Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, July 11, 2009
Forex Trading USD vs AUD / Currencies / Forex Trading
We are taking a trip down under today.
It has been sometime since we last looked at the relationship between the US dollar and the Australian dollar (USD/AUD). Today seemed like an opportune time to look at this cross and to figure out where it is headed using our "Trade Triangle" technology.
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Friday, July 10, 2009
What's Next for the U.S. Dollar Japanese Yen Relationship / Currencies / Forex Trading
Today we are looking at a market we have not looked at for quite some time. I am of course referring to the Japanese Yen US dollar relationship.The video I have just completed is less than four minutes long and it will give you a good idea as to what the next major direction will be for the dollar against the Yen.
Friday, July 10, 2009
Bull Signal in U.S. Dollar /Rand / Currencies / Forex Trading
In Tuesday’s FX Trading Guide we noted several bullish clues in the USD/ZAR chart. We had switched from a Bearish to Sidelined stance and now, following the gains seen this week, we are able to Go Bullish.
Wednesday, July 08, 2009
Japanese Yen, JPY Moving Higher / Currencies / Japanese Yen
After having remained in a seemingly directionless trading range within the last few weeks, the price of the Japanese Yen is currently behaving in a bullish way, as evidenced by its rising prices in the last days (rising prices in the Japanese Yen Future are mirrored by falling prices in USD/JPY).
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Wednesday, July 08, 2009
EUR/USD Recent Lows Hold / Currencies / Forex Trading
The pair once again tested the support area in early trading today after choppy trading yesterday.
The lows have been tested and appear to have succeeded in holding, which means the bias is upwards for today.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
How Long Can the U.S. Dollar Defy the Law of Gravity? / Currencies / US Dollar
In the midst of the longest and deepest, post World-War II recession, America’s financial position with the rest of the world has deteriorated sharply. Three decades of massive trade deficits have turned the United States from the world’s top lender to the world’s largest debtor, - and dependent upon the whims of the so-called emerging nations, laden with huge foreign currency reserves, to finance the bailout of Wall Street Oligarchs, and President Barack Obama’s social programs.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Forex Trading Video, Euro Vs USDollar / Currencies / Forex Trading
Today, we are dissecting and examining one of my favorite markets ... the Forex market. The Forex market is the biggest market in the world and is traded on a 24/7 basis.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
EUR/USD for July 7 / Currencies / Forex Trading
Push above 1.3990 would be an early signal of bullishness. A move above 1.4000 would confirm. Resistance is at 1.4020, 1.4040 and 1.4100>br>Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 06, 2009
U.S. Dollar Stability Choppy and Temporary / Currencies / US Dollar
Sterling leads the list of currencies losing against the dollar and yen amid widespread expectations the Bank of England will exercise its quantitative easing expansion option by purchasing an additional 25 bln in assets without seeking govt approval. Concerted selling in emerging market bourses further elevates the risk-aversion lustre of USD and JPY.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Fiat Currencies Race To Zero Acceleration A Certainty / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Just when you think you have it figured out – bang – something changes. And present circumstances are no exception to this rule. Last week it appeared conditions were forming to sponsor a significant sell-off in stocks / equities this summer / fall, where a combination of sentiment and internals were moving into alignment in this regard. Not out of character in a mature market environment however, speculators stepped up put buying at expiry late last week, which has materially altered the sentiment backdrop, and correspondingly the prognosis for stocks moving forward.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
EUR/USD Heading Higher? / Currencies / Forex Trading
Bias for today is higher, but a narrowing range after the steep decline near the end of last week could mean a break in either direction.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 05, 2009
Fiat Money in Death Throes / Currencies / Fiat Currency
"Banking was conceived in iniquity and born in sin. The Bankers own the earth. Take it away from them, but leave them the power to create deposits, and with the flick of the pen they will create enough deposits to buy it back again. However, take away that power, and all the great fortunes like mine will disappear -- as they ought to in order to make this a happier and better world to live in. But, if you wish to remain the slaves of Bankers and pay the cost of your own slavery, then let them continue to create deposits." ~ Sir Josiah Stamp (1880-1941), one time governor of the Bank of England, in his Commencement Address at the University of Texas in 1927. Reportedly he was the second wealthiest individual in Britain.
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Friday, July 03, 2009
Japanese Yen: Resumption of the Bull Market ? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
Until the middle of 2007, the Japanese Yen was notoriously weak, as the selling of this low yielding currency was funding the purchase of higher yielding currencies, ranging from the British Pound to the Australian and New Zealand Dollar and many emerging market currencies. The so-called carry trade yielded investors the interest rate difference between what they paid for borrowing Yen, and what they earned for the investment in high-yield currencies, ie between 3 and 10 percent annually. And since the carry trade was mostly done at a high leverage, the carry trade became a fantastic cash-cow during the days of easy money and complacency.
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Friday, July 03, 2009
Temporary Bounce in EUR/GBP Now Possible / Currencies / Forex Trading
A few weeks ago a long term 38.2% support in EUR/GBP was violated, adding weight to the medium term bearish argument that we have been favouring. However, without this view being threatened, there is a decent chance for a shorter term bounce, subject to a certain resistance yielding.
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Wednesday, July 01, 2009
EUR/USD for July 1 / Currencies / Forex Trading
The pair is currently in a 55 pip range. A sustained break above 1.4055 would indicate a target of 1.4110 and beyond that 1.4150.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 29, 2009
Green Shoots Recovery Forex Markets Fatigue & Intermarket Setup / Currencies / Forex Trading
There are more substantive fundamental and technical grounds that the recent pullback in equities and global bond yields will extend throughout Q3 to the benefit of the US dollar, which will likely stabilize, rather than wage a rally such as in H2 2008. Current explanations for a stronger dollar in H2 based on US recovery preceding rest-of-world are off the mark. The past 7 years have proven that each time US data emerged on the stronger side, global bourses pushed higher-at the expense of the greenback. While we back the notion for a stronger USD in Q3, our rationale is based on the following:
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Friday, June 26, 2009
U.S. Stocks, Dollar Decline on China Calls for World Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
The People’s Bank of China report is very significant news for the international monetary system and for the gold market. Their call for a new global reserve currency or super sovereign currency will likely lead to further pressure on the dollar. Despite gold having risen and then fallen in value today, the news is another bullish factor supporting higher gold prices in the medium term.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 25, 2009
Contraction in Economy Slowing Creates Bullishness for U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
The Fed ended much of the uncertainty in the Forex markets today when it announced that its key lending rate would stay between 0 - .25%, and there would be no additional expansion of its balance sheet through the purchases of government assets and mortgages.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 25, 2009
EUR/CHF Springs to Life from Key 1.5000 Support / Currencies / Forex Trading
In recent weeks EUR/CHF price action has been lacklustre, an earlier bull signal looking to be premature. But underwater s/term bulls, having sailed close to the wind just above 1.5000 key support for a while now, have abruptly changed tack, with a course set for higher once more.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
What’s Wrong with the British Pound? / Currencies / British Pound
The Macro Trader’s view:
After a solid rally away from the lows stretching over 3 months, much of June has been characterized by sideways trading. Cable seems to have has lost its way.
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