Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, October 05, 2017
Can Stock Market Mood Analysis Also Predict Social Turbulence? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Many of you have noted through the years that you simply do not understand how our analysis methodology works. Yes, it can be more complex than most other forms of analysis, but it is also often more reliable and accurate in identifying targets and trends. As an example, where we have used it at the end of 2015 to call for a drop in the market from the 2100 region down to the 1800 region, to set up a rally to the 2500 region. Yet, many still view it as a form of “voodoo.”
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Thursday, October 05, 2017
Here's Why the Time to Worry About the Stock Market "Fear Index" is NOW, Not Later / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Here's Why the Time to Worry About the "Fear Index" is NOW, Not Later
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Wednesday, October 04, 2017
Did You See the 30% Rise in This Major Global Stock Index? (Video) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Did You See the 30% Rise in This Major Global Stock Index?
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Tuesday, October 03, 2017
Stock Market Combo Chart…Breakouts / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
All the different stock market indexes have now broken out above the top rail of their rising patterns except for the two tech indexes. The IWC, micro caps, continues to be the strongest sector. I know it may not feel like it, but rising wedges and flags that slope up in the same direction of the uptrend tells us the uptrend is very strong.
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Monday, October 02, 2017
Are the US Markets setting up for an Early October Surprise? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Many analysts have recently warned that the US markets are setting up for a potentially massive correction, 40~70% some warn. Our own analysis has shown massive market cycles that correlate with an October market correction. Our VIX cycle analysis indicates that we should be expecting a spike in the VIX right now (within the next 3~4 days). What does all this mean in reality for the average investor?
As investors, we have to determine the amount of risk compared to the amount of potential gain in any trade. Our job is to measure this relationship properly and to attempt to find opportunities in taking risks for an adequate amount of gain. Often, this business is difficult to manage expectations and presumed risk factors for traders. We’ve been trading, combined, for over 40+ years and have learned that the markets don’t always do what we expect them to do. A perfect example is our most recent VIX Spike call for Sept 9th ~ 12th. Even though our analysis was valid and accurate, we did not see the VIX spike levels we had projected to happen – such is life in the markets. We strive every week to deliver superior analysis, trading triggers/alerts and daily markets updates to our clients. Right or wrong, we live by our abilities to call successful trading triggers and provide timely and accurate market research.
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Sunday, October 01, 2017
Stock Market Brief 1st October 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Technically Speaking.
The market continues to display a full bull configuration. The Dow Theory divergence that existed in August, between the Dow Industrials and the Dow Transports, has completely disappeared. In fact the Transport Index, which had been faltering, having had a confirmed price cross-over on its 200 Daily Moving Average, is now technically leading. This is particularly bullish given the recent rise in oil prices. An additional indicator of current technical strength is the fact that the recent pullbacks in Apple, Amazon and Oracle did no damage to overall market sentiment.
Sunday, October 01, 2017
How To Survive and Thrive in a Zlatan Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
REPORTER: “Who will win the World Cup playoff?”
ZLATAN: “Only God knows who will go through.”
REPORTER: “It’s hard to ask him.”
ZLATAN: “You’re talking to him.”
REPORTER: “What did you get your wife for her birthday?”
ZLATAN: “Nothing. She already has Zlatan.”
Read full article... Read full article...ZLATAN: “I can’t help but laugh at how perfect I am.”
Friday, September 29, 2017
Stock Investors Should Brace for the Fed’s October Tightening Gambit / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
September’s Federal Reserve meeting left interest rates unchanged but sounded a hawkish tone. The Fed seems intent on hiking interest rates again come December.
Following Fed chair Janet Yellen’s remarks this Tuesday, interest rate futures markets bumped up the odds of a year-end rate hike to 81%.
The more immediate – and perhaps more important – policy move pending from the central bank is its plan to gradually reverse its Quantitative Easing bond buying program starting in October.
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Friday, September 29, 2017
USD Weakening. So are Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The USD futures are in the headlines this morning. It has broken above its 50-day Moving Average at 92.81 and the analysts are calling for a stronger USD. But it may beat a hasty retreat, since the top aof Wave E suggests completion and reversal.
ZeroHedge writes, “The dollar rally paused on Friday and looked poised to finish its best weekly gain of the year with a whimper, when in a repeat of the Thursday session the, Bloomberg dollar index first rose more than 0.1% during Asia hours before slumping around the European open as month and quarter-end flows came into play again.”
