Category: Financial Markets 2019
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, September 12, 2019
Precious Metals, US Dollar, Stocks – How It All Relates – Part II / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This research post continues our effort to keep investors aware of the risks and shifting capital opportunities that are currently taking place in the global markets. We started in PART I of this article by attempting to highlight how shifting currency valuations have played a very big role in precious metals pricing and how these currency shifts may ultimately result in various risk factors going forward with regards to market volatility.
Simply put, currency pricing pressures are likely to isolate many foreign markets from investment activities as consumers, institutions and central governments may need more capital to support localized economies and policies while precious metals continue to get more and more expensive.
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Tuesday, September 10, 2019
Market Decline Will Lead To Pension Collapse, USD Devaluation, And NWO / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Raymond_Matison
It is the goal of this article to project the current financial, economic, and geopolitical trends to a logical and credible future outcome. Some of these trends such as in demographics have been in motion for decades, while other trends such as those for negative interest rates have been developing for a much shorter time frame. Pension asset accumulation and eventual payout also extend over decades, and therefore are reasonably predictable. Even money and credit creation trends by the FED have been in place for a long period of time. Finally, the extended bubble market in fixed income and equities, in light of slowing economic trends, provides some assurance to future price expectations.
It is anticipated that a market decline in global economic activity will reduce fixed income and equity prices such that it will start an unvirtuous cycle between the consumer as driver to the economy and financial markets. Market declines will become noticeable by negatively affecting pension asset accounts and actual payouts. Demographic trends will frustrate maintaining our Social Security viable, and severe measures will need to be taken. State, municipal, teacher, corporate and individual pensions are already falling short of their promises. The FED has a publicized goal of increasing inflation, while the President wants a weaker dollar. They will both succeed. By the time that we exit from the coming Great Global Recession, our dollar very likely will no longer be the world’s leading reserve currency, which will result in a dramatic decline in the purchasing power of the dollar affecting negatively domestic and foreign dollar asset holders, or those receiving pensions in dollars. The world will have become financially and geopolitically multipolar resulting in a new world order.
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Tuesday, September 10, 2019
More Wall Street Propaganda / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Michael_Pento
One of the best examples of Wall Street’s propaganda machine at work is its willingness to dismiss recessionary signals. The inverted yield curve is a perfect example. Case in point, look at the story that was put out on Market Watch dated November 27th 2006—exactly one year before the Great Recession officially began, the stock market started its decline of more than half and the global economy started to collapse.
Here’s how some on Wall Street and the Fed described what was happening on the precipice of the global financial crisis regarding the inversion of the yield curve at that time: “Bernanke, and his predecessor Alan Greenspan, have attributed the inverted yield curve to a ‘global savings glut’ that has sparked fervid demand for Treasuries and U.S. corporate bonds. Economists have noted that this buying spree is inconsistent with the possibility of a looming recession. In the past inverted yield curves have been harbingers of recession, but a number of economists, including Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, do not think this is the case in the present instance.”
Thursday, September 05, 2019
UK Surprise Decision to Thwart a No-Deal Brexit Changes Market Dynamics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our August 19th prediction of a market breakdown, as well as our continued research suggesting a breakdown in price was the most likely outcome, is a combination of technical analysis, predictive modeling and our understanding of the market dynamics at play throughout the world. But, when news like this hits (global economic news, surprise news announcements or any type of positive or negative massive news event) the dynamics of the global markets can shift quite suddenly which we want to explain here. Before we get into the details, be sure to opt-in to my Free Market Forecast and Trade Ideas Newsletter so stay on top of these market moves.
Just a few days ago, it appeared that the US/China trade deal was still 30+ days away from any type of continued discussion and the UK Brexit was likely to take place this week and next. With US earnings season setting up in September, headed into the holiday season throughout the globe, we believed the downside price move probability was far greater than the upside. Then, out of almost nowhere, the No-Deal Brexit deal is sidetracked and the British Pound rallies dramatically on the news.
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Thursday, September 05, 2019
Will Fed Actions Create Dow 40,000 - And Triple Gold Prices? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Dan_Amerman
The fears of imminent recession have been multiplying, and this has led to 1) plunging long term bond yields; 2) yield curve inversions and near inversions; and 3) a fearful Federal Reserve going into "dovish" mode in the attempt to prevent such a recession.
We've been here before, or at least we have with regard to those three particular components in combination. And the result was a tripling of already elevated stock market values in a little more than two years. With that tripling then being followed by a historic tripling of inflation-adjusted gold prices over the next decade.
History does not exactly repeat itself - but it does contain some powerful and surprising lessons that are well worth studying, particularly during times of market volatility.
