Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Deflation Threat to Quantitative Easing Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading
Even the tumbling USD has hit a 5-month high against the British pound. Such is the state of the deteriorating GBP as UK CPI hits a 7-year low at 1.1%.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
U.S. Dollar Loses Reserve Status to Yen and Euro, NOT / Currencies / US Dollar
The New York Post is reporting that the Dollar loses reserve status to yen & euro.
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Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Abandoning the USS Dollar, As Gold Shines Again / Currencies / US Dollar
Robert Fisk's article in The Independent on October 6, “The Demise of the Dollar,” has created many shock waves in the currency markets. Fisk reported that major Arab nations are secretly planning to dump the current petrodollar scheme in favor of pricing oil in a basket of currencies. Included in this basket will be the yen, yuan, euro, a new, pan-Arab currency, and gold bullion. Co-conspirators include Saudi Arabia, Russia, Brazil, China, France, and the formerly compliant Japanese. This validated my July prediction that the Persian Gulf states will eventually accept yuan in exchange for oil.
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Tuesday, October 13, 2009
British Pound A Major Disaster Just Waiting to Happen? / Currencies / British Pound
Iit may be an important key to events that will be played out over the coming weeks and months. Firstly, the long term chart (courtesy of www.sharelynx.com) shows the price going back to 1971. Important to notice here is the 1982 – 1985 fall from 2.4 to near parity, just above 1.0.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Two Ways to Profit on a Huge New Currency Trend / Currencies / Forex Trading
Tom Dyson writes: The Reserve Bank of Australia hiked its interest rate this week...
This was a big piece of financial news. Central banks around the world have been cutting rates for two years, and interest rates are as low now as they've ever been.
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Euro and Yen Currency Trading for 13th October / Currencies / Forex Trading
As expected, the Euro jumped after breaking 1.4725, but the rise stopped just above 1.48, exactly like what happened last Thursday (yesterday's high 1.4812, Thursday's high 1.4816). It seems like reaching the resistance area 1.4808-1.4816 has become a problem for the Euro, since it failed twice at the same area.
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Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Will Japanese Government Intervene to Weaken the Strong Yen? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
In the summer of 2007, Bear Stearns confessed it had spent $3.2 billion bailing out two of its funds that were exposed to the sub-prime market. At the same time, the yen carry trade marked its top. Soon thereafter, Bear Stearns went belly up, and the needle on the world’s sentiment shifted towards risk aversion.
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Monday, October 12, 2009
Euro Rally Halts at Resistance, Probability of Downside Grows / Currencies / Forex Trading
The Euro stopped at the resistance established in Friday's report 1.4772 with amazing accuracy, a stop which was a signal that we are heading to areas below 1.47. And now, there is a resistance that combines the rising trendline drawn from 1.4566, and the falling trendline drawn from 1.4816, and is currently at 1.4725, if price stay below it, we are heading south.
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Friday, October 09, 2009
Geitner, Summers, AND Bernanke Lobbying for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
All I can say is that when you have Geitner, Summers, AND Bernanke all chiming in with comments about the need for a strong dollar, smart money listens – and dumb money had better be prepared for some wicked volatility (against their short position). In the extremely interventionist world in which we find ourselves, my sense is that you really need to reevaluate a short dollar position when the three highest US financial market officials are telling you that they don’t like your attitude.
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Friday, October 09, 2009
Will Euro/ British Pound Bulls Pause for Breath? / Currencies / British Pound
An impressive upmove in EUR/GBP has shaken off medium term bear risk, we believe – any pullbacks now will most likely be temporary/corrective ahead of further upside. It is worth looking at the current technical position, and supports to any slip back.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 09, 2009
Death of the U.S. Dollar, Again: Before You Mourn, See This Chart / Currencies / US Dollar
The following article is based on analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75-page eBook Independent Investor eBook. It’s a compilation of some of the New York Times bestselling author’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. Visit Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, free.
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
Gerald Celente, U.S. Dollar’s Demise Will Be Felt Worldwide / Currencies / US Dollar
If the dollar collapses, it would spell economic disaster not just for the United States, but for the world, says Gerald Celente, director of the Trade Research Institute.
