Category: US Dollar
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, December 07, 2009
U.S. Dollar Index Bottom? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Guy_Lerner
It's Monday, and there is no better place to start the week with the only asset that has mattered for the past 8 months - the Dollar. Although Friday's job report brought a spike in the Dollar Index, the down trend remains intact. However, the likelihood of the downtrend ending leading to a counter trend rally or consolidation is now as high as it has been in months.
Wednesday, December 02, 2009
How Could I Forget the Only Market Chart that Matters? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Guy_Lerner
Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Dollar Index. This is the same chart I have been showing since June, 2009 - prior to the Dollar Index unraveling. Last week there was a weekly close (price bar with down red arrows) below the low of the immediate positive divergence bar at 75.20. Closes below positive divergence bars (price bars highlighted in pink with gray oval) tend to lead to selling as traders expecting a reversal close out their losing positions. The down trend continues, and as the data shows, there is a high likelihood of the downward move accelerating.
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Wednesday, December 02, 2009
U.S. Dollar Implications of Dubai Debt Jitters / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Thanksgiving eve, Dubai World, Dubai’s state-owned development company, rattled the world by releasing a statement that it seeks a moratorium on its debt and interest payments until May 2010. The credit crisis is not last year’s nightmare - it has merely entered a new phase. We look at the implications for the U.S. dollar.
Monday, November 30, 2009
Run on the U.S. Dollar ....Soon / Currencies / US Dollar
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: It's one of those numbers that's so unbelievable you have to actually think about it for a while...
Within the next 12 months, the U.S. Treasury will have to refinance $2 trillion in short-term debt. And that's not counting any additional deficit spending, which is estimated to be around $1.5 trillion.
Monday, November 30, 2009
U.S. Dollar Set To Surprise by Falling to Test All Time Low / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Captain_Hook
The dollar ($) is set to surprise the few remaining speculators that think it can't happen by falling further straight away, possibly taking it down to test all time lows at 71. Here, we are talking about the possibility of a more disorderly decline in the $ developing as a result of gold progressing into a parabolic rise, primarily predicated on year-end hedge fund buying into December. First it will be this that takes precious metals higher into year-end, and then the rally could continue for numerous other reasons, not the least of which being a lack of physical, which appears to be a growing concern.
Saturday, November 28, 2009
U.S. Dollar Index May Hold Some Nasty Surprises for Carry Trade Participants / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Brian_Bloom
Summary and Conclusions -
The US Dollar Index is showing signs of wanting to bottom out and this has seriously adverse implications for those who have been speculating with US Dollar carry trades. It may also be pointing to the imminent resumption of the Primary Bear Trend in Industrial Equities. The gold price may consolidate at these levels within the context of a Primary Bull Market. i.e. Both the US Dollar Index and the Gold Price might be argued to be in Primary Bull Markets.
Friday, November 27, 2009
The Day the U.S. Dollar Collapsed / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Galt
The following story is a potential fictional time line for the day the dollar died. I hope not to instill fear or loathing but to give everyone some perspective on a POSSIBLE outcome which does not really take much of a reach to come to any conclusion. Despite popular belief and promises from those who wish to rob you of your savings and investments, the collapse of the dollar might just be an event measured in hours, not days as their control is not what it seems….
Thursday, November 26, 2009
Yen Hits 14 Year High vs U.S. Dollar as Nikkei Sinks / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are noting a selloff in equity market futures as the Yen rallies and the dollar sinks further.
Monday, November 23, 2009
What Happens When a Carry Trade Blows Up? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Graham_Summers
As I’ve been pounding the table for the last several months, the markets have been operating based on an “inflation” trade mentality. By this, I mean that we’re in a “Dollar down/ everything else up” environment.
This is to be expected. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has been doing everything he can to re-inflate the markets, hoping he can counteract the deflationary impact of the Housing Crash/ Credit Bubble bursting.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
The Fed is Foolishly Weakening the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Peter_Navarro
Has America's Federal Reserve become the single greatest obstacle to global economic recovery? Central bankers around the world are increasingly asking this question as the American greenback continues its Fed-inspired decline and damages the export-driven growth of countries from Latin America and Asia to Europe.