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Wednesday, September 04, 2019
Rising US Dollar Mutes Precious Metals Moves and Puts Pressures on Global Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The Rising US Dollar continues to shift the investing landscape as a stronger US Dollar mutes the price acceleration in precious metals and continue to put pricing pressures on the global economy. The current levels of the US Dollar Index, above 99, clearly illustrates how the shifting landscape of the global economies has changed. Prior to 2014/2015, when a minor currency/market crisis hit China and capital controls were installed in China to help reduce capital outflows, the US Dollar Index average price range was between 73 and 90. Of course, the US Dollar Index weakened in 2008-09 and rotated within this range after 2010 – settling near 80 near the beginning of 2014. Before we get into the details, be sure to opt-in to my Free Market Forecast and Trade Ideas Newsletter
So, this impressive rally in the US Dollar throughout the 2015-2016 US Presidential election cycle, as well as the continued rally since the lows near December 2018, is not something that we can simply chalk up to normal price rotation. Something dramatic has shifted in the global markets since 2015/2016 and the new trend is US Dollar strength.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
S&P500 heads to 3020: Big Turn for Risk Markets as US-China Steadies to a Deal / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
A lot has changed over the weekend. - G7 has been positive for risk. Trump expressed regret over his latest escalation of trade war. - China on its part said will negotiate. - No news on Iran - No bad tweets on FED
US seems to be retreating from world stage on many accounts and this will mean big changes in world markets. Initially it will be positive as it will be led by a imminent trade deal with China which could rip the equity markets higher and go to all time highs. But reality will set in later. Either ways, it makes no difference to us as our automated system is tuned for all kinds of markets.
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Thursday, August 22, 2019
KEY WEEK FOR US MARKETS, GOLD, AND OIL - Audio Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Chris Vermeulen, Founder of The Technical Traders shares his thoughts on why this week is important for the US markets, gold, and oil. All of these are near strong support or resistance levels where if a break happens could result in an extended run. We breakdown the scenario for each market and level that are most important.
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Thursday, August 22, 2019
FREE Access EWI's Financial Market Forecasting Service / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
With the recent stock market volatility, millions of investors are wondering what's next.
And the fact that the typically wild fall season is approaching only makes it worse.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International -- who are celebrating 40 years in the business this year -- get it.
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Sunday, August 18, 2019
The State of the Financial Union / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold makes available the first two chapters of his most recent book that delve into the current state of the economy. After being bugged unmercifully by a couple of my so-called friends, I finally sat down in early January to write a tome about investing in resource stocks. It took me sixteen days to write. And another four weeks to get the cover and layout right. I had some important charts in it that couldn't be shrunk and still understood.
A couple of days ago I was reaching for a quote that I thought I remembered from the book so I picked up one of my test copies.
I read through the first two chapters and thought to myself, "Damn, this guy got it exactly right." That was before I realized I was the person who wrote it eight months ago.
One of the great advantages of getting old, other than just getting old, after all the alternative is far worse… One of the benefits of getting old is that you get to hide your own Easter eggs. That is if you can still remember when Easter is.
I never did find the quote. But I did realize that what I wrote in January could have been written twenty minutes ago and not be more timely. So I thought it would be a nice idea to share it with you. This isn't a sale pitch. If you have read the book you, too, will have already read it but have forgotten. If you haven't and think it might be worth finishing, you are just going to have to figure out how to buy it by yourself.
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Sunday, August 18, 2019
Markets August 19 Turn Date is Tomorrow – Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our August 19 breakdown prediction from months ago has really taken root with many of our followers and readers. We’ve been getting emails and messages from hundreds of our followers asking for updates regarding this prediction. Well, here is the last update before the August 19th date (tomorrow) and we hope you have been taking our research to heart.
First, we believe the August 19 breakdown date will be the start of something that could last for more than 5 to 12+ months. So, please understand that our predicted date is not a make-or-break type of scenario for traders. It means that we believe this date, based on our cycle research, will become a critical inflection point in price that may lead to bigger price swings, more volatility and some type of market breakdown event. Thus, if you have already prepared for this event – perfect. If this is the first time you are reading about our August 19 breakdown prediction, then we suggest you take a bit of time to review the following research posts.
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Tuesday, August 13, 2019
Financial Success Formula Failure / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Patrick_Watson
The US economy grew at a 2.1% annualized pace in the second quarter, according to data released last week. That was better than economists expected but hardly impressive.
Even President Trump recognized this, tweeting the growth rate was “not bad considering we have the very heavy weight of the Federal Reserve anchor wrapped around our neck.”
That’s the same Federal Reserve of which Trump himself appointed the chair and a majority of board members. But I guess he has to blame somebody.
Sunday, August 11, 2019
Precious Metals and Stocks VIX Are About To Pull A “Crazy Ivan” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We’re borrowing a term from the movie Red October (source) that describes an unusual change of direction for a Russian submarine with the intent to seek out enemies and unknown targets – called a “Crazy Ivan”. We are using this term because we believe the markets are about to pull a very unusual “Crazy Ivan” move of their own – reverting to unknown price levels while the US/Global markets attempt to seek out risk, support, resistance and other unknown “revaluation” targets in the process.
