Heading into the final hour of trading the e-Mini S&P 500 so far has hit my initial recovery target zone of 1515/18, which for the time being has put a ceiling on today's attempted upside reversal. The e-SPZ has given up its gains of about 9-10 points, but is circling unchanged, which represents a recovery of around 13-14 points off of the overnight low.

My work argues that the upmove from 1492.50 to 1515.75, while impressive, actually is a countertrend rally prior to another downleg that should press prices, including the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY), into new low territory.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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