“It is more than just the demise of the dollar – this is going to be felt worldwide. There’s a major financial crisis ahead. The United States, the world’s superpower, is failing on its most basic level,” Celente told RT.
Thursday, October 08, 2009
Death of Petro-Dollar, Told You So / Currencies / US Dollar
The story hit like a thief in the night, even bearing Biblical proportions. The end of the exlusive sale of MidEast oil in USDollars, the rise of Russian and Chinese influence in the Persian Gulf, the rise in importance for the Intl Monetary Fund basket of currencies, the final clarion call for the free ride by Americans on the Dollar Credit Card, and hidden implications that the Saudis must shop for a new security lord in the region with broad military might, these are revolutionary steps with profound geopolitical implications.
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
Euro Dollar and Yen Currency Trading for 8th October / Currencies / Forex Trading
First we would like to draw your kind attention to the ECB rate decision that will come out later today, and to president Trichet's news conference that will follow. The Euro advanced to 1.4761 before retreating back to 1.4682. And with that, 1.4776 became the most important resistance for the short-term, and the key to reach new tops. If broken, the Euro will be able to reach areas above 1.48 within 24 hours after the break, first of which is 1.4824, then new highs above the tops of September 22nd & 23rd, the most attractive of which is 1.4901.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 07, 2009
The New Currency Cabal Targets U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
On October 6th, The Independent newspaper of London set off shock-waves around the world with a report that secret meetings were held between the OPEC states, China, Russia, and others, in which the participants charted a course toward a new world reserve currency. Not surprisingly, the U.S. dollar nosedived on the news. The rout was only stemmed by Saudi and Chinese officials publicly denying the story.
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Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Multi-FX Gold View and Shanghai Currency Reserve Currency Reminder / Currencies / Forex Trading
The story from the Independent about Arab Gulf States & China looking for alternatives to the US dollar could be dismissed for now due to the lack of immediacy about its implementation. Neither such a story nor the immediate denial from Saudi Arabian officials is new. But the Arab Gulf State element certainly adds to the Chinese diversification element in highlighting the structural impediments of the US currency (zero interest rates at least into Q2 2010, budget deficit at 10% of GDP, tepid prospects of consumer-led recovery).
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Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Euro Dollar and Japanese Yen Trading for 7th October 09 / Currencies / Forex Trading
The Euro advanced to 1.4761 before retreating back to 1.4682, and with that, it stayed for the whole past 24 hours above the important support specified in yesterday's report 1.4668, keeping our positive outlook intact. But even with this new high, things have changed a lot, because the Euro is threatened with a correction for the whole move from 1.4480, after spotting reversal signals on the Japanese candlestick charts: a (Shooting Star) pattern on the hourly chart, and an (Engulfing) pattern on the 4 hour chart. That is why we will drive our attention towards Fibonacci retracement levels for the move from 1.4480 on Friday to 1.4761 yesterday.
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Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Will the U.S. Dollar Be Hit By Arab Oil Shock? / Currencies / US Dollar
Arab oil producing nations and the some world’s largest oil consumers including China and Japan are reliably reported to be secretly planning a long-term exit from pricing their oil trade in dollars. If true, it would spell the death knell for the dollar as world reserve currency and for the USA as global economic power.
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Tuesday, October 06, 2009
Ditching the U.S. Dollar, Video Interview With Robert Fisk / Currencies / US Dollar
Gulf states have held secret talks with Russia, China, Japan and France to replace the US dollar with a basket of currencies in the trade of oil, the UK's Independent newspaper says.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 06, 2009
U.S. Dollar Collapse Hysteria / Currencies / US Dollar
Robert Fisk lit the fuse with his hyperventilating narrative which appeared in Tuesday's UK Independent titled, "The Demise of the Dollar". The article went viral overnight spreading to every musty corner of the Internet and sending gold skyrocketing to $1,026 per oz. Now every doomsday website in cyber-world has headlined Fisk's "shocker" and the blogs are clogged with the frenzied commentary of bunker-dwelling survivalists and goldbugs who're certain that the world as we know it is about to end.
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