Our belief is that a key cycle date, August 19, 2019, will be the start of a breakdown in the US markets that aligns with some outside type of catalyst event. It could be that foreign central banks issue some news or warning at that time or it could be that Asia/China issue some type of catalyst to the event. We don’t know what the catalyst will be but we can guess that it will be related to geopolitics or the global economy/credit/debt issues. God forbid it to be some type of war or human crisis event – we really don’t need that right now.
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Sunday, August 11, 2019
Traders: Which Markets Should You Trade? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Submissions
As technology advances and trading innovation continues, many traders want to diversify their investments. The prospect of making more profits have led many into trading markets they never thought possible. Although traders are continually seeking better markets and improved opportunities to explore, not many are in the know of the types of trading instruments available in this digital age. Surprisingly, traders are not the only ones looking to improve their chances of earning more. Even seemingly different markets are now attempting to steal each other's market share. For instance, traders no longer need to buy physical gold or even from a futures contract to participate in the movement of gold prices; instead, they can now buy an exchange traded fund (ETF). With that being said, similar scenarios are now possible with stock, currencies, commodities, and other investments. Hence, traders generally have a wealth of diversified opportunities they can leverage to their individual circumstances.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 29, 2019
All Eyes on the Fed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – The continued strength has muddied the water and we may have to wait until August before the intermediate trend becomes more clear.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Saturday, July 27, 2019
Range Bound Financial Markets and Economy in Good Shape / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
Markets at all time highs and considerably calmer option market VIX index suggest that we could be in a slow grind higher for risk markets.
ECB Drahghi hits at easing
Christopher Graham, economist at Standard Chartered, notes that the European Central Bank (ECB) kept rates on hold at its 25 July meeting, but President Mario Draghi sent a strong signal that further easing would be delivered in September as per expectations. Key Quotes “By adjusting its forward guidance to note that rates would remain at current “or lower levels” until at least mid-2020 (in line with our expectations), the ECB has reinforced our view that interest rate cuts will be delivered after the summer break.” “We continue to expect a 10bps deposit rate cut in September and a further 10bps cut in December, to -0.60% by year-end.” “The Governing Council (GC) is also considering a broader package of measures; Draghi noted that committees have been tasked to explore other options, including new net asset purchases (both in size and composition), tiered deposit rates, and ways to reinforce forward guidance on policy rates.” “In a sign that the ECB has become increasingly concerned about the euro-area inflation outlook and persistently low inflation expectations, it also noted its “commitment to symmetry in the inflation aim”, implying that an overshoot of 2.0% would now be tolerated.” “The bar to other policy measures remains higher than for rate cuts, in our view, and Draghi admitted that agreement on the GC was not unanimous. Nonetheless, the likelihood of QE being restarted by year-end has increased considering press release, particularly if euro-area economic activity remains weak or deteriorates further.” “At the same time, we reiterate that a convincing QE programme would need to be open-ended and would require controversial rule changes, most likely a change to issuer limits.
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Friday, July 26, 2019
The Stock Chart That Has the Fed in a Panic / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
Just what exactly is terrifying the Fed?
Over the last week, multiple Fed officials have surfaced to suggest the Fed needs to start cutting interest rates right now.
Indeed, on Thursday, John Williams, who runs the NY Fed (the branch in charge of market operations) suggested the Fed needs to cut rates to ZERO again.
Not 2%, or 1%, ZERO.
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Tuesday, July 23, 2019
US Dollar Index tightly wound between: US Bond Yields down on safety flows / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
As markets begin a new week, there are interesting opportunities. SPX ended the week in a state of uncertainty. Weekend news from Iran seem to suggest there is no truce visible as Iran has not yet let go of the Oil tanker captured. It was flying a UK flag. US has not fully involved itself in the spate and thus market are waiting on a US response. However bond market seem to have made up its mind that they will not wait for a strike but rather exercise caution before its too late.
USDJPY has opened the week above 108. Above 108.4 the pair may look to extend gains to 109.2. The lack of impetus suggest we will fall to 105 on USDJPY.
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Friday, July 19, 2019
XAU, Newmont, Dollar, DOW RTT Charts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: readtheticker
The magic of support and resistance channel lines and how they direct price. Here are some chart disclosed to members via the RTT Plus service. All charts are a few weeks old.
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Friday, July 19, 2019
Gold and US Stock Mid Term Election and Decade Cycles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently I have been trying to show all the different angles to look at and analyze the US stock market and the precious metals sector. At the end of this report, I will share with you several crucial angles and charts you must see for our self. There are several very intriguing things unfolding right now which are interconnected in ways you may not have known.
Gold Midterm Years and Seasonality
Let’s start off with the price of gold and what it typically does each month during the presidential midterm year, which is this year 2019. The graph below shows the average price movement during the midterm election since 1971 and I think the chart speaks for its self.
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