Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
U.S. Dollar Bottoming Against Yen / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Let's have a look at the BIG picture chart structure of Dollar vs. Yen, which argues for an approaching upmove in the USD (Yen weakness). Purely from an intermediate-term technical perspective, the pattern carved out by the USD/Yen since early 2007 into late 2009 has the right look of a completed downmove in the USD versus the Yen.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2010
How Can Localities Cope if the U.S. Dollar Crashes? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Richard_C_Cook
A “run on the dollar,” or any currency, for that matter, takes place when the currency is losing its value. This happens when a country’s debt becomes so great that there is danger of a major default–that is, large scale or even national bankruptcy. At that point, people whose wealth is in that currency, or in relatively liquid assets denominated in the currency, try to get rid of them as fast as they can. Today, that includes foreign countries like China or Russia that are holding large quantities of U.S. government bonds.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2010
U.S. Dollar Index Expected to Rise During 2010 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Guy_Lerner
In 2009, investors were down on the US Dollar, and anytime the US Dollar was down, everything else was up. But as we head into 2010, the US Dollar appears to have found support above the all time lows made around $70 in March, 2008 and reversed higher. There is reason to believe that from a technical perspective this reversal is for real, and it is real enough that it should have implications for other markets.
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Euro's Bearish Dead Cross (or Achilles Heel) / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Ashraf_Laidi
EURUSD's 50-day moving average has now fallen below its 100-day MA, which is referred to as a dead cross. As shorter duration moving averages (faster gauges of trend) move below their longer duration averages (slower gauges of trend), a downtrend is said to be confirmed. Momentum traders, trend-followers and black box programs will tend to trigger fresh moves as these major moving averages upon the trigger.
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Is a Run on the U.S. Dollar Starting Soon? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Richard_C_Cook
Yes, I think a run on the dollar is coming. A lot of people are saying this, including a man named Dmitri Orlov who recently came out with a book entitled “Reinventing Collapse” that compares the crash of the Soviet Union in the 1990s with what he believes is coming here within a short period of time. I heard that at the last meeting of the G20 the U.S. asked Russia and China if they would agree to an orderly devaluation of the dollar, and the answer was “Nyet.”
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Japanese Yen's Kamikaze Flight Trajectory / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Axel_Merk
Forget about the flight to the dollar at the peak of the financial crisis: the yen was the ultimate beneficiary. The endlessly quoted unwinding of the carry trade was a factor, but there may have been a more important force at play. As that force may now be under increased pressure, the yen may be in trouble. The force we are talking about is the free market.
Monday, January 18, 2010
How to Profit From the Falling U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Larry_Edelson
As many of you already know, I am very bearish on the dollar.
And in just the past four weeks of trading — starting right before the holidays and continuing into the new year — the benchmark U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has lost nearly 9% of its value against the world’s major foreign currencies.
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Monday, January 18, 2010
2010 To Mark the Demise of the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Captain_Hook
Well, that was another year, and decade, one that was characterized by exacting prices for almost a century of easy money led by the Fed. And it continues today with bubble dynamics in economies and markets considered a normal expectation these days, explaining why gold was top performer over the past 10-years, and should remain in that spot moving forward as well baring silver’s remonetization. That is to say, anybody, like Time Magazine, expecting smooth sailing over the next 10-years is most likely barking up the wrong tree with all the problems that still lie ahead for us, problems ranging from increasingly unmanageable debts and deficits, which are a result of the big turn in the credit cycle in 2008, to the pending demise of the dollar ($) as the world’s reserve currency
Monday, January 18, 2010
USD/JPY Bulls Pause for Thought / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
The downmove in 2009 culminated in an acceleration in November, below prior 87.11 Dec-08/Jan-09 lows, which seemed to justify a bearish stance. However, an equally rapid recovery led us to think that we might have seen a blow-off move, and subsequent action supports this view – s/term weakness may not, therefore, be long-lasting.
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Reduce Your Risk in Currency Trading By Using Twin Pairs / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Bryan_Rich
Pair trading is a popular stock-trading strategy. It gives you the opportunity to capture a dislocation between two stocks by taking a long position in one stock and simultaneously taking a short position in another — in equal dollar amounts.
In identifying a good pair trade, you’d look for two stocks that share the same industry, the same sector or simply have a strong historical statistical correlation. Yet for the time being, the share price of one may have gone up (the one you go short), while the other company’s stock (the one you go long) went down.
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
Forex Trading and the Core Consumer Price Index / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The CPI measures are to be published tomorrow, January 15, 2010. The Index measures the changes in the price of goods and services excluding food and energy.
The CPI measures price change from the perspective of the consumer.
It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the US.
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Dollar Struggles Again After Latest Jobs Data, Housing Market News / Currencies / US Dollar
By: LiveCharts
Exchange rates have not been favorable for the US dollar in the early part of the week as the greenback has been hit again following disappointing news of late on the job and housing sector fronts.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Currency Traders Look to U.S. Initial Jobless Claims / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
Traders anticipate the publication of the Initial Jobless Claims report tomorrow, January 14.
Initial Jobless Claims is a measure of the number of people who file for unemployment benefits for the first time during the given week.
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
USD Traders Await Publication of the Core Retail Sales Report / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The Core Retail Sales is a monthly measurement of all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes in the US, excluding auto. It is an important indicator of consumer spending and also correlated to consumer confidence and considered as a pace indicator of the US economy .
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Monday, January 11, 2010
EUR and JPY Forex Trading for 11th Jan 2010 / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The Trade Balance index will be published tomorrow (Jan 12) in the US, Britain and Canada.
The Trade Balance index measures the difference in worth between exported and imported goods (exports minus imports). This is the largest component of a country's balance of payments.
Monday, January 11, 2010
EUR/CHF Slide Time for Support? / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
During 2009 the technical interest in the EUR/CHF cross steadily waned, as price action remained confined in a relatively narrow range. One or two preliminary bull signs soon evaporated; and now there has been a decisive directional move – but to the downside.
Sunday, January 10, 2010
In Time of Crisis, Barter Works and May Have Saved Russia in 1998 / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Richard_C_Cook
After the collapse of the Soviet Union caused it to split up into its components, the newly-established nations each faced an economic crisis. In Russia the crisis lasted for a decade. Inflation had destroyed the currency. There was no banking sector to speak of. And the central government had failed to monetize the nation’s potential production through a functioning monetary system.
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Saturday, January 09, 2010
Pressure Mounting on the British Pound / Currencies / British Pound
By: Bryan_Rich
The UK economy is in a tough spot … it’s the only major economy that has yet to emerge from recession. It’s running the largest budget deficit of any industrialized country. And its central bank has thrown everything, including the kitchen sink at the problems trying to stimulate economic activity.
Friday, January 08, 2010
U.S. Dollar to be Hit Hard In 2010 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Pravda
The feast of cheap and limitless liquidity could not avoid interfering with the international currency market. While in the first six months of the year the crisis was beneficial for the US dollar, in the second half of the year speculators took it out on the dollar over and above. This year is expected to continue weakening of the American currency that dropped to the level of $1.6 for one Euro in 2009.
Thursday, January 07, 2010
Gold or U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The chicken or the egg? Which is which: gold or the dollar? My work is telling me to watch the $$$, and the rest will take care of itself. From a technical perspective, let's notice that the daily dollar index (DXY) has been consolidating at the high end of its Nov-Dec upleg, which has taken the form of a bullish continuation pattern. If my perception of the pattern proves accurate, then the DXY is on the verge of upside acceleration that will resume its Nov-Dec rally-- on the way to 80.00 next.