Friday, November 20, 2009
The Weak U.S. Dollar Was Supposed to Fix Everything / Economics / US Dollar
By: Michael_Pento
The inflation redux plan from the Fed and Washington is based on zero interest rates, massive deficits and quantitative easing, which are designed to bring down the value of the U.S. dollar and create inflation. That is the truth, despite promises from Treasury Secretary Geithner that he really means it this time when he says the U.S. has a strong dollar policy--the irony being, that he says this while concurrently begging the Chinese to allow the dollar to fall vs. the Renminbi. But their hopes placed in a lower dollar are woefully misguided and all that is being accomplished is to put into place the same conditions that brought the global financial system to its knees.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
What Strong U.S. Dollar Policy? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
"I believe deeply that it's very important to the United States, to the economic health of the United States, that we maintain a strong dollar," U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner recently told reporters. Indeed, it seems to be a pre-requisite to apply for the position of U.S. Treasury Secretary to be able to utter these words. In the meantime, the greenback seems to be falling further and further; the 'strong dollar commitment' appears to have become a farce. Just what, then, would be a strong dollar policy?
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
U.S. Dollar Meltdown / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Shedlock
I had the pleasure of reading a final finished copy of The Dollar Meltdown by Charles Goyette this past week.
Congressman Ron Paul offers an opinion on the front cover to which I certainly concur: "Goyette does a great job explaining why America faces a looming financial crisis and outlines commonsense strategies for individuals to protect themselves and their families. This book truly is a must read."
Friday, November 06, 2009
The Hated U.S. Dollar Might Rally / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Graham_Summers
Few essays I’ve ever written have drawn as much ire as the ones in which I propose that the US Dollar might rally. The US Dollar is indeed hated, so hated that people will hate you just for considering that it might rally.
Thursday, November 05, 2009
Who Cares About the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Who cares about the dollar? It turns out quite a few do, except for those who could put it on a course to long-term recovery. First of all, you should care, as the purchasing power of your dollar savings is at risk when the dollar plunges versus other currencies. Let’s examine a couple of groups, what they have at stake and how influential they may be.
Thursday, November 05, 2009
U.S. Dollar Drifts Ahead of U.S. Unemployment Rate / Currencies / US Dollar
By: ForexPros
The Unemployment Rate is a measure of the percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking employment and willing to work in the US.
A high percentage indicates weakness in the labor market. A low percentage is a positive indicator for the labor market in the US and should be taken as positive for the USD.
Wednesday, November 04, 2009
When the U.S. Dollar Rallies, the Stock Market Will Crash / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Whitney
Interest rates. The Fed does not need slinky women in plunging necklines to peddle money. All it needs is low interest rates. When rates are pushed lower than the rate of inflation, the Fed provides a subsidy for borrowing. This is not as hard to grasp as it sounds. If I offered to give you $1.00 for very 90 cents you gave me in return, you would buy as many dollars from me as you could.
Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Dethroning of the U.S. Dollar Will Happen Sooner Than You Think / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: By now virtually every investor has heard the argument that the U.S. dollar is slated to lose its status as the global reserve currency. And that’s good – as far as it goes.
What’s bad is that many of these investors have yet to latch onto the fact that this could happen much sooner than many people realize and in a manner that will catch most by surprise.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
U.S. Dollar Upside Alert / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Marty_Chenard
The Dollar could fool everyone ...
Just as Foreign countries are diversifying out of the Dollar ... just as the Dollar's carry trade is being overdone, the Dollar is poised to make an upside run.
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Monday, November 02, 2009
U.S. Dollar Meltdown / Currencies / US Dollar
By: LewRockwell
Doug French writes: The current investment climate is more perilous than ever. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet continues to grow stuffed with the dubious paper purchased from the too-big-to-fail banks that are now wards of the state. The music stopped and there were no chairs, but the Fed and the Treasury snapped their fingers and trillions of dollars later the chairs appeared, the band played on and the banks live on. The taxpayers are now the not-so-proud owners of AIG, General Motors, Fannie and Freddie and dozens of banks. Where did the money come from? Out of thin air.
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