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Friday, September 29, 2017
U.S. Stocks: A 'Big' Move Ahead? (Video) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Dear Investor,
Aside from a brief dip a few weeks ago, U.S. stocks have been the embodiment of stability. And many in the mainstream are talking about this continuing for the foreseeable future.
If there's one thing we know, it's that this won't continue forever. Periods of high volatility ALWAYS follow periods of low volatility. Are you ready for some "fireworks" in the stock market?
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Friday, September 29, 2017
Gold, Stock Market and Newton's Third Law / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the effects of "Quantitative Tightening" on precious metals markets. In late August, we decided to anchor our boat out in a place called Indian Harbour, a wonderful "safe haven" for boaters that love northern Georgian Bay, in an effort to make the most of what has been an absolutely dreadful summer for most people in the east-central part of Canada and the U.S. This little harbour is protected by a small sliver of rock and trees that separates it from the ravages of the prevailing westerlies which whip across the prairies gathering momentum until they descent upon the largest contiguous consortment of freshwater lakes in the world (The Great Lakes) and gather moisture and volatility until they ultimately unload their liquid bounty into the most fertile farmland in North America which stretches from Detroit and Soo, Michigan, easterly to Kingston, Ontario.
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Thursday, September 28, 2017
SPX Needs Another Probe Higher. NDX Does Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX appears to have one further probe higher to complete Wave (v). It appears to be an Ending Diagonal, which means that Wave (v) should be an a-b-c form. Five waves already appear, but the middle wave cannot be a Wave iii because it is the shortest in the series. Wave v may reach equality with Wave i at 2515.00, so that is my target. The Cycle Top is at 2524.55, so we may consider that as a possible limit to an extension.
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Thursday, September 28, 2017
S&P 500 At New Record High, Will It Continue Higher? Apple Stock Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday intraday outlook has proved partly accurate. The S&P 500 index closed 0.4% higher, but it gained less than 4 points from its opening price. The index may continue to fluctuate along the level of 2,500 today. It remains above support level of the September 12 daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook is neutral today, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
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Tuesday, September 26, 2017
Stock Market Bounce Stops at Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX has apparently been stopped at the Ending Diagonal trendline. The oversold condition has been relieved enough to allow the decline to resume. Should it continue, it is likely to be a complex affair, as it has been so far. As mentioned earlier, the next support appears to be the 50-day Moving Average at 2470.53. But that may not be all. The overlap suggests the decline is nowhere near being finished, so don’t be surprised if the decline starts to accelerate..
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Tuesday, September 26, 2017
Stocks Are Showing Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX still doesn’t have a completed impulse, but appears unable to make a credible bounce, either. The final hour may give us guidance. So far there is no overlap with Wave (I at 2496.67), so there is still a good probability of a completed impulse by the end of the day or in the overnight market.
His weekend had a strong triple Pivot in the Cycles Model that may indicate the strength of the rally has been played out. If so, we should see the decline continue. The next support is the 50-day Moving Average and mid-Cycle support at 2468.00-2469.00.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Hidden Gems Shows A Foreboding Stock Market Future / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
A quick look at any of the US majors will show most investors that the markets have recently been pushing upward towards new all-time highs. These traditional market instruments can be misleading at times when relating the actual underlying technical and fundamental price activities. Today, we are going to explore some research using our custom index instruments that we use to gauge and relate more of the underlying market price action.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Stock Market Mixed Expectations, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index continued to fluctuate along the level of 2,500, as it remained close to new record high. The market may extend its short-term consolidation again. The support level is relatively close, at the September 12 daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we still prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
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Monday, September 25, 2017
After The Apocalypse This Weekend, Buy The Stock Market Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The S&P500 gapped up on Monday to the resistance region we noted last week between 2507-2510SPX. And, after testing it many, many times, it still has not been able to overcome that resistance the entire week.
Not much has stopped this market’s upward trajectory over the last year and a half. In fact, even the pullbacks have been much more shallow than standard pullbacks.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Stock Market Forming a Reluctant Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend has pushed a little higher, near-term.
SPX Intermediate trend: We may be in a position to get “something” started on the downside.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 24, 2017
Two Key Indicators Show the S&P 500 Becoming the New ‘Cash’ / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Pension plan administrators do it. Their actuaries and consultants do it. Professional endowment and foundation investors do it. Financial advisors do it. Private investors may or may not do it, but they probably should.
Do what?
All of these folks already are or should be asking themselves the following question: What’s a reasonable expectation for the long-term return on a broad-market equity investment?
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