become obvious that I'm not on the same page as my children when it comes to music, fashion, or the latest slang. We're totally different when it comes to our spending habits, too. Sure, in my 20s and 30s, I cared about the car I drove and the labels on my clothes. But since then, I've become more concerned with planning and saving for retirement. I suspect a lot of other people my age are in the same boat.

As an investor, however, it's important to stay attuned to trends in consumer spending. After all, it accounts for roughly two-thirds of our country's Gross Domestic Product.I used to give too much credence to retail analysts on Wall Street (other old farts). At the same time, I was ignoring the best retail analysts in the world — my children.

my kids have nailed dozens of major retail trends and identified some of the most profitable stocks

No longer! Heck, my kids have nailed dozens of major retail trends and identified some of the most profitable stocks you could have owned. Three examples:

Apple Inc. — My kids started begging for iPods in November 2005. The devices were more than $300 each, and I didn't think people were really going to pony up. But my “child indicator” was right on the money — iPod sales soared. Apple was trading in the mid-$30s and has roughly tripled in price since then.

Under Armour Inc. — Temperatures in the fall can get pretty cold in Montana. But when my 14-year old asked for what seemed like extremely overpriced long underwear, I laughed at first. Then I dug a little deeper and found a great company. Under Armour has more than doubled since it went public in December 2005.

Nintendo Co. — Much to my chagrin, my three boys are little video game addicts. My daughter never showed any interest … until the Nintendo Wii came out. That was yet another buy signal. Nintendo has rallied by almost 50% since then.

Now, I'm glad to say that I recommended all three of those stocks to my subscribers, and we're up on each of them. But how much money did I leave on the table by not listening to my in-house retail research sooner?

By the way, you can learn from a lot of people around you, not just kids. Pay attention to what your neighbors are buying and wearing … what your employer purchases … and what parking lots are always jam packed.

Mistake #2: Fishing in a Small Pond
There are a lot of reasons why I love living in Montana, but one biggie is the fishing. I'm lucky enough to live on the largest natural freshwater lake west of the Mississippi. It's filled with the kind of trophy fish that you just can't find in a small pond.

over to the biggest trophy lake of all: Asia

But when it came to investing, I used to stubbornly fish in a small pond — the U.S. stock market. Why? Because it was the most familiar body of water.

Then I made one of the best investment calls of my life by telling people to sell their tech holdings in October 2000. That's when I started really motoring my investment boat over to the biggest trophy lake of all: Asia. I got there before a lot of other investors, and I'm glad I did. And for my money, the fishing is still great! Consider this: The U.S. market enjoyed a productive year in 2006, but markets across the Pacific went absolutely bonkers.

Take a look at my table and you'll see just how well five different Asian markets did last year — on average, they gained 79%!

Mistake #3: Getting Ants in the Pants

Country Index 2006 Return
Vietnam Vietnam Stock Index +144%
Shanghai Composite +135%
India Sensex Index +47%
Hong Kong Hang Seng +38%
Singapore Straits Times +32%

 

One of my favorite books of all time is Robert Fulghum's All I Really Need to Know I Learned in Kindergarten . Fulghum is a Unitarian minister who preached a simple message: Wisdom is not at the top of the graduate school mountain, it's in the nursery school sand box.

Fulghum is absolutely right! Rules like “play fair” … “don't take things that aren't yours” … and “clean up your own mess” will get you pretty far in life. Even in investing, one of my best lessons came from my wonderful kindergarten teacher, Mrs. Scoggins.

I was one of those kids who could never sit still. So whenever I misbehaved, instead of scolding me, giving me a swat, or sending a note home to my parents, Mrs. Scoggins would make me sit quietly in the corner. At first, I failed to apply that to my portfolio. Because when I was starting out in the investment business, I traded like a wild maniac. Soon enough, I realized that overtrading was both unproductive and costly.

Today, I sit quietly and watch my money grow. The key is buying the right companies — with strong fundamentals, good sector trends, and in the right countries. Once you do that, you'll maximize your profits by ignoring the short-term gyrations.

Learn a lesson from Mrs. Scoggins: Even though it might be uncomfortable at times, sitting still is often the best medicine.

So remember, if you're looking to pile up big profits, you've got to do three things:

First, look for the big trends, especially those that are right under your nose!

Second, make sure you're fishing in the biggest pond you can find — the markets with the best growth prospects and the most interesting opportunities.

Third, buy the best companies you can find and then sit tight.

Best wishes,

by Tony Sagami

This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.MoneyandMarkets.com


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in